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2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Information Cascade Experiment: Urn Quiz

verfasst von : Shintaro Mori, Masato Hisakado

Erschienen in: Applications of Data-Centric Science to Social Design

Verlag: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

Canonical setup of information cascade experiment uses two-choice urn quiz. Based on the model by Bikhchandani et al. (J Polit Econ 100:992–1026, 1992), L.R. Anderson and C.A. Holt performed an experiment where six subjects answered two-choice quiz one by one after observing the previous subjects’ answers. They observed information cascade where a subject discards one’s private information and follows the majority choice. After the experiment, many experiments have been performed, and the length T of the subject sequence reached 40 in the experiment by Goeree et al. (Rev Econ Stud 74:733–762, 2007). In the experiments, there are two urns which contain red and blue balls in different compositions. One urn is chosen as an answer at the beginning of the experiment, and subjects answer which urn is the correct one with the private signal and the observation of the previous subjects’ choices. By the control of the composition of red and blue balls in the urn, it is easy to control the precision of private signal or the difficulty of the quiz. Similar to the experiment of the general knowledge quiz in the previous chapter, as the difficulty of the quiz increases, the response function f(z) changes, which results in the change in the number of stable state. We study the correlation function of the domino effect in information cascade and understand the micro-macro feature of the system.

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Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Anderson LR, Holt CA (1997) Information cascades in the laboratory. Am Econ Rev 87:847–862 Anderson LR, Holt CA (1997) Information cascades in the laboratory. Am Econ Rev 87:847–862
Zurück zum Zitat Bikhchandani S, Hirshleifer D, Welch I (1992) A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural changes as informational cascades. J Polit Econ 100:992–1026CrossRef Bikhchandani S, Hirshleifer D, Welch I (1992) A theory of fads, fashion, custom, and cultural changes as informational cascades. J Polit Econ 100:992–1026CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Goeree JK, Palfrey TR, Rogers BW, McKelvey RD (2007) Self-correcting information cascades. Rev Econ Stud 74:733–762CrossRef Goeree JK, Palfrey TR, Rogers BW, McKelvey RD (2007) Self-correcting information cascades. Rev Econ Stud 74:733–762CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hino M, Irie Y, Hisakado M, Takahashi T, Mori S (2016) Detection of phase transition in generalized Polya urn in Information cascade experiment. J Phys Soc Jpn 85:034002–034013CrossRef Hino M, Irie Y, Hisakado M, Takahashi T, Mori S (2016) Detection of phase transition in generalized Polya urn in Information cascade experiment. J Phys Soc Jpn 85:034002–034013CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mori S, Hisakado M (2015a) Finite-size scaling analysis of binary stochastic processes and universality classes of information cascade phase transition. J Phys Soc Jpn 84:054001–054013CrossRef Mori S, Hisakado M (2015a) Finite-size scaling analysis of binary stochastic processes and universality classes of information cascade phase transition. J Phys Soc Jpn 84:054001–054013CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mori S, Hisakado M (2015b) Correlation function for generalized Pólya urns: finite-size scaling analysis. Phys Rev E92:052112–052121 Mori S, Hisakado M (2015b) Correlation function for generalized Pólya urns: finite-size scaling analysis. Phys Rev E92:052112–052121
Metadaten
Titel
Information Cascade Experiment: Urn Quiz
verfasst von
Shintaro Mori
Masato Hisakado
Copyright-Jahr
2019
Verlag
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7194-2_11

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