Skip to main content
Top

2020 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Assessment of Political Risk Factors Associated with Public-Private Partnership Projects in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Lagos State Nigeria

Authors : Akintayo Opawole, Kahilu Kajimo-Shakantu

Published in: The Construction Industry in the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Previous studies identify political risk factors as significant to the poor performance of public-private partnership (PPP) contracts in general. This study therefore aimed at developing a simplified approach to manage this category of risk factors. Quantitative data were obtained using a structured questionnaire which was self-administered to 5 architects, 7 quantity surveyors, 12 engineers, 1 lawyer, 1 economist/financial manager/banker and 8 builders involved at the design, procurement, financing, construction, and project management of PPP projects in Lagos State, Nigeria. The respondents were selected using a respondent driven sampling (RDS) approach. Data analysis was done using descriptive and inferential statistics. Key findings include that corruption and exchange rate policy were the most frequently occurring risk factors with indices of 0.806 and 0.748 respectively. Moreover, strict implementation of anti-corruption and transparency together with appropriate use of financial instruments were the appropriate mitigation measures. The study highlights implications for managing political risk factors associated with PPP projects that could guide investment decisions in infrastructure development by the private sector in developing countries.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Eaton, D., Akbiyikli, R., Lemos, T., Gunnigan, L., Kutanis, R.O., Casensky, M., Ladra, J., El Sawalhi, N.: An examination of the suitability of a UK PFI model within the Czech Republic, the Republic of Ireland, Palestine (Gaza-West Bank), Portugal and Turkey. Constr. Innov. Info. Process Manag. 7(1), 122–142 (2007)CrossRef Eaton, D., Akbiyikli, R., Lemos, T., Gunnigan, L., Kutanis, R.O., Casensky, M., Ladra, J., El Sawalhi, N.: An examination of the suitability of a UK PFI model within the Czech Republic, the Republic of Ireland, Palestine (Gaza-West Bank), Portugal and Turkey. Constr. Innov. Info. Process Manag. 7(1), 122–142 (2007)CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Opawole, A., Jagboro, G.O., Kajimo-Shakantu, K., Olojede, B.O.: Critical performance factors of public sector organization in concession-based PPP projects in Nigeria. Prop. Manag. 37(1), 17–37 (2019) Opawole, A., Jagboro, G.O., Kajimo-Shakantu, K., Olojede, B.O.: Critical performance factors of public sector organization in concession-based PPP projects in Nigeria. Prop. Manag. 37(1), 17–37 (2019)
3.
go back to reference Ke, Y., Wang, S., Chan, A.P.C.: Equitable risks allocation of projects inside China: analyses from delphi survey studies. Chinese Manag. Stud. 5(3), 298–310 (2010)CrossRef Ke, Y., Wang, S., Chan, A.P.C.: Equitable risks allocation of projects inside China: analyses from delphi survey studies. Chinese Manag. Stud. 5(3), 298–310 (2010)CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Boudet, H.S., Jayasundera, D.C., Davis, J.: Drivers of conflict in developing country infrastructure projects: experience from the water and pipeline sectors. J. Constr. Eng. Manag. 137(7), 498–511 (2011)CrossRef Boudet, H.S., Jayasundera, D.C., Davis, J.: Drivers of conflict in developing country infrastructure projects: experience from the water and pipeline sectors. J. Constr. Eng. Manag. 137(7), 498–511 (2011)CrossRef
5.
go back to reference Ferro, G.: Political Risk and regulatory Risk: Issues in Emerging Markets Infrastructure Concessions. Universidad, Argentina (2001) Ferro, G.: Political Risk and regulatory Risk: Issues in Emerging Markets Infrastructure Concessions. Universidad, Argentina (2001)
6.
go back to reference Olufidipe, O.: Government Budgeting in Nigeria: Principle, Policies, and Practices. Obafemi Awolowo University Press Ltd., Ile-Ife (2003) Olufidipe, O.: Government Budgeting in Nigeria: Principle, Policies, and Practices. Obafemi Awolowo University Press Ltd., Ile-Ife (2003)
7.
