Skip to main content
Top

2018 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Improved Behavioral Analysis of Fuzzy Cognitive Map Models

Authors : Miklós F. Hatwagner, Gyula Vastag, Vesa A. Niskanen, László T. Kóczy

Published in: Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) are widely applied for describing the major components of complex systems and their interconnections. The popularity of FCMs is mostly based on their simple system representation, easy model creation and usage, and its decision support capabilities.
The preferable way of model construction is based on historical, measured data of the investigated system and a suitable learning technique. Such data are not always available, however. In these cases experts have to define the strength and direction of causal connections among the components of the system, and their decisions are unavoidably affected by more or less subjective elements. Unfortunately, even a small change in the estimated strength may lead to significantly different simulation outcome, which could pose significant decision risks. Therefore, the preliminary exploration of model ‘sensitivity’ to subtle weight modifications is very important to decision makers. This way their attention can be attracted to possible problems.
This paper deals with the advanced version of a behavioral analysis. Based on the experiences of the authors, their method is further improved to generate more life-like, slightly modified model versions based on the original one suggested by experts. The details of the method is described, its application and the results are presented by an example of a banking application. The combination of Pareto-fronts and Bacterial Evolutionary Algorithm is a novelty of the approach.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Busemeyer, J.R.: Dynamic decision making (1999) Busemeyer, J.R.: Dynamic decision making (1999)
2.
go back to reference Kosko, B.: Fuzzy cognitive maps. Int. J. Man-Mach. Stud. 24(1), 65–75 (1986)CrossRef Kosko, B.: Fuzzy cognitive maps. Int. J. Man-Mach. Stud. 24(1), 65–75 (1986)CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Salmeron, J.L.: Supporting decision makers with fuzzy cognitive maps. Res.-Technol. Manag. 52(3), 53–59 (2009) Salmeron, J.L.: Supporting decision makers with fuzzy cognitive maps. Res.-Technol. Manag. 52(3), 53–59 (2009)
5.
go back to reference Baykasoğlu, A., Gölcük, İ.: Development of a novel multiple-attribute decision making model via fuzzy cognitive maps and hierarchical fuzzy topsis. Inf. Sci. 301, 75–98 (2015)CrossRef Baykasoğlu, A., Gölcük, İ.: Development of a novel multiple-attribute decision making model via fuzzy cognitive maps and hierarchical fuzzy topsis. Inf. Sci. 301, 75–98 (2015)CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Papageorgiou, E.I.: Learning algorithms for fuzzy cognitive maps—a review study. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part C (Appl. Rev.) 42(2), 150–163 (2012)CrossRef Papageorgiou, E.I.: Learning algorithms for fuzzy cognitive maps—a review study. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part C (Appl. Rev.) 42(2), 150–163 (2012)CrossRef
7.
go back to reference Hatwágner, M.F., Niskanen, V.A., Kóczy, L.T.: Behavioral analysis of fuzzy cognitive map models by simulation. In: 2017 Joint 17th World Congress of International Fuzzy Systems Association and 9th International Conference on Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems (IFSA-SCIS), pp. 1–6. IEEE (2017) Hatwágner, M.F., Niskanen, V.A., Kóczy, L.T.: Behavioral analysis of fuzzy cognitive map models by simulation. In: 2017 Joint 17th World Congress of International Fuzzy Systems Association and 9th International Conference on Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems (IFSA-SCIS), pp. 1–6. IEEE (2017)
9.
go back to reference Deb, K.: Multi-Objective Optimization Using Evolutionary Algorithms, vol. 16. Wiley, Hoboken (2001)MATH Deb, K.: Multi-Objective Optimization Using Evolutionary Algorithms, vol. 16. Wiley, Hoboken (2001)MATH
10.
go back to reference Hatwágner, M.F., Kóczy, L.T.: Parameterization and concept optimization of FCM models. In: 2015 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE), pp. 1–8. IEEE (2015) Hatwágner, M.F., Kóczy, L.T.: Parameterization and concept optimization of FCM models. In: 2015 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE), pp. 1–8. IEEE (2015)
11.
