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2019 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Information Cascade Experiment: Urn Quiz

Authors : Shintaro Mori, Masato Hisakado

Published in: Applications of Data-Centric Science to Social Design

Publisher: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

Canonical setup of information cascade experiment uses two-choice urn quiz. Based on the model by Bikhchandani et al. (J Polit Econ 100:992–1026, 1992), L.R. Anderson and C.A. Holt performed an experiment where six subjects answered two-choice quiz one by one after observing the previous subjects’ answers. They observed information cascade where a subject discards one’s private information and follows the majority choice. After the experiment, many experiments have been performed, and the length T of the subject sequence reached 40 in the experiment by Goeree et al. (Rev Econ Stud 74:733–762, 2007). In the experiments, there are two urns which contain red and blue balls in different compositions. One urn is chosen as an answer at the beginning of the experiment, and subjects answer which urn is the correct one with the private signal and the observation of the previous subjects’ choices. By the control of the composition of red and blue balls in the urn, it is easy to control the precision of private signal or the difficulty of the quiz. Similar to the experiment of the general knowledge quiz in the previous chapter, as the difficulty of the quiz increases, the response function f(z) changes, which results in the change in the number of stable state. We study the correlation function of the domino effect in information cascade and understand the micro-macro feature of the system.

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Literature
go back to reference Anderson LR, Holt CA (1997) Information cascades in the laboratory. Am Econ Rev 87:847–862 Anderson LR, Holt CA (1997) Information cascades in the laboratory. Am Econ Rev 87:847–862
go back to reference Bikhchandani S, Hirshleifer D, Welch I (1992) A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural changes as informational cascades. J Polit Econ 100:992–1026CrossRef Bikhchandani S, Hirshleifer D, Welch I (1992) A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural changes as informational cascades. J Polit Econ 100:992–1026CrossRef
go back to reference Goeree JK, Palfrey TR, Rogers BW, McKelvey RD (2007) Self-correcting information cascades. Rev Econ Stud 74:733–762CrossRef Goeree JK, Palfrey TR, Rogers BW, McKelvey RD (2007) Self-correcting information cascades. Rev Econ Stud 74:733–762CrossRef
go back to reference Hino M, Irie Y, Hisakado M, Takahashi T, Mori S (2016) Detection of phase transition in generalized Polya urn in Information cascade experiment. J Phys Soc Jpn 85:034002–034013CrossRef Hino M, Irie Y, Hisakado M, Takahashi T, Mori S (2016) Detection of phase transition in generalized Polya urn in Information cascade experiment. J Phys Soc Jpn 85:034002–034013CrossRef
go back to reference Mori S, Hisakado M (2015a) Finite-size scaling analysis of binary stochastic processes and universality classes of information cascade phase transition. J Phys Soc Jpn 84:054001–054013CrossRef Mori S, Hisakado M (2015a) Finite-size scaling analysis of binary stochastic processes and universality classes of information cascade phase transition. J Phys Soc Jpn 84:054001–054013CrossRef
go back to reference Mori S, Hisakado M (2015b) Correlation function for generalized Pólya urns: finite-size scaling analysis. Phys Rev E92:052112–052121 Mori S, Hisakado M (2015b) Correlation function for generalized Pólya urns: finite-size scaling analysis. Phys Rev E92:052112–052121
Metadata
Title
Information Cascade Experiment: Urn Quiz
Authors
Shintaro Mori
Masato Hisakado
Copyright Year
2019
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7194-2_11

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