Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Annals of Finance 2/2018

02-12-2017 | Research Article

On the implied market price of risk under the stochastic numéraire

Author: Nikolai Dokuchaev

Published in: Annals of Finance | Issue 2/2018

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a numéraire. An equivalent martingale measure is not unique for this market, and there are non-replicable claims. Some rational choices of the equivalent martingale measures are suggested and discussed, including implied measures calculated from bond prices constructed as a risk-free investment with deterministic payoff at the terminal time. This leads to possibility to infer a implied market price of risk process from observed historical bond prices.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Literature
go back to reference Becherer, D.: The numeraire portfolio for unbounded semimartingales. Finance Stoch 5(3), 327–341 (2010)CrossRef Becherer, D.: The numeraire portfolio for unbounded semimartingales. Finance Stoch 5(3), 327–341 (2010)CrossRef
go back to reference Benninga, S., Bjork, T., Wiener, Z.: On the use of numeraires in option pricing. J Deriv 10(2), 43–58 (2002)CrossRef Benninga, S., Bjork, T., Wiener, Z.: On the use of numeraires in option pricing. J Deriv 10(2), 43–58 (2002)CrossRef
go back to reference Biagini, F., Pratelli, M.: Local risk minimization and numeraire. J Appl Probab 36(4), 1126–1139 (1999)CrossRef Biagini, F., Pratelli, M.: Local risk minimization and numeraire. J Appl Probab 36(4), 1126–1139 (1999)CrossRef
go back to reference Bielecki, T.R., Jeanblanc, M., Rutkowski, M.: Credit Risk Modeling. Osaka: Osaka University Press (2009) Bielecki, T.R., Jeanblanc, M., Rutkowski, M.: Credit Risk Modeling. Osaka: Osaka University Press (2009)
go back to reference Brennan, M.J.: The role of learning in dynamic portfolio decisions. Eur Finance Rev 1, 295–306 (1998)CrossRef Brennan, M.J.: The role of learning in dynamic portfolio decisions. Eur Finance Rev 1, 295–306 (1998)CrossRef
go back to reference Cheng, S.T.: On the feasibility of arbitrage-based option pricing when stochastic bond price processes are involved. J Econ Theory 53(1), 185–198 (1991)CrossRef Cheng, S.T.: On the feasibility of arbitrage-based option pricing when stochastic bond price processes are involved. J Econ Theory 53(1), 185–198 (1991)CrossRef
go back to reference Dokuchaev, N.: Dynamic Portfolio Strategies: Quantitative Methods and Empirical Rules for Incomplete Information. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers (2002) Dokuchaev, N.: Dynamic Portfolio Strategies: Quantitative Methods and Empirical Rules for Incomplete Information. Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers (2002)
go back to reference Dokuchaev, N.G.: Optimal solution of investment problems via linear parabolic equations generated by Kalman filter. SIAM J Control Optim 44(4), 1239–1258 (2005)CrossRef Dokuchaev, N.G.: Optimal solution of investment problems via linear parabolic equations generated by Kalman filter. SIAM J Control Optim 44(4), 1239–1258 (2005)CrossRef
go back to reference Dokuchaev, N.: Two unconditionally implied parameters and volatility smiles and skews. Appl Financ Econ Lett 2, 199–204 (2006)CrossRef Dokuchaev, N.: Two unconditionally implied parameters and volatility smiles and skews. Appl Financ Econ Lett 2, 199–204 (2006)CrossRef
go back to reference Dokuchaev, N.: Option pricing via maximization over uncertainty and correction of volatility smile. Int J Theor Appl Finance: IJTAF 14(4), 507–524 (2011)CrossRef Dokuchaev, N.: Option pricing via maximization over uncertainty and correction of volatility smile. Int J Theor Appl Finance: IJTAF 14(4), 507–524 (2011)CrossRef
go back to reference El Karoui, N., Quenez, M.: Dynamic programming and pricing of contingent claims in an incomplete market. SIAM J Control Optim 33(1), 29–66 (1995)CrossRef El Karoui, N., Quenez, M.: Dynamic programming and pricing of contingent claims in an incomplete market. SIAM J Control Optim 33(1), 29–66 (1995)CrossRef
go back to reference Föllmer, H., Sondermann, D.: Hedging of non-redundant contingent claims. In: Hildenbrand, W., Mas-Colell, A. (eds.) Contribution to Mathematical Economics, pp. 205–223. New York: North Holland (1986) Föllmer, H., Sondermann, D.: Hedging of non-redundant contingent claims. In: Hildenbrand, W., Mas-Colell, A. (eds.) Contribution to Mathematical Economics, pp. 205–223. New York: North Holland (1986)
go back to reference Geman, H., El Karoui, N., Rochet, J.C.: Changes of numéraire, changes of probability measure and option pricing. J Appl Probab 32(2), 443–458 (1995)CrossRef Geman, H., El Karoui, N., Rochet, J.C.: Changes of numéraire, changes of probability measure and option pricing. J Appl Probab 32(2), 443–458 (1995)CrossRef
go back to reference Hin, L.Y., Dokuchaev, N.: On the implied volatility layers under the future risk-free rate uncertainty. Int J Financ Mark Deriv 3(4), 392–408 (2014)CrossRef Hin, L.Y., Dokuchaev, N.: On the implied volatility layers under the future risk-free rate uncertainty. Int J Financ Mark Deriv 3(4), 392–408 (2014)CrossRef
