Road to Next Generation Mobile Networks: An Evolutionary Dynamics Approach

One of the major challenges that mobile operators (MOs) are faced with nowadays is the transition to 4th Generation (4G) mobile communication technologies. The main reason for this lies on the reluctance of MOs to invest in a new technology without being sure about its success. The current paper investigates the decision-making procedures of a MO that wishes to migrate from its current technology type to 4G. Traditionally, the decision of deploying a new technology has been based on the analysis of similar implementations in other countries. However, such approaches can be inefficient and time consuming, as there are discrepancies concerning the technological progress among different countries. To this end, the authors employ evolutionary game theory to model the interactions of the MO’s decisions and the subscribers’ needs, and propose a practical and efficient qualitative model that identifies the circumstances under which the transition towards 4G networking can be facilitated. Specifically, the mathematical foundation of the decision making process is provided and the key role of the charging price and the quality of experience by the subscribers for using 4G connectivity is proven. With the process of 4G deployment still ongoing, this paper aims to present an analysis that can be used supplementary to the decision process of a MO that aims to evolve his network.