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Published in: Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization 3/2019

12-03-2019 | Research Paper

A performance measure approach for risk optimization

Authors: André Jacomel Torii, Rafael Holdorf Lopez, André Teófilo Beck, Leandro Fleck Fadel Miguel

Published in: Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization | Issue 3/2019

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Abstract

In recent years, several approaches have been proposed for solving reliability-based design optimization (RBDO), where the probability of failure is a design constraint. The same cannot be said about risk optimization (RO), where probabilities of failure are part of the objective function. In this work, we propose a performance measure approach (PMA) for RO problems. We first demonstrate that RO problems can be solved as a sequence of RBDO sub-problems. The main idea is to take target reliability indexes (i.e., probabilities of failure) as design variables. This allows the use of existing RBDO algorithms to solve RO problems. The idea also extends the literature concerning RBDO to the context of RO. Here, we solve the resulting RBDO sub-problems using the PMA. Sensitivity expressions required by the proposed approach are also presented. The proposed approach is compared to an algorithm that employs the first-order reliability method (FORM) for evaluation of the probabilities of failure. The numerical examples show that the proposed approach is efficient and more stable than direct employment of FORM. This behavior has also been observed in the context of RBDO, and was the main reason for the development of PMA. Consequently, the proposed approach can be seen as an extension of PMA approaches to RO, which result in more stable optimization algorithms.

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Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
In this work, the term “surrogate model” is employed if the relation between the probability of failure (alternatively the objective function/constraint of the optimization problem) and the design variables is approximated (i.e., the approximation occurs at the upper-level optimization problem). The term “stochastic expansion” is employed when the relation between the probability of failure (or statistical moments) and the random variables is approximated (i.e., the approximation occurs at the lower-level reliability analysis problem). Note that the classification is not related to the approximation technique itself. Kriging and artificial neural networks, for example, can be employed for both purposes.
 
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Metadata
Title
A performance measure approach for risk optimization
Authors
André Jacomel Torii
Rafael Holdorf Lopez
André Teófilo Beck
Leandro Fleck Fadel Miguel
Publication date
12-03-2019
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization / Issue 3/2019
Print ISSN: 1615-147X
Electronic ISSN: 1615-1488
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00158-019-02243-5

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