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Published in: Annals of Finance 4/2018

06-06-2018 | Research Article

Analysis of the SRISK measure and its application to the Canadian banking and insurance industries

Authors: Thomas F. Coleman, Alex LaPlante, Alexey Rubtsov

Published in: Annals of Finance | Issue 4/2018

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Abstract

In this paper, we analyse, modify, and apply one of the most widely used measures of systemic risk, SRISK, developed by Brownlees and Engle (in Rev Financ Stud 30:48–79, 2016). The measure is defined as the expected capital shortfall of a firm conditional on a prolonged market decline. We argue that segregated funds, also known as separate accounts in the US, should be excluded from actuarial liabilities when SRISK is calculated for insurance companies. We also demonstrate the importance of careful analysis of accounting standards when specifying the prudential capital ratio used in SRISK methodology. Based on the proposed adjustments to SRISK, we assess the systemic risk of the Canadian banking and insurance industries. It is shown that in its current implementation, the SRISK methodology substantially overestimates the systemic risk of Canadian insurance companies.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
2
On December 18, 2014, one the largest US insurance companies, MetLife, was notified by the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) that it had been designated a non-bank SIFI. MetLife challenged that decision in federal court and on March 30, 2016 U.S. District Court Judge Rosemary Collyer ruled in MetLife’s favor and rescinded FSOC’s designation of the company as a SIFI. The Department of Justice on behalf of FSOC has appealed that decision and the case is now under consideration with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit. See https://​www.​metlife.​com/​sifiupdate/​index.​html.
 
3
Please note that there is some controversy surrounding the strength of the Canadian banking system during the crisis (see the discussion in Sect. 5 and references therein).
 
4
The term “quasi-market value” of assets is to reflect the fact that we use the book value of debt (not its market value) together with market value of equity.
 
5
The graphs for Royal Bank of Canada (RBC), Bank of Montreal (BMO), and Scotiabank provide similar estimates.
 
7
We would like to emphasize that this analysis ignores the differences in other non-derivative balance sheet categories that result in accounting standard differences.
 
8
The book values of Debt used in the historical capital ratio calculation were adjusted for the segregated fund (see section ‘Segregated Fund Adjustment’).
 
9
It is also the case that the dynamics of SRISK can change after the adjustment. It can be shown that over the last decade there is an obvious upward trend of total SRISK for the US insurance companies under consideration, whereas there is no observable trend in SRISKa.
 
10
Canada Bank Bailout: Yes, There Was One, And Here’s Why It’s Important To Remember That. The Huffington Post, May 1, 2012.
Don’t Call it a Bailout. It Wasn’t. The Huffington Post, May 1, 2012.
 
11
U.S. financial crisis hits CIBC. Toronto Star, March 17, 2008.
TD bank reports $350 M in credit losses. Toronto Star, November 29, 2008.
 
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Metadata
Title
Analysis of the SRISK measure and its application to the Canadian banking and insurance industries
Authors
Thomas F. Coleman
Alex LaPlante
Alexey Rubtsov
Publication date
06-06-2018
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Annals of Finance / Issue 4/2018
Print ISSN: 1614-2446
Electronic ISSN: 1614-2454
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-018-0326-3

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