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2016 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Using Conditional Probability and a Nonlinear Kriging Technique to Predict Potato Early Die Caused by Verticllium Dahliae

Authors : Luke Steere, Noah Rosenzweig, William Kirk

Published in: Geographical Information Systems Theory, Applications and Management

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Verticillium dahliae is a plant pathogenic fungus that can be devastating to commercial potato production. Potato growers in the state of Michigan have experienced yield declines and decreased marketability as a direct result of the persistence of V. dahliae in soil. A team of researchers at Michigan State University conducted a soil evaluation using geostatistics and geographic information systems (GIS). The use of a nonlinear Kriging method allowed the team to predict where infection may occur. Nonlinear Kriging is a useful tool for creating conditional probability maps based on a threshold, which can be built into the equation. Verticillium dahliae has an inoculum threshold needed to cause infection in a potato plant. Using this threshold, maps can be created based on a probability of any point in space being greater than the threshold. The methods used in this paper show how geostatistics can be a valuable tool for commercial growers.

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Metadata
Title
Using Conditional Probability and a Nonlinear Kriging Technique to Predict Potato Early Die Caused by Verticllium Dahliae
Authors
Luke Steere
Noah Rosenzweig
William Kirk
Copyright Year
2016
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-29589-3_9

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