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18-09-2015

An Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) framework for property valuation to identify the ideal 2050 portfolio mixes in EU-27 countries with shrinking populations

Authors: Roberto Cervelló-Royo, Francisco Guijarro, Thomas Pfahler, Marion Preuss

Published in: Quality & Quantity | Issue 5/2016

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Abstract

This paper presents a new methodology to evaluate the development trends of the residential trade and industry up until 2050. In the first step available data are analysed for the period 1970–2050. In the second step an expert assessment based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) methodology is integrated to reflect the estimation of various expert forecasts of the future. The AHP methodology is based on different variables in the fields of demographic, social-environmental as well as build-quality characteristics to imply a widespread perception of the portfolio mix of habitations in 2050. There will mainly be a focus on several EU-27 countries with potential future-shrinking populations like Bulgaria, Estonia, Germany, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania and Slovakia. Furthermore, they will be compared with Spain whose population is expected to increase.

previous article An alternative free trade agreement scheme to developing countries: the micro-free trade territory (MFTT)

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Title: An Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) framework for property valuation to identify the ideal 2050 portfolio mixes in EU-27 countries with shrinking populations
Authors: Roberto Cervelló-Royo
Francisco Guijarro
Thomas Pfahler
Marion Preuss
Publication date: 18-09-2015
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Published in: Quality & Quantity / Issue 5/2016
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-015-0264-3

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