Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Service Business 2/2008

01-06-2008 | Original Paper

Development of a technological competition model in the presence of network effects from the modified law of Metcalfe

Authors: José Ignacio López-Sánchez, José Luis Arroyo-Barrigüete, Domingo Ribeiro

Published in: Service Business | Issue 2/2008

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to propose a new model of competence in presence of network effects. We will introduce some modifications in the Lotka-Volterra model, in order to solve its deficiencies. The main improvement is to introduce a modification of Metcalfe’s Law, what allow us to reflect the effect of congestion externalities. The model’s validation, developed by numerical simulation, confirms that its behaviour is quite similar to that observed in real markets.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Footnotes
1
Even though the majority of network effects that emerge in electronic markets are positive (Shapiro and Varian 1998), there may also emerge negative network effects originating for example from congestion (Zodrow 2003).
 
2
Note that although they have identical interpretations, the constant c will not coincide numerically with the constant . This is because the model expressed as so much by one is a reparametrisation of the model expressed in the number of users.
 
3
In the original model (1) the approach is very similar.
 
4
Growth based on the logistical equation, which is characterised by a sigmoidal-type evolution or in “s”.
 
5
Although the simulation algorithms are different in each case, in all cases the Runge-Kutta method of order 4 with pass h = 0.001 has been employed for the numerical resolution of equations.
 
6
The algorithm proposed stops the simulation when a standard achieves a market share equal to 1 and the other equal to 0, or when the 100 time units are reached.
 
