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Water Resources Management

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02-07-2021

Optimal Model of Desalination Planning Under Uncertainties in a Water Supply System

Authors: Zongzhi Wang, Ailing Ye, Kelin Liu, Liting Tan

Published in: Water Resources Management | Issue 10/2021

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Abstract

A requirement for developing desalination efforts in coastal regions suffering water scarcity is proposed to address the increased water demand and limited traditional water supply. The determination of a plant capacity and water allocation scheme in a multiple-source water supply system, as the first problem in planning desalination under streamflow and water demand uncertainties, remains a challenge. To address this gap, an interval-parameter two-stage stochastic programming model is developed in this study. The first-stage problem is to determine a proper desalination plant capacity, and the second is the development of a water allocation scheme under the uncertainties of natural streamflows, water demands, benefits and economic losses. The objective function is to maximize the net benefit of the system, and the cost function of desalination, including capital and operational costs, implying environmental impact, is linearized within a range of plant capacities to solve the model. The proposed approach is applied to an urban area of Weihai in China to illustrate the validity of the model. The results suggest a capacity of 46 × 10³ m³/d in 2030 and 55 × 10³ m³/d in 2040. Sensitivity analyses of the parameters indicate that a decrease in the unit price of electricity leads to an increase in the utilization level of desalinated seawater. A complementary relationship was observed between reclaimed water and desalinated seawater, in that a decrease in the use rate of reclaimed water from 0.38 to 0.18 led to a 15% increase in desalinated plant capacity.

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Title: Optimal Model of Desalination Planning Under Uncertainties in a Water Supply System
Authors: Zongzhi Wang
Ailing Ye
Kelin Liu
Liting Tan
Publication date: 02-07-2021
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Published in: Water Resources Management / Issue 10/2021
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Electronic ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-021-02892-6

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