go back to reference Nawa, N.E., Furuhashi, T.: Fuzzy system parameters discovery by bacterial evolutionary algorithm. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 7(5), 608–616 (1999)CrossRef Nawa, N.E., Furuhashi, T.: Fuzzy system parameters discovery by bacterial evolutionary algorithm. IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Syst. 7(5), 608–616 (1999)CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Nawa, N.E., Furuhashi, T.: A study on the effect of transfer of genes for the bacterial evolutionary algorithm. In: 1998 Second International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Electronic Systems, Proceedings of KES’98, vol. 3, pp. 585–590. IEEE (1998) Nawa, N.E., Furuhashi, T.: A study on the effect of transfer of genes for the bacterial evolutionary algorithm. In: 1998 Second International Conference on Knowledge-Based Intelligent Electronic Systems, Proceedings of KES’98, vol. 3, pp. 585–590. IEEE (1998)
13.
go back to reference Balázs, K., Botzheim, J., Kóczy, L.T.: Comparative investigation of various evolutionary and memetic algorithms. In: Rudas, I.J., Fodor, J., Kacprzyk, J. (eds.) Computational Intelligence in Engineering. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol. 313, pp. 129–140. Springer, Heidelberg (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15220-7_11CrossRef Balázs, K., Botzheim, J., Kóczy, L.T.: Comparative investigation of various evolutionary and memetic algorithms. In: Rudas, I.J., Fodor, J., Kacprzyk, J. (eds.) Computational Intelligence in Engineering. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol. 313, pp. 129–140. Springer, Heidelberg (2010). https://​doi.​org/​10.​1007/​978-3-642-15220-7_​11CrossRef
14.
go back to reference Axelrod, R.: Structure of Decision: The Cognitive Maps of Political Elites. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1976) Axelrod, R.: Structure of Decision: The Cognitive Maps of Political Elites. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1976)
15.
go back to reference Stylios, C.D., Groumpos, P.P.: Mathematical formulation of fuzzy cognitive maps. In: Proceedings of the 7th Mediterranean Conference on Control and Automation, pp. 2251–2261 (1999) Stylios, C.D., Groumpos, P.P.: Mathematical formulation of fuzzy cognitive maps. In: Proceedings of the 7th Mediterranean Conference on Control and Automation, pp. 2251–2261 (1999)
16.
go back to reference Tsadiras, A.K.: Comparing the inference capabilities of binary, trivalent and sigmoid fuzzy cognitive maps. Inf. Sci. 178(20), 3880–3894 (2008)CrossRef Tsadiras, A.K.: Comparing the inference capabilities of binary, trivalent and sigmoid fuzzy cognitive maps. Inf. Sci. 178(20), 3880–3894 (2008)CrossRef
17.
go back to reference Nawa, N.E., Hashiyama, T., Furuhashi, T., Uchikawa, Y.: A study on fuzzy rules discovery using pseudo-bacterial genetic algorithm with adaptive operator. In: 1997 IEEE International Conference on Evolutionary Computation, pp. 589–593. IEEE (1997) Nawa, N.E., Hashiyama, T., Furuhashi, T., Uchikawa, Y.: A study on fuzzy rules discovery using pseudo-bacterial genetic algorithm with adaptive operator. In: 1997 IEEE International Conference on Evolutionary Computation, pp. 589–593. IEEE (1997)
18.
go back to reference Hatwagner, M., Horvath, A.: Parallel gene transfer operations for the bacterial evolutionary algorithm. Acta Tech. Jaurinensis 4(1), 89–111 (2011) Hatwagner, M., Horvath, A.: Parallel gene transfer operations for the bacterial evolutionary algorithm. Acta Tech. Jaurinensis 4(1), 89–111 (2011)
19.
go back to reference Hartigan, J.A., Wong, M.A.: Algorithm as 136: a k-means clustering algorithm. J. Roy. Stat. Soc.: Ser. C (Appl. Stat.) 28(1), 100–108 (1979)MATH Hartigan, J.A., Wong, M.A.: Algorithm as 136: a k-means clustering algorithm. J. Roy. Stat. Soc.: Ser. C (Appl. Stat.) 28(1), 100–108 (1979)MATH
20.
go back to reference Tibshirani, R., Walther, G., Hastie, T.: Estimating the number of clusters in a data set via the gap statistic. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Stat. Methodol.) 63(2), 411–423 (2001)MathSciNetCrossRef Tibshirani, R., Walther, G., Hastie, T.: Estimating the number of clusters in a data set via the gap statistic. J. Roy. Stat. Soc. Ser. B (Stat. Methodol.) 63(2), 411–423 (2001)MathSciNetCrossRef
Metadata
Title
Improved Behavioral Analysis of Fuzzy Cognitive Map Models
Authors
Miklós F. Hatwagner
Gyula Vastag
Vesa A. Niskanen
László T. Kóczy
Copyright Year
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-91262-2_55

Premium Partner