Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Journal of Combinatorial Optimization 2/2021

03-01-2021

Group level social media popularity prediction by MRGB and Adam optimization

Authors: Navdeep Bohra, Vishal Bhatnagar

Published in: Journal of Combinatorial Optimization | Issue 2/2021

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Social media has become a tremendous source to bring in new clients. Sharing posts for new offers/products to get extensive client engagement can be predicted by grouping the users based on their previous interactions. In this paper, we improve existing state-of-the-art techniques to predict group-level popularity by extending the data clustering approach and constraint network prediction using stochastic Adam optimization. Various other topological properties of this two-level approach are also tested. The Adam optimization for clustered group prediction improves the relative error substantially. Overall, the proposed novel approach improved the prediction popularity accuracy by a significant difference of 18.21%.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Aghababaei S, Makrehchi M (2016) Mining social media content for crime prediction. In: IEEE/WIC/ACM international conference on web intelligence (WI), Omaha, NE, pp 526–531 Aghababaei S, Makrehchi M (2016) Mining social media content for crime prediction. In: IEEE/WIC/ACM international conference on web intelligence (WI), Omaha, NE, pp 526–531
go back to reference Andrey S, Nguifo EM (2014) Predicting web-page popularity with machine learning and heuristic time-series prediction approaches. ECML/PKDD discovery challenge on predictive web analytics, Nancy, France, September, pp 1–5 Andrey S, Nguifo EM (2014) Predicting web-page popularity with machine learning and heuristic time-series prediction approaches. ECML/PKDD discovery challenge on predictive web analytics, Nancy, France, September, pp 1–5
go back to reference Bandari R, Asur S, Huberman BA (2012) The pulse of news in social media: forecasting popularity. CoRR abs/1202.0332 2012, pp 1–8 Bandari R, Asur S, Huberman BA (2012) The pulse of news in social media: forecasting popularity. CoRR abs/1202.0332 2012, pp 1–8
go back to reference Barnard ST (1995) PMRSB: parallel multilevel recursive spectral bisection. In: Supercomputing: proceedings of the ACM/IEEE conference on supercomputing, San Diego, CA, USA, pp 27–27 Barnard ST (1995) PMRSB: parallel multilevel recursive spectral bisection. In: Supercomputing: proceedings of the ACM/IEEE conference on supercomputing, San Diego, CA, USA, pp 27–27
go back to reference Birjali M, Beni-Hssane A, Birjali M, Erritali M (2017) Analyzing social media through big data using infoSphereBigInsights and Apache Flume. Procedia Comput Sci 113:280–285CrossRef Birjali M, Beni-Hssane A, Birjali M, Erritali M (2017) Analyzing social media through big data using infoSphereBigInsights and Apache Flume. Procedia Comput Sci 113:280–285CrossRef
go back to reference Cao Q, Shen H, Keting C, Ouyang W, Cheng X. (2017). DeepHawkes: bridging the gap between prediction and understanding of information cascades, pp 1149–1158 Cao Q, Shen H, Keting C, Ouyang W, Cheng X. (2017). DeepHawkes: bridging the gap between prediction and understanding of information cascades, pp 1149–1158
go back to reference Çatalyürek Ü, Aykanat C (2011) PaToH(partitioning tool for hypergraphs). In: Padua D (ed) Encyclopedia of parallel computing. Springer, Boston, pp 2175–2211 Çatalyürek Ü, Aykanat C (2011) PaToH(partitioning tool for hypergraphs). In: Padua D (ed) Encyclopedia of parallel computing. Springer, Boston, pp 2175–2211
go back to reference Das S, Syiem BV, Kalita HK (2014) Popularity analysis on social network: a big data analysis. In: International conference on computing, communication and sensor network, pp 27–31 Das S, Syiem BV, Kalita HK (2014) Popularity analysis on social network: a big data analysis. In: International conference on computing, communication and sensor network, pp 27–31
