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Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

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15-02-2016 | Original Article

Impacts of climate variability and changes on domestic water use in the Yellow River Basin of China

Authors: Xiao-jun Wang, Jian-yun Zhang, Shahid Shamsuddin, Ru-lin Oyang, Tie-sheng Guan, Jian-guo Xue, Xu Zhang

Published in: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change | Issue 4/2017

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Abstract

We present a methodology for using a domestic water use time series that were obtained from Yellow River Conservancy Commission, together with the climatic records from the National Climate Center of China to evaluate the effects of climate variability on water use in the Yellow River Basin. A suit of seven Global Circulation Models (GCMs) were adopted to anticipate future climate patterns in the Yellow River. The historical records showed evidences of rises in temperature and subsequent rises in domestic water demand in the basin. For Upstream of Longyangxia region, the impact was the least, with only 0.0021 × 10⁸ m³ for a temperature increase of 1 °C; while for Longyangxia-Lanzhou region, domestic water use was found to increase to 0.18 × 10⁸ m³ when temperature increases 1 °C. Downstream of Huayuankou was the region with the most changes in temperature that gave the highest increase of 1.95 × 10⁸ m³ in domestic water demand for 1 °C of change of temperature. Downstream of Huayuankou was identified as the most vulnerable area, where domestic water demand increases nearly by 42.2 % with 1 °C increase of temperature. Judging from the trends of temperature range, we concluded that future temperature in Yellow River Basin has an increasing tendency. This could worsen the existing issues of domestic water demand and even more to trigger high competition among different water-using sectors.

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Title: Impacts of climate variability and changes on domestic water use in the Yellow River Basin of China
Authors: Xiao-jun Wang
Jian-yun Zhang
Shahid Shamsuddin
Ru-lin Oyang
Tie-sheng Guan
Jian-guo Xue
Xu Zhang
Publication date: 15-02-2016
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Published in: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change / Issue 4/2017
Print ISSN: 1381-2386
Electronic ISSN: 1573-1596
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-015-9689-1

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