Skip to main content
Top

2011 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Analysis on Volatility of Copper and Aluminum Futures Market of China

Authors : Wang Shu-ping, Wang Zhen-wei, Wu Zhen-xin

Published in: Modeling Risk Management for Resources and Environment in China

Publisher: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The metal futures market is a typical nonlinear dynamic system. Using R/S method and FIEGARCH model, the paper study nonlinear characteristics and long-term memory of copper and aluminum futures market of China. The empirical results show that: the return series and volatility series of copper and aluminum futures have significant long-term memory, and the volatility leverage effect of copper futures is more obvious than aluminum futures. Furthermore, the copper futures prices respond vehemently to bad news. Testing find that FIEGARCH model is more suitable for the volatility analysis on copper and aluminum futures market of China.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Baillie RT, Bollerslev T, Millelsen HO (1996) Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. J Econometrics 74:3–30CrossRef Baillie RT, Bollerslev T, Millelsen HO (1996) Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. J Econometrics 74:3–30CrossRef
go back to reference Bollerslev T, Mikkelsen H (1996) Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility. J Econometrics 73:151–184CrossRef Bollerslev T, Mikkelsen H (1996) Modeling and pricing long memory in stock market volatility. J Econometrics 73:151–184CrossRef
go back to reference Helms BP, Kaen FR, Rosenman RE (1984) Memory in commodity futures contracts. J Futures Mark 10:559–567CrossRef Helms BP, Kaen FR, Rosenman RE (1984) Memory in commodity futures contracts. J Futures Mark 10:559–567CrossRef
go back to reference Ji Guangpo, Yang Junhong (2004) An empirical study on autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity effect in China’s futures market. Econ Rev 5:100–103 (in Chinese) Ji Guangpo, Yang Junhong (2004) An empirical study on autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity effect in China’s futures market. Econ Rev 5:100–103 (in Chinese)
go back to reference Li Jiang, Zou Kai (2007) The empirical study on fractal structure of China’s futures market. Zhejiang Finance 8:38–39 (in Chinese) Li Jiang, Zou Kai (2007) The empirical study on fractal structure of China’s futures market. Zhejiang Finance 8:38–39 (in Chinese)
go back to reference Li Yan, Qi Zhongying, Niu Hongyuan (2005) R/S analysis of time series of copper futures prices of Shanghai futures exchange. J Manage Sci 18:87–92 (in Chinese) Li Yan, Qi Zhongying, Niu Hongyuan (2005) R/S analysis of time series of copper futures prices of Shanghai futures exchange. J Manage Sci 18:87–92 (in Chinese)
go back to reference Mandelbrot BB (1963) The variation of certain speculative prices. J Business 36:394–419CrossRef Mandelbrot BB (1963) The variation of certain speculative prices. J Business 36:394–419CrossRef
go back to reference Panas E (2001) Long memory and chaotic models of prices on the London Metal Exchange. Resour Policy 27:23–246CrossRef Panas E (2001) Long memory and chaotic models of prices on the London Metal Exchange. Resour Policy 27:23–246CrossRef
go back to reference Peters EE (1999) Chaos and order in the capital markets. Economic Science Press, Beijing Peters EE (1999) Chaos and order in the capital markets. Economic Science Press, Beijing
go back to reference Tang Yanwei, Chen Gang, Zhang Chenhong (2005) An empirical research on the long-term correlation of the price volatility of the agricultural products futures markets. Syst Eng 23:79–84 (in Chinese) Tang Yanwei, Chen Gang, Zhang Chenhong (2005) An empirical research on the long-term correlation of the price volatility of the agricultural products futures markets. Syst Eng 23:79–84 (in Chinese)
Metadata
Title
Analysis on Volatility of Copper and Aluminum Futures Market of China
Authors
Wang Shu-ping
Wang Zhen-wei
Wu Zhen-xin
Copyright Year
2011
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-18387-4_48