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Published in: European Actuarial Journal 1/2016

01-07-2016 | Original Research Paper

Ruin problems in the generalized Erlang(n) risk model

Authors: Agnieszka I. Bergel, Alfredo D. Egídio dos Reis

Published in: European Actuarial Journal | Issue 1/2016

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Abstract

For actuarial applications we consider the Sparre–Andersen risk model when the interclaim times are Generalized Erlang(n) distributed. Unlike the standard Erlang(n) case, the roots of the generalized Lundberg’s equation with positive real parts can be multiple. This has a significant impact in the formulae for ruin probabilities that have to be found. We start by addressing the problem of solving an integro–differential equation that is satisfied by the survival probability, as well as other probabilities related, and present a method to solve such equation. This is done by considering the roots with positive real parts of the generalized Lundberg’s equation, and then establishing a one-one relation between them and the solutions of the integro–differential equation mentioned above. We first study the cases when all the roots are single and when there are roots with higher multiplicity. Secondly, we show that it is possible to have double roots but no higher multiplicity. Also, we show that the number of double roots depend on the choice of the parameters of the generalized Erlang(n) distribution, with a maximum number depending on n being even or odd. Afterwards, we extend our findings above for the computation of the distribution of the maximum severity of ruin as well as, considering an interest force, to the study the expected discounted future dividends, prior to ruin. Our findings show an alternative and more general method to the one provided by Albrecher et al. (Insur Math Econ 37:324–334, 2005), by considering a general claim amount distribution.

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Literature
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Metadata
Title
Ruin problems in the generalized Erlang(n) risk model
Authors
Agnieszka I. Bergel
Alfredo D. Egídio dos Reis
Publication date
01-07-2016
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
European Actuarial Journal / Issue 1/2016
Print ISSN: 2190-9733
Electronic ISSN: 2190-9741
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13385-016-0130-2

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