go back to reference De S, Maity A, Goel V, Shitole S, Bhattacharya A (2017) Predicting the popularity of instagram posts for a lifestyle magazine using deep learning. In: 2nd international conference on communication systems, computing and IT applications (CSCITA), Mumbai, pp 174–177 De S, Maity A, Goel V, Shitole S, Bhattacharya A (2017) Predicting the popularity of instagram posts for a lifestyle magazine using deep learning. In: 2nd international conference on communication systems, computing and IT applications (CSCITA), Mumbai, pp 174–177
go back to reference Deng L-J, Feng M, Tai X-C (2019) The fusion of panchromatic and multispectral remote sensing images via tensor-based sparse modeling and hyper-Laplacian prior. Inf Fusion 52:76–89CrossRef Deng L-J, Feng M, Tai X-C (2019) The fusion of panchromatic and multispectral remote sensing images via tensor-based sparse modeling and hyper-Laplacian prior. Inf Fusion 52:76–89CrossRef
go back to reference Fernandes K, Vinagre P, Cortez P (2015) A proactive intelligent decision support system for predicting the popularity of online news progress in artificial intelligence. Lecture notes in computer science, vol 9273. Springer, pp 535–546 Fernandes K, Vinagre P, Cortez P (2015) A proactive intelligent decision support system for predicting the popularity of online news progress in artificial intelligence. Lecture notes in computer science, vol 9273. Springer, pp 535–546
go back to reference Gorodetsky AA, Jakeman JD (2018) Gradient-based optimization for regression in the functional tensor-train format. J Comput Phys 374:1219–1238 Gorodetsky AA, Jakeman JD (2018) Gradient-based optimization for regression in the functional tensor-train format. J Comput Phys 374:1219–1238
go back to reference Hoang MX, Dang X-H, Wu X, Yan Z, Singh AK (2017) GPOP: scalable group-level popularity prediction for online content in social networks. In: Proceedings of the 26th international conference on world wide web, pp 725–733 Hoang MX, Dang X-H, Wu X, Yan Z, Singh AK (2017) GPOP: scalable group-level popularity prediction for online content in social networks. In: Proceedings of the 26th international conference on world wide web, pp 725–733
go back to reference Hu Y, Hu C, Fu S, Shi P, Ning B (2016) Predicting the popularity of viral topics based on time series forecasting, vol 210, pp 55–65 Hu Y, Hu C, Fu S, Shi P, Ning B (2016) Predicting the popularity of viral topics based on time series forecasting, vol 210, pp 55–65
go back to reference Hu W, Kumar Singh K, Xiao F, Han J, Chuah C-N, Lee YJ (2017) Who will share my image? Predicting the content diffusion path in online social networks. arXiv:1705.09275v4 [cs.CV] Hu W, Kumar Singh K, Xiao F, Han J, Chuah C-N, Lee YJ (2017) Who will share my image? Predicting the content diffusion path in online social networks. arXiv:​1705.​09275v4 [cs.CV]
go back to reference Karypis G, Kumar V (1996) Parallel multilevel k-way partitioning scheme for irregular graphs. In: Supercomputing: proceedings of the ACM/IEEE conference on supercomputing, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, pp 35–35 Karypis G, Kumar V (1996) Parallel multilevel k-way partitioning scheme for irregular graphs. In: Supercomputing: proceedings of the ACM/IEEE conference on supercomputing, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, pp 35–35
go back to reference Karypis G, Kumar V (1998) A fast and high quality multilevel scheme for the partition of irregular graphs. SAIM J Sci Comput 20:359–392CrossRef Karypis G, Kumar V (1998) A fast and high quality multilevel scheme for the partition of irregular graphs. SAIM J Sci Comput 20:359–392CrossRef
go back to reference Kieu BT, Ichise R, Pham SB (2015) Predicting the popularity of social curation. In: Knowledge and systems engineering. Springer, Cham, pp 413–424 Kieu BT, Ichise R, Pham SB (2015) Predicting the popularity of social curation. In: Knowledge and systems engineering. Springer, Cham, pp 413–424
go back to reference Kolda TG, Bader BW (2009) Tensor decompositions and applications. SIAM Rev, pp 455–500 Kolda TG, Bader BW (2009) Tensor decompositions and applications. SIAM Rev, pp 455–500
