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Published in: Population and Environment 3/2021

24-10-2020 | Original Paper

Drought and disproportionate disease: an investigation of gendered vulnerabilities to HIV/AIDS in less-developed nations

Authors: Virginia Kuulei Berndt, Kelly F. Austin

Published in: Population and Environment | Issue 3/2021

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Abstract

Environmental change and climate-related disasters are an under-examined factor impacting women’s health, globally. Drawing on ecofeminist theory, we conduct analyses examining if the HIV burden among women is higher in nations that experience suffering from droughts. Specifically, we posit that droughts, which typically impact more people and for greater lengths of time than other climate-related disasters, have a unique impact on women’s vulnerability to HIV/AIDS. We use a cross-national dataset of less-developed countries and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression to explore and compare relationships between suffering from drought and total HIV prevalence and suffering from drought and women’s proportion of HIV cases. Overall, the results demonstrate that while droughts have an inconsistent impact on total HIV prevalence, suffering from drought significantly increases the proportion of HIV cases among women in comparison to men, net of the impact of common economic, social, cultural, and political predictors. The findings suggest that suffering from drought differentially impacts women’s health in less-developed countries, where a number of mechanisms, such as transactional sex or displacement, likely underlie the associations identified.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
Throughout this article, less-developed countries are defined as countries falling within the lower three quartiles of the World Bank income classification of countries, which is based on per capita GDP.
 
2
Other types of transactional sex exist and are important to consider, including sex for improvement of social status and sex for material expressions of love (Mojola 2014; Stoebenau et al. 2016) through securing of material goods rather than food (Leclerc-Madlala 2008; Wamoyi et al. 2010, 2019). However, regardless of the motivations being for basic survival items or for more luxury items, we emphasize that devastation from drought may encourage women to engage in transactional sex to obtain the things they need or want.
 
3
We acknowledge that violent conflict also likely exacerbates the effects of drought and is also a major contributor to displacement. Droughts are likely to be acutely devastating in nations with pre-existing conflict (e.g., Somalia). While relevant to ideas about displacement and IDP camps, we prefer to focus on drought rather than conflict in the current manuscript for the sake of parsimony, and as the relationship between drought and HIV is a new line of research which first deserves a fundamental approach. Certainly, considering the role of conflict alongside these themes represents an avenue for future research.
 
4
We employed a number of diagnostic tests, including Cook’s D, Breush-Pagan, and modified White’s tests to examine potential patterns in heteroscedasticity, the existence of outliers, etc.
 
5
We follow Paul Allison (2012), where he conservatively recommends concerns over multicollinearity when individual VIFs exceed 2.5.
 
6
We also considered other time-lags (e.g., 4–8-year lags) used in prior research and obtained consistent results.
 
7
We also tested all models using the complete sample of 65 cases. The results were entirely consistent with those presented here. However, we prefer to present models on as many cases as possible; thus, we retained all 69 cases in the sample and only have a reduced sample size for those models including number of trained health workers.
 
8
We also considered analyses predicting female HIV prevalence. However, these models did not yield any interesting or new results. Austin and Noble (2014) provide a clear discussion and analysis of women’s HIV prevalence versus women’s proportion of HIV cases, demonstrating that total prevalence and female prevalence of HIV are correlated at 0.99 in cross-national data and that analyses of female prevalence rates do not appropriately capture the drivers of women’s disproportionate vulnerability to HIV/AIDS. We also utilized data on female HIV prevalence and found consistent results with those presented here for total HIV prevalence. We focused our analyses to presenting the findings for total HIV prevalence and women’s proportion of the population living with HIV for parsimony and to more succinctly demonstrate environmental change as a gendered health issue.
 
9
We also tried additional time windows when calculating the droughts measure, ranging from 3 to 15 years. The impacts of droughts on women’s proportion of the population living with HIV and total HIV prevalence were overwhelmingly consistent with the results presented here regardless of the timespan used to measure the variable.
 
10
We also tested models with additional control variables related to women’s empowerment, including fertility rates, the percent of births attended by trained health staff, female primary school enrollments, and the Gender Inequality Index. These models were excluded from the main results for the sake of parsimony, but they are available in the Appendix Table 5.
 
11
In early models, we also tested for the influence of the other key macro-regions represented by the countries in the sample, including Latin America and Southeast Asia. However, the dummy indicators for these two regions were non-significant.
 
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Metadata
Title
Drought and disproportionate disease: an investigation of gendered vulnerabilities to HIV/AIDS in less-developed nations
Authors
Virginia Kuulei Berndt
Kelly F. Austin
Publication date
24-10-2020
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Population and Environment / Issue 3/2021
Print ISSN: 0199-0039
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7810
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00367-1

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