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Published in: Quality & Quantity 3/2024

27-01-2023

Investigation of femicide in Turkey: modeling time series of counts

Authors: Aygül Anavatan, Eda Yalçın Kayacan

Published in: Quality & Quantity | Issue 3/2024

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Abstract

This study aims to reveal the relationship between the number of femicide in Turkey, the female unemployment rate, the male unemployment rate, and inflation. The contribution of the study to the literature is that it estimates the relationship between femicides and macroeconomic variables with a method that incorporates the count data. The dataset was analyzed by using the INGARCH model, one of the most popular approaches for count time series data. This model is particularly attractive for dealing with serial dependence and over-dispersion. The findings revealed that an increase in the female unemployment rate and a decrease in the male unemployment rate increases the number of femicide. In addition, it was observed that the number of femicide in the previous month had a negative effect on the current month’s number. Increasing the employment rate of women, and women's economic freedom generally, are essential factors in reducing femicide. To prevent femicides, policymakers should aim to increase women's employment.

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Footnotes
1
The category “other” includes family council decision, honor killing, suspicious death, making it seem like an accident, resistance to rape/violence, economic reasons, crisis and unemployment, infertility and child arguments, jealousy, rejection, theft-money-substance abuse, and saving the life of another woman.
 
2
There are also hands-on studies using versions such as seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) model (Öncel Çekim 2018) or ARIMA with explanatory variable (ARIMAX) (Öncel Çekim and Koyuncu 2022).
 
3
See Ferland et al. (2006), Weiss (2018), Zhu (2011), Kim (2020) and Zhu (2012) for further reading.
 
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Metadata
Title
Investigation of femicide in Turkey: modeling time series of counts
Authors
Aygül Anavatan
Eda Yalçın Kayacan
Publication date
27-01-2023
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Quality & Quantity / Issue 3/2024
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-023-01619-6

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