go back to reference Opawole, A., Jagboro, G.O., Babatunde, S.O.: Factors influencing the implementation of public infrastructure in Nigeria. Global J. Res. Eng. 11(6), 29–38 (2011) Opawole, A., Jagboro, G.O., Babatunde, S.O.: Factors influencing the implementation of public infrastructure in Nigeria. Global J. Res. Eng. 11(6), 29–38 (2011)
8.
go back to reference United State Agency for International Development (2005) United State Agency for International Development (2005)
10.
go back to reference Akinsiku, O.E., Babatunde, S.O., Opawole, A.: Adoption of public-private partnerships (PPP) procurement method on infrastructure delivery in Nigeria. J. Niger. Inst. Quant. Surveyors 58, 3–12 (2014) Akinsiku, O.E., Babatunde, S.O., Opawole, A.: Adoption of public-private partnerships (PPP) procurement method on infrastructure delivery in Nigeria. J. Niger. Inst. Quant. Surveyors 58, 3–12 (2014)
11.
go back to reference Kerf, M., Gray, R.D., Taylor, R.R.: Concession for infrastructure: a guide to the design and award. World Bank Technical paper, no. 399, pp. 1–194, Washington DC (1998) Kerf, M., Gray, R.D., Taylor, R.R.: Concession for infrastructure: a guide to the design and award. World Bank Technical paper, no. 399, pp. 1–194, Washington DC (1998)
12.
go back to reference Mouravie, N.: Risk management in public-private partnership and research agenda for transitional countries. Int. J. Manag. Bus. Stud. 2(2), 37–41 (2012) Mouravie, N.: Risk management in public-private partnership and research agenda for transitional countries. Int. J. Manag. Bus. Stud. 2(2), 37–41 (2012)
13.
go back to reference Grimsey, D., Lewis, M.K.: Evaluating the risks of public private partnerships for infrastructure projects. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 20, 107–118 (2002)CrossRef Grimsey, D., Lewis, M.K.: Evaluating the risks of public private partnerships for infrastructure projects. Int. J. Proj. Manag. 20, 107–118 (2002)CrossRef
14.
go back to reference Opawole, A., Jagboro, G.O.: Factors affecting the performance of private party in concession-based PPP projects in Nigeria. J Eng. Des. Technol. 15(1), 44–57 (2017) Opawole, A., Jagboro, G.O.: Factors affecting the performance of private party in concession-based PPP projects in Nigeria. J Eng. Des. Technol. 15(1), 44–57 (2017)
15.
go back to reference Fischer, K., Leidel, K., Riemann, A., Alfen, H.W.: An integrated risk management system (IRMS) for PPP projects. J Financ. Manag. Prop. Constr. 15(3), 260–282 (2010)CrossRef Fischer, K., Leidel, K., Riemann, A., Alfen, H.W.: An integrated risk management system (IRMS) for PPP projects. J Financ. Manag. Prop. Constr. 15(3), 260–282 (2010)CrossRef
16.
go back to reference Ameyaw, E.E., Chan, A.P.C.: Identifying public-private partnership (PPP) risks in managing water supply in Ghana. J. Facil. Manag. 11(920), 152–182 (2013)CrossRef Ameyaw, E.E., Chan, A.P.C.: Identifying public-private partnership (PPP) risks in managing water supply in Ghana. J. Facil. Manag. 11(920), 152–182 (2013)CrossRef
17.
go back to reference Voelker, C., Permana, A., Sachs, T., Tiong, R.: Political risk perception in Indonesian power projects. J. Financ. Manag. Prop. Constr. 13(1), 18–34 (2008)CrossRef Voelker, C., Permana, A., Sachs, T., Tiong, R.: Political risk perception in Indonesian power projects. J. Financ. Manag. Prop. Constr. 13(1), 18–34 (2008)CrossRef
18.
