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Population and Environment
Published in: Population and Environment 4/2021

30-09-2020 | Original Paper

Amenities or disamenities? Estimating the impacts of extreme heat and wildfire on domestic US migration

Authors: Richelle L. Winkler, Mark D. Rouleau

Published in: Population and Environment | Issue 4/2021

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Abstract

For decades, Americans have generally been moving away from the Northeast and the Midwest toward the South and West. Mountainous and desert areas in the West and Southwest have been especially popular internal migration destinations. However, these same areas are particularly susceptible to the increasing impacts of climate change on extreme heat and wildfire. This paper investigates relationships between disaster-level fire events and extreme heat on county-level migration in the USA using annual panel data for the years 1990–2015. Are wildfire and extreme heat associated with changes in migration patterns? And, are relationships between such “disamenities” and migration stronger in counties with closer ties to environmental amenities? Fixed effects and random effects regression analysis show that both experiencing a disaster-level wildfire and extreme heat in the prior year were associated with reduced migration. Relationships are stronger in counties rich in natural amenities and outdoor recreation, suggesting that in places known for their environmental amenities, shifts toward environmental disamenities may be particularly impactful.
previous article Left home high and dry-reduced migration in response to repeated droughts in Thailand and Vietnam

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Metadata
Title
Amenities or disamenities? Estimating the impacts of extreme heat and wildfire on domestic US migration
Authors
Richelle L. Winkler
Mark D. Rouleau
Publication date
30-09-2020
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Population and Environment / Issue 4/2021
Print ISSN: 0199-0039
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7810
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00364-4

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