go back to reference Hin, L.Y., Dokuchaev, N.: Short rate forecasting based on the inference from the CIR model for multiple yield curve dynamics. Ann Financ Econ 11(1), 1650004 (2016a)CrossRef Hin, L.Y., Dokuchaev, N.: Short rate forecasting based on the inference from the CIR model for multiple yield curve dynamics. Ann Financ Econ 11(1), 1650004 (2016a)CrossRef
go back to reference Hin, L.Y., Dokuchaev, N.: Computation of the implied discount rate and volatility for an overdefined system using stochastic optimization. IMA J Manag Math 27(4), 505–527 (2016b)CrossRef Hin, L.Y., Dokuchaev, N.: Computation of the implied discount rate and volatility for an overdefined system using stochastic optimization. IMA J Manag Math 27(4), 505–527 (2016b)CrossRef
go back to reference Issaka, A., SenGupta, I.: Analysis of variance based instruments for Ornstein–Uhlenbeck type models: swap and price index. Ann Finance 13(4), 401–434 (2017)CrossRef Issaka, A., SenGupta, I.: Analysis of variance based instruments for Ornstein–Uhlenbeck type models: swap and price index. Ann Finance 13(4), 401–434 (2017)CrossRef
go back to reference Jeanblanc, M., Yor, M., Chesney, M.: Mathematical Methods for Financial Markets. Heidelberg: Springer (2009) Jeanblanc, M., Yor, M., Chesney, M.: Mathematical Methods for Financial Markets. Heidelberg: Springer (2009)
go back to reference Karatzas, I., Kardaras, C.: The numéraire portfolio in semimartingale financial models. Finance Stoch 11, 447–493 (2007)CrossRef Karatzas, I., Kardaras, C.: The numéraire portfolio in semimartingale financial models. Finance Stoch 11, 447–493 (2007)CrossRef
go back to reference Kardaras, C.: Numéraire-invariant preferences in financial modeling. Ann Appl Probab 20, 1697–1728 (2010)CrossRef Kardaras, C.: Numéraire-invariant preferences in financial modeling. Ann Appl Probab 20, 1697–1728 (2010)CrossRef
go back to reference Kim, Y.-J., Kunitomo, N.: Pricing options under stochastic interest rates: a new approach. Asia Pac Financ Mark 6(1), 49–70 (1999)CrossRef Kim, Y.-J., Kunitomo, N.: Pricing options under stochastic interest rates: a new approach. Asia Pac Financ Mark 6(1), 49–70 (1999)CrossRef
go back to reference Krylov, N.V.: Controlled Diffusion Processes. New York: Springer (1980) Krylov, N.V.: Controlled Diffusion Processes. New York: Springer (1980)
go back to reference Schroder, M.: Changes of numeraire for pricing futures, forwards, and options. Rev Financ Stud 12(5), 1143–1163 (1999)CrossRef Schroder, M.: Changes of numeraire for pricing futures, forwards, and options. Rev Financ Stud 12(5), 1143–1163 (1999)CrossRef
go back to reference Schweizer, M.: A guided tour through quadratic hedging approaches. In: Jouini, E., Cvitanic, J., Musiela, M. (eds.) Option Pricing, Interest Rates and Risk Management, pp. 538–574. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press (2001) Schweizer, M.: A guided tour through quadratic hedging approaches. In: Jouini, E., Cvitanic, J., Musiela, M. (eds.) Option Pricing, Interest Rates and Risk Management, pp. 538–574. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press (2001)
go back to reference Turvey, C.G., Komar, S.: Martingale restrictions and the implied market price of risk. Can J Agric Econ 54, 379–399 (2006)CrossRef Turvey, C.G., Komar, S.: Martingale restrictions and the implied market price of risk. Can J Agric Econ 54, 379–399 (2006)CrossRef
go back to reference Vecer, J.: Stochastic Finance: A Numeraire Approach. Boca Raton: CRC Press (2011) Vecer, J.: Stochastic Finance: A Numeraire Approach. Boca Raton: CRC Press (2011)
go back to reference Vecer, J., Xu, M.: Pricing Asian options in a semimartingale model. Quant Finance 4, 170–175 (2004)CrossRef Vecer, J., Xu, M.: Pricing Asian options in a semimartingale model. Quant Finance 4, 170–175 (2004)CrossRef
go back to reference Weron, R.: Market price of risk implied by Asian-style electricity options and futures. Energy Econ 30, 1098–1115 (2008)CrossRef Weron, R.: Market price of risk implied by Asian-style electricity options and futures. Energy Econ 30, 1098–1115 (2008)CrossRef
go back to reference Won, D., Hahn, G., Yannelis, N.C.: Capital market equilibrium without riskless assets: heterogeneous expectations. Ann Finance 4, 183–195 (2008)CrossRef Won, D., Hahn, G., Yannelis, N.C.: Capital market equilibrium without riskless assets: heterogeneous expectations. Ann Finance 4, 183–195 (2008)CrossRef
Metadata
Title
On the implied market price of risk under the stochastic numéraire
Author
Nikolai Dokuchaev
Publication date
02-12-2017
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Annals of Finance / Issue 2/2018
Print ISSN: 1614-2446
Electronic ISSN: 1614-2454
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10436-017-0315-y

Other articles of this Issue 2/2018

Annals of Finance 2/2018 Go to the issue