Skip to main content
Top

2023 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Econometric Modeling of Adaptation of the Russian Economy to Western Countries’ Sanctions

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The econometric modeling of the adaptation of the Russian economy to the sanctions of Western countries is being discussed. The exponential adaptation model adopted in this article is an integral part of the production function of the Russian economy constructed here. At the last stage of the production function construction scheme (the post-factum forecasting stage), the production function of the Russian economy with the adaptation model used in it showed high accuracy of forecasting real GDP. This circumstance made it possible to interpret the model of adaptation of the Russian economy to the sanctions of Western countries as adequate. The impact of Western sanctions on the Russian economy is decreasing by about 25% every year.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Douglas, P.H.: The Cobb-Douglas production function once again: its history. Its testing, and some new empirical values. J. Polit. Econ. 84(5), 903–916 (1976)CrossRef Douglas, P.H.: The Cobb-Douglas production function once again: its history. Its testing, and some new empirical values. J. Polit. Econ. 84(5), 903–916 (1976)CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Fraser, I.: The Cobb-Douglas Production Function: An Antipodean Defence? Econ. Issues 7(Part 1), 39–58 (2002) Fraser, I.: The Cobb-Douglas Production Function: An Antipodean Defence? Econ. Issues 7(Part 1), 39–58 (2002)
3.
go back to reference Afanasyev, A.A., Ponomareva, O.S.: The spread of the Wuhan coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) in Russia: macroeconomic production function based on the world price of Brent crude oil. Probl. Market Econ. 1, 24–46 (2021)CrossRef Afanasyev, A.A., Ponomareva, O.S.: The spread of the Wuhan coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) in Russia: macroeconomic production function based on the world price of Brent crude oil. Probl. Market Econ. 1, 24–46 (2021)CrossRef
4.
go back to reference McCombie, J.S.L.: Are There Laws of Production? An assessment of the early criticisms of the cobb-douglas production function. Rev. Pol. Econ. 10(2), 141–173 (1998)CrossRef McCombie, J.S.L.: Are There Laws of Production? An assessment of the early criticisms of the cobb-douglas production function. Rev. Pol. Econ. 10(2), 141–173 (1998)CrossRef
5.
go back to reference Shaikh, A.: Laws of production and laws of algebra, the humbug production function. Rev. Econ. Stat. 56, 115–120 (1974)CrossRef Shaikh, A.: Laws of production and laws of algebra, the humbug production function. Rev. Econ. Stat. 56, 115–120 (1974)CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Weber, C.E.: Pareto and the wicksell-cobb-douglas functional form. J. History Econ. Thought 20(2), 203–210 (1998)CrossRef Weber, C.E.: Pareto and the wicksell-cobb-douglas functional form. J. History Econ. Thought 20(2), 203–210 (1998)CrossRef
7.
go back to reference Kirilyuk, I.L.: Models of production functions for the Russian economy. Comput. Res. Modeling 5(2), 293–31312 (2013)MathSciNetCrossRef Kirilyuk, I.L.: Models of production functions for the Russian economy. Comput. Res. Modeling 5(2), 293–31312 (2013)MathSciNetCrossRef
8.
go back to reference Felipe, J., Adams, F.G.: The estimation of the Cobb-Douglas function: a retrospective review. Eastern Econ. J. 31, 427–445 (2005) Felipe, J., Adams, F.G.: The estimation of the Cobb-Douglas function: a retrospective review. Eastern Econ. J. 31, 427–445 (2005)
9.
go back to reference Williams, J.: Professor Douglas’ Production Function. Econ. Rec. 25, 55–64 (1945)CrossRef Williams, J.: Professor Douglas’ Production Function. Econ. Rec. 25, 55–64 (1945)CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Kleiner, G.B.: Production Functions: Theory, Methods, Application, p. 239. Finance and Statistics Publ, Moscow (1986) Kleiner, G.B.: Production Functions: Theory, Methods, Application, p. 239. Finance and Statistics Publ, Moscow (1986)
11.
go back to reference Granger, C.W.J., Newbold, P.: Spurious regressions in econometrics. J. Econ. 2, 111–120 (1974)CrossRefMATH Granger, C.W.J., Newbold, P.: Spurious regressions in econometrics. J. Econ. 2, 111–120 (1974)CrossRefMATH
12.
