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Published in: Asia Pacific Journal of Management 3/2020

06-06-2019

Risk-taking in entrepreneurial decision-making: A dynamic model of venture decision

Authors: Yan Li, David Ahlstrom

Published in: Asia Pacific Journal of Management | Issue 3/2020

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Abstract

On the basis of the seminal work of Kahneman and Tversky Econometrica, 47(2): 263–292 (1979), this research extends the boundaries of prospect theory in investigating determinants and temporal variation of risk-taking in entrepreneurial decisions, such as creating a new business organization or investing a risky business project. The two experimental studies (1) identify entrepreneurial risk-taking in the gain situation and find reversal of risk preference after a dynamic entrepreneurial learning process, indicating that the framing effect of prospect theory in explaining entrepreneurial risk-taking is conditional; (2) instead of weights, subjective judgment of the possibility of success of a risky project (subjective probability) consistently plays central moderating role in entrepreneurial decisions under uncertainty, and (3) the different effects of subjective probability in the two studies reveal that novice decision-makers are more value-driven, whereas experienced decision-makers, particularly under low probability conditions, tend to be more risk averse regardless of the value of a risky project perceived as long as they have a lack of confidence in eventual success.

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Appendix
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Metadata
Title
Risk-taking in entrepreneurial decision-making: A dynamic model of venture decision
Authors
Yan Li
David Ahlstrom
Publication date
06-06-2019
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Asia Pacific Journal of Management / Issue 3/2020
Print ISSN: 0217-4561
Electronic ISSN: 1572-9958
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10490-018-9631-7

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