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2002 | Book

Climate Change and Developing Countries

Authors: N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye

Publisher: Springer Netherlands

Book Series : Advances in Global Change Research

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About this book

Among global environmental issues, climate change has received the largest attention of national and global policy makers, researchers, industry, multilateral banks and NGOs. Climate change is one of the most important global environmental problems with unique characteristics. It is global, long-term (up to several centuries) and involves complex interactions between climatic, environmental, economic, political, institutional and technological pressures. It is of great significance to developing countries as all the available knowledge suggests that they, and particularly their poorer inhabitants, are highly vulnerable to climate impacts. The projected warming of 1. 4 to 5. 8° C by 2100 and the related changes in rainfall pattern, rise in sea-level and increased frequency of extreme events (such as drought, hurricanes and storms) are likely to threaten food security, increase fresh water scarcity, lead to decline in biodiversity, increase occurrence of vector-borne diseases, cause flooding of coastal settlements, etc. Recognizing the potential threat of severe disruptions, the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development was organized in 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil to begin to address ways to reduce these impacts, which led to the formulation of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. This Convention and the subsequent Kyoto Protocol recognize “the common but differentiated responsibility” of developing and industrialized countries in addressing climate change. Developing countries thus have a unique role to play in formulating a sound, reasoned, and well informed response to the threat of climate change.