go back to reference Hamilton,J.D.: Time Series Analysis. Princeton. - Princeton University Press (1994). 786 p. Hamilton,J.D.: Time Series Analysis. Princeton. - Princeton University Press (1994). 786 p.
13.
go back to reference Cobb, Ch.E., Douglas, P.H.: A theory of production. Am. Econ. Rev. 18(1, Supplement), 139–165 (1928) Cobb, Ch.E., Douglas, P.H.: A theory of production. Am. Econ. Rev. 18(1, Supplement), 139–165 (1928)
14.
go back to reference Akaev, A.A., Sadovnichy, V.A.: Sadovnichy Closed dynamic model for describing and calculating the long wave of economic development of Kondratiev. Bull. Russ. Acad. Sci. 10, 883–896 (2016) Akaev, A.A., Sadovnichy, V.A.: Sadovnichy Closed dynamic model for describing and calculating the long wave of economic development of Kondratiev. Bull. Russ. Acad. Sci. 10, 883–896 (2016)
15.
go back to reference Aghion, P., Howitt, P.: The Economics of Growth, p. 495. The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England (2009) Aghion, P., Howitt, P.: The Economics of Growth, p. 495. The MIT Press Cambridge, Massachusetts London, England (2009)
16.
go back to reference Romer, D.: Advanced Macroeconomics, p. 716. McGraw-Hill, New York (2012) Romer, D.: Advanced Macroeconomics, p. 716. McGraw-Hill, New York (2012)
17.
go back to reference Romanovsky, M.Yu., Romanovsky, Yu.M.: Introduction to econophysics: statistical and dynamic models. Textbook, 2nd Ed., is pr. and additional-Moscow: Izhevsk: Institute of Computer Research (2012). 338 p. Romanovsky, M.Yu., Romanovsky, Yu.M.: Introduction to econophysics: statistical and dynamic models. Textbook, 2nd Ed., is pr. and additional-Moscow: Izhevsk: Institute of Computer Research (2012). 338 p.
18.
go back to reference Suvorov, N.V., Akhunov, R.R., Gubarev, R.V., Dzyuba, E.I., Fayzullin, F.S.: Application of the Cobb-Douglas production function for the analysis of the region’s industrial complex. Econ. Region 16(1), 187–200 (2020)CrossRef Suvorov, N.V., Akhunov, R.R., Gubarev, R.V., Dzyuba, E.I., Fayzullin, F.S.: Application of the Cobb-Douglas production function for the analysis of the region’s industrial complex. Econ. Region 16(1), 187–200 (2020)CrossRef
19.
go back to reference Solow, R.: A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quart. J. Econ. 65–94 (1956) Solow, R.: A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quart. J. Econ. 65–94 (1956)
20.
go back to reference Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J.: Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica 55, 251–276 (1987)MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J.: Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica 55, 251–276 (1987)MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
21.
go back to reference Fuller, W.A.: Introduction to Statistical Time Series, 2nd edn., p. 736. Wiley, New York (1996) Fuller, W.A.: Introduction to Statistical Time Series, 2nd edn., p. 736. Wiley, New York (1996)
22.
go back to reference Banerjee, A., Dolado, J., Gabraith, J.W., Hendry, D.F.: Co-integration, Error-Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data. Oxford University Press (1993). 329 p. Banerjee, A., Dolado, J., Gabraith, J.W., Hendry, D.F.: Co-integration, Error-Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data. Oxford University Press (1993). 329 p.
23.
go back to reference Davidson, R., MacKinnon, J.G.: Econometric Theory and Methods. Oxford University Press (2004) Davidson, R., MacKinnon, J.G.: Econometric Theory and Methods. Oxford University Press (2004)
24.
go back to reference Ramsey, J.B.: Tests for specification errors in classical linear least squares regression analysis. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B 31, 350–371 (1969)MathSciNetMATH Ramsey, J.B.: Tests for specification errors in classical linear least squares regression analysis. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. B 31, 350–371 (1969)MathSciNetMATH
25.
go back to reference Byvshev, V.A.: Assessment of the level of return on the scale of production in the Russian economy. Soft Measur. Comput. Sci. J. 54(5), 91–98 (2022) Byvshev, V.A.: Assessment of the level of return on the scale of production in the Russian economy. Soft Measur. Comput. Sci. J. 54(5), 91–98 (2022)
Metadata
Title
Econometric Modeling of Adaptation of the Russian Economy to Western Countries’ Sanctions
Author
Viktor Byvshev
Copyright Year
2023
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-33728-4_7

Premium Partner