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Published in: Journal of Business Ethics 3/2017

04-09-2015

Religiosity and the Volatility of Stock Prices: A Cross-Country Analysis

Author: Benjamin M. Blau

Published in: Journal of Business Ethics | Issue 3/2017

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Abstract

Prior research argues that religiosity increases the ethical behavior and levels of risk aversion of firm managers. To the extent that this is true, more religious countries might exhibit more stability in stock prices. This study tests this assertion by determining whether religiosity in countries is negatively associated with volatility in financial markets. Using a unique empirical design, we account for the possibility that the structure of financial markets is endogenously related to a country’s religiosity by examining the volatility of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) while conditioning on a number of home country variables capturing religiosity. We also control for the possibility of endogeneity bias by identifying an appropriate instrumental variable. Interestingly, our tests show that religious affiliation and, to a lesser extent, religious adherence and religious beliefs negatively affect the level of ADR volatility.

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Footnotes
1
Other studies on this topic suggest that religiosity can generate greater corporate social responsibility (Chintrakarn-Kitsabunnarat et al. 2014), cause lower levels of firm investment (Hilary and Hui 2009), and adversely affect the level of excessive compensation (Grullon 2009).
 
2
Stein (1987) presents a theoretical model where speculation, and in particular, introducing financial derivatives could lead to more volatility in underlying financial markets. Other studies show that trading on margin (short selling) correlates with higher levels of volatility (Diether et al. 2009).
 
3
In a variety of robustness tests, we replicate our analysis, but instead of using pooled ADR-year observations, we average the ADR/macroeconomic data across the time period so that we only conduct cross-sectional tests. Results from these tests are qualitatively similar to those reported in this study. We also note that our results are robust when we look at the data in individual years. For instance, we replicate our analysis using only data from 2001 and find results are qualitatively similar. Further, data from 2002 and data from 2003 produce qualitatively similar results. We choose to use data for the five-year period after the religiosity data were obtained because of the short recessionary period in 2001 and account for the time variation in the financial market liquidity.
 
4
We also follow Chintrakarn et al. (2015) and Altonji et al. (2005) and conduct an analysis on whether or not this specification and those that follow are subject to endogeneity bias due to omitted variables. Following the methods developed in Altonji et al. (2005), we quantify a boundary condition for how strong selection on unobservables would have to be (relative to observables) in order to create a substantial bias. Results from these tests, while unreported, suggest the omitted variable bias is unlikely as the boundaries for the bias are at the same level as in Chintrakarn (2015) and less than in Altonji et al. (2005).
 
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Metadata
Title
Religiosity and the Volatility of Stock Prices: A Cross-Country Analysis
Author
Benjamin M. Blau
Publication date
04-09-2015
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Journal of Business Ethics / Issue 3/2017
Print ISSN: 0167-4544
Electronic ISSN: 1573-0697
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-015-2842-7

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