Table of Contents

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Introduction
Abstract
Climate change is one of the most important global environmental challenges facing humanity with implications for food production, natural ecosystems, fresh water supply, health, etc. According to the recent IPCC scientific assessment, the earth’s climate system has demonstrably changed on both global and regional scales since the pre-industrial era (IPCC, 2001). Further, there is evidence to show that most of the warming (of 0.1 °C per decade) observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Abstract
Increase in greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere due to human activities is one of the contributory factors to global warming and climate change. The dominant greenhouse gases are carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O); the major sources of emissions are fossil fuel combustion, land-use change and agricultural activities such as livestock rearing and rice production; and the major sectors responsible for the emissions are energy, industrial processes, agriculture, land-use change and forestry (LUCF) and waste. Knowledge of the sources of greenhouse gas emissions, sectoral emissions, contribution of different regions and countries, trends in greenhouse gas emissions, the relationship between greenhouse gas emissions and economic development and trends in greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere are critical for global negotiations on combating climate change. So, this chapter is devoted to a discussion of these topics. The focus is on developing countries and the discussion is supported by case studies of greenhouse gas emissions from three countries, namely Argentina, Indonesia and Zimbabwe.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 3. Carbon Emissions — Historical Trends and Future Scenarios
Abstract
An assessment of the factors that have been contributing to the carbon emissions from a country, and factors that are likely to be responsible for the growth of such emissions in the future, will help to map the history of emissions growth in that country. This historical trend can help to predict future scenarios by identifying the primary factors that will cause emissions growth in the next few decades. High economic growth tends to lead to a higher effective turnover of the capital stock, which facilitates the adoption of more modern and efficient technology. In addition, long-run substitution elasticity between capital and energy is much higher than short-run elasticity (Sachs et al., 1999; Panayotou et al., 1999). Coupled with structural changes towards less energy-intensive economic activities, we expect countries will reduce their energy intensity (and thus carbon intensity) in the long term (IIASA/WEC, 1995). However, one has to recognize that unexpected radical changes, such as the economic collapse and subsequent restructuring of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, or financial crises such as the Asian market collapse of 1997, can significantly change future energy and emissions growth rates.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 4. Climate Change: Vulnerability, Impacts and Adaptation
Abstract
According to a survey conducted for UNEP’s Global Environmental Outlook, environmental experts and research scientists perceive climate change as a dominant environmental issue for the current generation (UNEP, 1999). The survey, conducted among 200 environmental experts from over 50 countries, including several research scientists, found that 51% of the respondents considered climate change as the major environmental problem facing us today. 29% of those surveyed felt that fresh water scarcity was the major problem. Among other problems identified were: deforestation or desertification (28%), fresh water pollution (28%), loss of biodiversity (23%), population growth (22%), and waste disposal (20%). Recognizing the major threat presented by climate change, the parties to the UNFCCC agreed to take action to avoid dangerous levels of climate change by ensuring that food production is not threatened, and economic development is promoted in a sustainable manner.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 5. Climate Change Mitigation
Abstract
Developing countries have lower per capita income, use less energy per capita and use fuels less efficiently than industrialized countries. This less efficient use of fuels stems from both lack of state-of-the-art technology and proportionally higher use of coal, which produces more CO2 per unit of energy used than petroleum products and natural gas. In addition, developing countries are net emitters of greenhouse gases from the burning of forests for land clearing and the burning of non-renewable biomass for cooking and other uses. The historical contribution of developing countries to global greenhouse gas concentration has been small, but commensurate with their high economic and population growth, their emissions from developing countries are expected to increase rapidly and overtake those from industrialized countries during the early decades of this century (Figure 2.9). As discussed in the earlier chapters, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at the 550 ppmv (parts per million volume) level will require that these countries begin to reduce their future greenhouse gas emissions by some period between 2040–2060. The exact decade when reductions will need to begin will depend on the global pathway and rate of emissions growth from now until 2100 and beyond.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 6. Policies, Programs, and Measures
Abstract
A wave of market liberalization and policy changes swept through the developing world in the 1990s. Many developing countries opened their markets to foreign investment and competition, removed fuel subsidies, deregulated the electricity sector, banned commercial forestry, and imposed strict emissions controls on vehicles and industry. Policies, programs and measures (PPMs) were initiated to find new sources of investment, reduce the fiscal drain on government treasuries, make energy industries more accountable for their actions, and protect the local environments. But few of these initiatives were implemented with the express purpose of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 7. Global Mechanisms for Addressing Climate Change
Abstract
Since the UNCED (United Nations Conference on Environment and Development) of 1992, the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) has been working on diverse global mechanisms to address the twin objectives of the Convention, namely, the stabilization of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and promotion of sustainable development. Global Environment Facility (GEF) is a financing mechanism adopted by the UNFCCC, while the Kyoto Protocol mechanisms include the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), Emissions Trade (ET), and a mechanism to allow implementation of project activities under Article 6 of the Protocol that is often referred to as Joint Implementation (JI). The two mechanisms that are of direct relevance to developing countries are GEF, which is nearly a decade old, and CDM, which is an emerging mechanism. GEF and CDM, apart from meeting environmental objectives, aim to promote activities leading to the transfer of Environmentally Sustainable Technologies (ESTs), capital flows to and capacity building in developing countries and ultimately, the promotion of sustainable development. In this chapter, we focus on assessing the implications of GEF and CDM as effective tools to advance the broad goals of the Convention and the Kyoto Protocol, from the developing country perspective.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 8. Climate Change: Development, Equity and Sustainability
Abstract
Global development is characterized by inequities within and across countries, non-sustainable dependence on resources (such as water, forests and fossil fuels), and the degradation of local and global environments. National and global attention on environmental issues although increasing, remains inadequate, particularly with regard to environmental conservation. According to UNEP (2000), firstly, environmental issues need to be integrated into mainstream decision-making about agriculture, energy, trade, investment, infrastructure, finance, research and development. Secondly, environmental policies need to move away from a strictly sectoral approach to include broader social (equity), economic and environmental considerations in planning. Thirdly, international action to manage global environmental problems such as climate change, deforestation, loss of biodiversity and prevention of desertification (land degradation) need to be pursued with the full participation of all countries.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Chapter 9. Climate Change and Developing Countries
Abstract
Climate change is one of the most important global environmental problems with unique characteristics. It is global, long-term (up to several centuries) and involves complex interactions between climatic, environmental, economic, political, institutional and technological pressures. Climate change has significant international and intergenerational implications for equity and sustainable development. Further, decision-making and actions to stabilize climate change are characterized by i) uncertainty and risks associated with projecting changes in climate, ii) future impacts on natural and socio-economic systems, and iii) population and economic growth. Developing countries have a larger stake in devising ways to mitigate and adapt to climate change, as they are most vulnerable to its adverse impacts. Thus, developing countries need full access to information on all aspects of climate change, including the contribution of countries and regions to the growth in greenhouse gas emissions, changes in regional climate, impacts of projected climate change on ecosystems and the economy, technology and capital needs to mitigate and adapt to climate change, implications of addressing climate change mitigation and adaptation on equity and sustainable development, and global mechanisms to address climate change and their implications. Chapters 1 to 8 addressed these issues.
N. H. Ravindranath, Jayant A. Sathaye
Backmatter
Metadata
Title
Climate Change and Developing Countries
Authors
N. H. Ravindranath
Jayant A. Sathaye
Copyright Year
2002
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Electronic ISBN
978-0-306-47980-9
Print ISBN
978-1-4020-0771-2
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/0-306-47980-X