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Published in: Quality & Quantity 2/2019

28-05-2018

Energy sources choice and environmental sustainability disputes: an evolutional graph model approach

Authors: Sharafat Ali, Haiyan Xu, Abul Quasem Al-amin, Najid Ahmad

Published in: Quality & Quantity | Issue 2/2019

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Abstract

The present study proposes a conflict resolution methodology for energy-environment policy conflicts. The choice of energy source is primarily important in fulfilling energy requirements of the economy along with suitable technologies to be adopted to achieve low carbon objective set by United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The objectives of the energy policy need to be in line with the targets of environmental policy. Failing to do so would result in energy-environment conflict especially in the economies characterized as energy deficient but also most vulnerable to environmental hazards. Energy planning and its execution without proper consideration of alternative energy sources and their environmental impact assessment would jeopardize energy and environmental policy objectives to achieve. There may emerge energy-environmental conflicts. These conflicts are of evolutional nature due to the changes in decision maker(s), options available to them and preferences changes. The complex, dynamic, and evolutional nature of these conflicts warrant an evolutional conflict resolution approach to resolve these disputes. The current study proposes an evolutional approach to conflict resolution in the framework of graph model for conflict resolution (GMCR). We apply evolutional GMCR to resolve energy-environment conflict in the case of Pakistan. The analysis unfolds how the conflict emerged and how choices of sources of electricity production by the government lead to unwanted and unfavorable situation. Moreover, how changes in the decision makers, their choices, and preferences changed the scenarios for the focal decision maker—the government. Further, study reports a suitable and viable equilibrium solution of the conflict that can be acceptable to all decision-makers in the conflict.

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Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
Currently, Pakistan produces about 64% electricity from traditional thermal sources (PES 2017). This sector is the major contributor to CO2 emissions.
 
2
Recently agreed and signed energy projects (detail in Table 1), 12 electricity projects of 13,140 MW are Coal Power Projects (CPPs). The CPPs would produce 76.92% of total energy projects of 17,083 MW electricity.
 
3
Environmental policy, in Pakistan, spells out serious steps to play effective role in lowering GHG emissions (PES 2017).
 
4
Though Pakistan is among low GHG emitters (PES 2017), yet it is one of the most vulnerable economies to climatic changes and disasters (Kreft et al. 2017). Pakistan ranked 102 in Environmental Sustainability Index (ES) (SEDAC 2005) and 144th as measured by Environmental Performance Index (EPI) (SEDAC 2017), however, it is 7th most adversely affected economy by climatic catastrophes as measured by Global Climate Risk Index (GCRI) (Kreft et al. 2017). Khan et al. (2017) have recently discussed in detail the climatic changes and their impacts in Pakistan.
 
5
6th richest nation of the world in respect of coal resources (Rauf et al. 2015).
 
6
Even though environmental policy 2002 (GoP 2002) has proclaimed to encourage exploitation of indigenous resources of the economy.
 
8
for detail see (IEA 2017).
 
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Metadata
Title
Energy sources choice and environmental sustainability disputes: an evolutional graph model approach
Authors
Sharafat Ali
Haiyan Xu
Abul Quasem Al-amin
Najid Ahmad
Publication date
28-05-2018
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Quality & Quantity / Issue 2/2019
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-018-0775-9

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