Literature
go back to reference Amit R, Zott C (2001) Value creation in e-Business. Strateg Manage J 22:493–520CrossRef Amit R, Zott C (2001) Value creation in e-Business. Strateg Manage J 22:493–520CrossRef
go back to reference Angelelli P, Butler I, Chambouleyron A, Diegues P, Madanes R (2000) Com.ar. La revolución de las tecnologías de la informática y las comunicaciones en Argentina. Instituto de Estudios para la Realidad Argentina (IERAL) Angelelli P, Butler I, Chambouleyron A, Diegues P, Madanes R (2000) Com.ar. La revolución de las tecnologías de la informática y las comunicaciones en Argentina. Instituto de Estudios para la Realidad Argentina (IERAL)
go back to reference Arroyo JL, López JI (2004). Externalidades de red en la economía digital. Comunicación en el XIV Congreso Nacional ACEDE, Murcia Arroyo JL, López JI (2004). Externalidades de red en la economía digital. Comunicación en el XIV Congreso Nacional ACEDE, Murcia
go back to reference Arthur BW (1989) Competing technologies, increasing returns and lock-in by historical events. Econ J 99:116–131CrossRef Arthur BW (1989) Competing technologies, increasing returns and lock-in by historical events. Econ J 99:116–131CrossRef
go back to reference Besen MS, Farrell J (1994) Choosing how to compete: strategies and tactics in standardization. J Econ Perspect 8(2):117–131 Besen MS, Farrell J (1994) Choosing how to compete: strategies and tactics in standardization. J Econ Perspect 8(2):117–131
go back to reference Briscoe B, Odlyzko A, Tilly B (2006) Metcalfe’s law is wrong. IEEE Spectrum, July, pp 26–31 Briscoe B, Odlyzko A, Tilly B (2006) Metcalfe’s law is wrong. IEEE Spectrum, July, pp 26–31
go back to reference David PA (1984) Clio and the economics of QWERTY. The American Economic Review. In: Papers and proceedings of the 97th annual meeting of the American Economic Association, pp 332–337 David PA (1984) Clio and the economics of QWERTY. The American Economic Review. In: Papers and proceedings of the 97th annual meeting of the American Economic Association, pp 332–337
go back to reference Economides N, Himmelberg C (1995) Critical mass and network evolution in telecommunications. In Gerard Brock (ed), Toward a competitive telecommunications industry: selected papers from the 1994 telecommunications policy research conference. Disponible en Internet en http://www.stern.nyu.edu/networks/tprc.pdf Economides N, Himmelberg C (1995) Critical mass and network evolution in telecommunications. In Gerard Brock (ed), Toward a competitive telecommunications industry: selected papers from the 1994 telecommunications policy research conference. Disponible en Internet en http://​www.​stern.​nyu.​edu/​networks/​tprc.​pdf
go back to reference Economides N (1996a) The economics of networks. Int J Ind Organ 14:673–699CrossRef Economides N (1996a) The economics of networks. Int J Ind Organ 14:673–699CrossRef
go back to reference Economides N (1996b) Network externalities, complementarities, and invitation to enter. Eur J Pol Econ 12(2):211–233CrossRef Economides N (1996b) Network externalities, complementarities, and invitation to enter. Eur J Pol Econ 12(2):211–233CrossRef
go back to reference Fuentelsaz L, Maicas JP, Polo Y (2003) Economía digital y estrategia empresarial: Un análisis desde la dirección estratégica. Revista de Empresa 5:54–69 Fuentelsaz L, Maicas JP, Polo Y (2003) Economía digital y estrategia empresarial: Un análisis desde la dirección estratégica. Revista de Empresa 5:54–69
go back to reference Gandal N (1994) Hedonic prices index for spreadsheets and an empirical test for network externalities. RAND J Econ 25(1):160–170CrossRef Gandal N (1994) Hedonic prices index for spreadsheets and an empirical test for network externalities. RAND J Econ 25(1):160–170CrossRef
go back to reference Katz ML, Shapiro C (1985) Network externalities, competition and compatibility. Am Econ Rev 75:424–440 Katz ML, Shapiro C (1985) Network externalities, competition and compatibility. Am Econ Rev 75:424–440
go back to reference Katz ML, Shapiro C (1986) Technology adoption in the presence of network externalities. J Pol Econ 94:822–841CrossRef Katz ML, Shapiro C (1986) Technology adoption in the presence of network externalities. J Pol Econ 94:822–841CrossRef
go back to reference Katz ML, Shapiro C (1992) Product introduction with network externalities. J Ind Econ XL(1):55–83CrossRef Katz ML, Shapiro C (1992) Product introduction with network externalities. J Ind Econ XL(1):55–83CrossRef
go back to reference Keilbach M, Posch M (1998) Network externalities and the dynamics of markets. Interim report of the international institute for applied systems analysis ITR-98–089 Keilbach M, Posch M (1998) Network externalities and the dynamics of markets. Interim report of the international institute for applied systems analysis ITR-98–089
go back to reference Loch CH, Huberman BA (1999) A punctuated-equilibrium model of technology diffusion. Manage Sci 45(2):160–177 Loch CH, Huberman BA (1999) A punctuated-equilibrium model of technology diffusion. Manage Sci 45(2):160–177
go back to reference López L, Sanjuán MAF (2001) Defining strategies to win in the internet market. Physica A 301:512–534CrossRef López L, Sanjuán MAF (2001) Defining strategies to win in the internet market. Physica A 301:512–534CrossRef
go back to reference Mcgee J, Sammut TA (2002) Network industries in the new economy. Eur Bus J 14(3):116–132 Mcgee J, Sammut TA (2002) Network industries in the new economy. Eur Bus J 14(3):116–132
go back to reference Oren S, Smith S (1982) Nonlinear pricing and network externalities in telecommunications. In: the 6th international conference on computer communication Oren S, Smith S (1982) Nonlinear pricing and network externalities in telecommunications. In: the 6th international conference on computer communication
go back to reference Oren S, Dhebar A (1985) Optimal dynamics pricing for expanding networks. Mark Sci 4:336–351 Oren S, Dhebar A (1985) Optimal dynamics pricing for expanding networks. Mark Sci 4:336–351
go back to reference Oren S, Smith S, Wilson R (1982) Nonlinear pricing in markets with interdependent demand. Mark Sci 1:287–313 Oren S, Smith S, Wilson R (1982) Nonlinear pricing in markets with interdependent demand. Mark Sci 1:287–313
go back to reference Rohlfs J (1974) A theory of interdependent demand for a communication service. Bell J Econ Manage Sci 5(1):16–37CrossRef Rohlfs J (1974) A theory of interdependent demand for a communication service. Bell J Econ Manage Sci 5(1):16–37CrossRef
go back to reference Schilling MA (1998) Technological lockout: An integrative model of the economic and strategic factors driving technology success and failure. Acad Manage Rev 23:267–284CrossRef Schilling MA (1998) Technological lockout: An integrative model of the economic and strategic factors driving technology success and failure. Acad Manage Rev 23:267–284CrossRef
go back to reference Schilling MA (2002) Technology success and failure in winner-take-all markets: The impact of learning orientation, timing and network externalities. Acad Manage J 45:387–398CrossRef Schilling MA (2002) Technology success and failure in winner-take-all markets: The impact of learning orientation, timing and network externalities. Acad Manage J 45:387–398CrossRef
go back to reference Sevick P (2004) Innovation diffusion. Bus Commun Rev 34(9):8–11 Sevick P (2004) Innovation diffusion. Bus Commun Rev 34(9):8–11
go back to reference Shapiro C, Varian HR (1998) Information rules: a strategic guide to the network economy. Harvard Business School Press, Boston Shapiro C, Varian HR (1998) Information rules: a strategic guide to the network economy. Harvard Business School Press, Boston
go back to reference Wade J (1995) Dynamics of organizational communities and technological bandwagons: An empirical investigation of community evolution in the microprocessor market. Strateg Manage J 16(Special Issue):111–133CrossRef Wade J (1995) Dynamics of organizational communities and technological bandwagons: An empirical investigation of community evolution in the microprocessor market. Strateg Manage J 16(Special Issue):111–133CrossRef
go back to reference Xie J, Sirbu M (1995) Price competition and compatibility in the presence of positive demand externalities. Manage Sci 41:909–926CrossRef Xie J, Sirbu M (1995) Price competition and compatibility in the presence of positive demand externalities. Manage Sci 41:909–926CrossRef
go back to reference Zodrow GR (2003) Network externalities and indirect tax preferences for electronic commerce. Int Tax Public Financ 10(1):79–97CrossRef Zodrow GR (2003) Network externalities and indirect tax preferences for electronic commerce. Int Tax Public Financ 10(1):79–97CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Development of a technological competition model in the presence of network effects from the modified law of Metcalfe
Authors
José Ignacio López-Sánchez
José Luis Arroyo-Barrigüete
Domingo Ribeiro
Publication date
01-06-2008
Publisher
Springer-Verlag
Published in
Service Business / Issue 2/2008
Print ISSN: 1862-8516
Electronic ISSN: 1862-8508
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11628-007-0025-z

Other articles of this Issue 2/2008

Service Business 2/2008 Go to the issue