go back to reference Lashinde, A.T., Ogunsemi, D.R., Awodele, O.A.: Financial and political risks influencing investors’ decisions in concession infrastructure delivery in Nigeria. In: Ogunsemi, D.R., Oke, A.E. (eds.) Proceedings of 2nd Research Conference-NIQS Recon2, pp. 743–746. Nigerian Institute of Quantity surveyors, Akure, Nigeria (2015) Lashinde, A.T., Ogunsemi, D.R., Awodele, O.A.: Financial and political risks influencing investors’ decisions in concession infrastructure delivery in Nigeria. In: Ogunsemi, D.R., Oke, A.E. (eds.) Proceedings of 2nd Research Conference-NIQS Recon2, pp. 743–746. Nigerian Institute of Quantity surveyors, Akure, Nigeria (2015)
20.
go back to reference United States Department of Transportation: Innovative Program Delivery, Risk Assessment for Public-Private Partnership: A primer (2012) United States Department of Transportation: Innovative Program Delivery, Risk Assessment for Public-Private Partnership: A primer (2012)
21.
go back to reference Patrick, X.W., Wang, S.W., Fang, D.: A life-cycle risk management framework for PPP infrastructure projects. J. Financ. Manag. Prop. Constr. 13(2), 123–142 (2008) Patrick, X.W., Wang, S.W., Fang, D.: A life-cycle risk management framework for PPP infrastructure projects. J. Financ. Manag. Prop. Constr. 13(2), 123–142 (2008)
22.
go back to reference Jensen, N.: Measuring Risk: Insurance Premiums and Domestic Political Institutions. Washington University, USA (2005) Jensen, N.: Measuring Risk: Insurance Premiums and Domestic Political Institutions. Washington University, USA (2005)
23.
go back to reference Jagboro, G.O., Ojo, G.K., Opawole, A., Akindoyin, G.S.: Risks associated with concession-based contracts in Lagos state, Nigeria. American Association of Cost Engineering International Technical paper, RISK.1544.1, New Orleans (2014) Jagboro, G.O., Ojo, G.K., Opawole, A., Akindoyin, G.S.: Risks associated with concession-based contracts in Lagos state, Nigeria. American Association of Cost Engineering International Technical paper, RISK.1544.1, New Orleans (2014)
24.
go back to reference Heckathorn, D.D.: Respondent-driven sampling II: deriving valid estimates from chain-referral samples of hidden populations. Soc. Probl. 49(1), 11–34 (2002)CrossRef Heckathorn, D.D.: Respondent-driven sampling II: deriving valid estimates from chain-referral samples of hidden populations. Soc. Probl. 49(1), 11–34 (2002)CrossRef
25.
go back to reference Babatunde, S.O., Perera, S., Zhou, L., Udeaja, C.: Barriers to public private partnership projects in developing countries. Eng. Constr. Archit. Manag. 22(6), 669–691 (2015)CrossRef Babatunde, S.O., Perera, S., Zhou, L., Udeaja, C.: Barriers to public private partnership projects in developing countries. Eng. Constr. Archit. Manag. 22(6), 669–691 (2015)CrossRef
26.
go back to reference Li, B., Akintoye, A., Edwards, P.J., Hardcastle, C.: Critical success factors for PPP/PFI projects in the UK construction industry. Constr. Manag. Econ. 23, 459–471 (2005)CrossRef Li, B., Akintoye, A., Edwards, P.J., Hardcastle, C.: Critical success factors for PPP/PFI projects in the UK construction industry. Constr. Manag. Econ. 23, 459–471 (2005)CrossRef
27.
go back to reference Kothari, C.R.: Research Methodology Methods and Techniques, 2nd edn. New Age International (P) Limited Publishers, New Delhi (2004) Kothari, C.R.: Research Methodology Methods and Techniques, 2nd edn. New Age International (P) Limited Publishers, New Delhi (2004)
Metadata
Title
Assessment of Political Risk Factors Associated with Public-Private Partnership Projects in Developing Countries: A Case Study of Lagos State Nigeria
Authors
Akintayo Opawole
Kahilu Kajimo-Shakantu
Copyright Year
2020
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-26528-1_36