go back to reference Moro S, Rita P, Vala B (2016) Predicting social media performance metrics and evaluation of the impact on brand building: a data mining approach. J Bus Res 69:1–11CrossRef Moro S, Rita P, Vala B (2016) Predicting social media performance metrics and evaluation of the impact on brand building: a data mining approach. J Bus Res 69:1–11CrossRef
go back to reference Shulman B, Sharma A, Cosley D (2016) Predictability of popularity: gaps between prediction and understanding. In: Proceedings of the tenth international AAAI conference on web and social media (ICWSM 2016), pp 348–357 Shulman B, Sharma A, Cosley D (2016) Predictability of popularity: gaps between prediction and understanding. In: Proceedings of the tenth international AAAI conference on web and social media (ICWSM 2016), pp 348–357
go back to reference Stieglitz S, Mirbabaie M, Ross B, Neuberger C (2018) Social media analytics: challenges in topic discovery, data collection, and data preparation. Int J Inf Manag 39:156–168CrossRef Stieglitz S, Mirbabaie M, Ross B, Neuberger C (2018) Social media analytics: challenges in topic discovery, data collection, and data preparation. Int J Inf Manag 39:156–168CrossRef
go back to reference Uddin MT, Patwary MJA, Ahsan T, Alam MS (2016) Predicting the popularity of online news from content metadata. In: International conference on innovations in science, engineering and technology (ICISET), Dhaka, pp. 1–5 Uddin MT, Patwary MJA, Ahsan T, Alam MS (2016) Predicting the popularity of online news from content metadata. In: International conference on innovations in science, engineering and technology (ICISET), Dhaka, pp. 1–5
go back to reference Van Canneyt S, Leroux P, Dhoedt B et al (2017) Modeling and predicting the popularity of online news based on temporal and content-related features. Multimedia Tools Appl, pp 1409–1436 Van Canneyt S, Leroux P, Dhoedt B et al (2017) Modeling and predicting the popularity of online news based on temporal and content-related features. Multimedia Tools Appl, pp 1409–1436
go back to reference Vanwinckelen G, Meert W (2014) Predicting the popularity of online articles with random forests. ECML/PKDD Discovery Challenge on Predictive Web Analytics, Nancy, France, September, pp 1–6 Vanwinckelen G, Meert W (2014) Predicting the popularity of online articles with random forests. ECML/PKDD Discovery Challenge on Predictive Web Analytics, Nancy, France, September, pp 1–6
go back to reference Wu B, Cheng W-H, Zhang Y, Huang Q, Li J, Mei T (2017) Sequential prediction of social media popularity with deep temporal context networks. In: Proceedings of the 26th international joint conference on artificial intelligence Melbourne, Australia, pp 3062–3068 Wu B, Cheng W-H, Zhang Y, Huang Q, Li J, Mei T (2017) Sequential prediction of social media popularity with deep temporal context networks. In: Proceedings of the 26th international joint conference on artificial intelligence Melbourne, Australia, pp 3062–3068
go back to reference Yamaguchi K, Berg TL, Ortiz LE (2014) Chic or social: visual popularity analysis in online fashion networks. ACM Multimedia, pp 773–776 Yamaguchi K, Berg TL, Ortiz LE (2014) Chic or social: visual popularity analysis in online fashion networks. ACM Multimedia, pp 773–776
go back to reference Zunino A, Mosegaard K (2019) An efficient method to solve large linearizable inverse problems under Gaussian and separability assumptions. Comput Geosci 122:77–86CrossRef Zunino A, Mosegaard K (2019) An efficient method to solve large linearizable inverse problems under Gaussian and separability assumptions. Comput Geosci 122:77–86CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Group level social media popularity prediction by MRGB and Adam optimization
Authors
Navdeep Bohra
Vishal Bhatnagar
Publication date
03-01-2021
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Journal of Combinatorial Optimization / Issue 2/2021
Print ISSN: 1382-6905
Electronic ISSN: 1573-2886
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10878-020-00684-z

Other articles of this Issue 2/2021

Journal of Combinatorial Optimization 2/2021 Go to the issue

Premium Partner