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Published in: Quality & Quantity 4/2014

01-07-2014

Does economic liberalization promote economic growth in Pakistan? An empirical analysis

Authors: Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye, Wee-Yeap Lau, Marie-Aimée Tourres

Published in: Quality & Quantity | Issue 4/2014

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Abstract

The study aims to examine the short and long term impacts of economic liberalization on economic growth in case of Pakistan from 1971 to 2011. Economic liberalization consists of reforms in both trade liberalization and financial liberalization. This study contributes to the existing literature by constructing an economic liberalization index using principal component analysis. Our results show, firstly, that economic liberalization reforms have a positive impact on economic growth in the short run. However, trade liberalization is negatively associated with economic growth in the long-run. Secondly, the estimated coefficients through rolling window show that impact of economic liberalization on real GDP is unstable during the selected period of sample. This study recommends to policy makers to enhance human capital by having more expenditure on education sector. In addition, financial reforms by way of a sectoral credit allocation should be introduced to further promote the economic growth.

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Footnotes
1
It is negatively linked with EG if the local resources of the country are unable to effectively use the technology generated by the trade openness (see Romer 1986).
 
2
Mexico, Venezuela, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Honduras, El Salvador, Paraguay, Guatemala, Dominican Republic, Colombia, Chile, Suriname, Jamaica.
 
3
Burundi, Cameroon, Cote d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Gabon, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Mauritius, Nigeria, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Africa, The Gambia, Togo.
 
4
Computed a FLI in case of 13 developing countries by using interest rates deregulation, reduction of entry barriers, reduction of reserve requirements, reduction of credit controls, privatization of state Banks and and strengthening of prudential regulation. The countries under study were Argentina, Brazil, Chile, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Pakistan, Peru, Philippines, Rep. Korea, Taiwan, Thailand.
 
5
Developed financial liberalization in case of in case of India by using six indicator of financial liberalization. These indicators are interest rate liberalization, reduction in reserve requirements, pro-competition measures, increased prudential regulation, stock market development and international financial liberalization.
 
6
Developed financial indicator in case of Nepal by using eight component of financial liberalization. These indicators are interest rate liberalization, removal of entry barriers, reduction in reserve requirements, easing credit controls, introduction of Prudential Regulations, stock market reform, privatization of state-owned banks and external account liberalization.
 
7
Constructed financial liberalization in case of Botswana by using five indictors of financial reforms like: interest rate liberalization, exchange rate liberalization, reduction in reserve requirement, authorization of new banks and privatization of banks and securities markets.
 
8
Hye and Wizarat (2011c) computed financial liberalization in case of Pakistan by using eleven indicators : Islamization, interest rate deregulation, credit controls, stock market reforms, Prudential Regulations, privatization of financial institutions, removal of entry barriers, non performing loans, external account liberalization, debt management reforms and open market operations.
 
9
These four indicators of financial development are as follows: market capitalization of listed companies, liquid liabilities and domestic credit to the private sector as a percentage of GDP, and M2/M1.
 
10
Diwan (2001), Prasad et al. (2004), Cerra and Saxena (2005) explained that the foreign International capital flows have led to higher volatility. This volatility has led to financial and economic crises in low income countries (see Singh 2003; Easterly 2001). These crises are negatively related to growth, and other growth indicators like investment and saving (Diwan 1999).
 
11
The last component (M) shows negative correlation with other variables, so we use only seven indicators weight in the ELI calculation process.
 
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Metadata
Title
Does economic liberalization promote economic growth in Pakistan? An empirical analysis
Authors
Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye
Wee-Yeap Lau
Marie-Aimée Tourres
Publication date
01-07-2014
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Quality & Quantity / Issue 4/2014
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-013-9882-9

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