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Population and Environment
Published in: Population and Environment 4/2019

17-05-2019 | Original Paper

Direct and indirect impacts of environmental factors on migration in Burkina Faso: application of structural equation modelling

Authors: Florence De Longueville, Yajing Zhu, Sabine Henry

Published in: Population and Environment | Issue 4/2019

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Abstract

In the prolific literature on the impact of environment on migration, direct and indirect effects are often mentioned but rarely estimated separately. We use structural equation modelling to estimate how the drivers of migration (socio-economic, environmental and individual) interact with each other and jointly contribute to individuals’ migration decision in rural Burkina Faso (1970–1998). Facing a worsening environmental situation, people’s direct response tends to be short-term migrations to rural and urban areas, but the indirect effect differs: poor rainfall conditions push down socio-economic situation in communities, which in turn discourages migration to rural areas or to abroad. In total, an adverse environmental situation tends to increase the likelihood of short-term migrations to rural and urban areas and to decrease that of long-term migrations to rural areas and to abroad. These findings contribute to a clearer understanding of the migration response to poor environmental conditions.
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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
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Metadata
Title
Direct and indirect impacts of environmental factors on migration in Burkina Faso: application of structural equation modelling
Authors
Florence De Longueville
Yajing Zhu
Sabine Henry
Publication date
17-05-2019
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Population and Environment / Issue 4/2019
Print ISSN: 0199-0039
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7810
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-019-00320-x

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