Assessment of the Efficiency of Implementation and Forecasting of Innovative Processes in the Region

Based on the conducted analysis of forecasting trends of long-term development of innovation processes in the regions based on current provisions and normative documentation defining the state strategy of long-term innovation development, the author substantiates the necessity of further development of the structural-logical procedure of forecasting of development of innovation processes in the region, including adequate econometric and mathematical models in interrelation with analytical-expert methods of judgment. In the context of designing directions of development of innovation processes in the region, the methodological provisions for determining the types of development of innovation processes in the region were supplemented. These methodological provisions are based on the models reflecting the receipt of 5D-effects from the implementation of projects of innovation transformations in the region, the need for which arose in response to the identified 5D-deficiencies of the progressive development of innovation processes in the region. These violations were fixed as a result of the negative dynamics of the direct-directed indicators and the positive dynamics of the reverse-directed indicators.