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18-08-2021

COVID-19 Propagation Model Based on Economic Development and Interventions

Authors: Fuzhong Nian, Yayong Shi, Jun Cao

Published in: Wireless Personal Communications | Issue 3/2022

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Abstract

In order to understand the influencing factors affecting the COVID-19 propagation, and analyze the development trend of the epidemic situation in the world, COVID-19 propagation model to simulate the COVID-19 propagation in the population is proposed in this paper. First of all, this paper analyzes the economic factors and interventions affecting the COVID-19 propagation in various different countries. Then, the touch number for COVID-19 High-risk Population Dynamic Network in this paper was redefined, and it predicts and analyzes the development trend of the epidemic situation in different countries. The simulation data and the published confirmed data by the world health organization could fit well, which also verified the reliability of the model. Finally, this paper also analyzes the impact of public awareness of prevention on the control of the epidemic. The analysis shows that increasing the awareness of prevention, timely and early adoption of protective measures such as wearing masks, and reducing travel can greatly reduce the risk of infection and the outbreak scale.

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Title: COVID-19 Propagation Model Based on Economic Development and Interventions
Authors: Fuzhong Nian
Yayong Shi
Jun Cao
Publication date: 18-08-2021
Publisher: Springer US
Published in: Wireless Personal Communications / Issue 3/2022
Print ISSN: 0929-6212
Electronic ISSN: 1572-834X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11277-021-08998-9

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