Skip to main content
Top

2020 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on PSO-ELM

Authors : Ai Li, Xiong Wei

Published in: Innovative Computing

Publisher: Springer Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In view of the low prediction accuracy of short-term wind speed, for ELM, the connection weight and hidden layer threshold of input layer and hidden layer were randomly generated, which led to the decrease of network generalization ability and the distortion of evaluation result caused by over-fitting, a forecasting method based on particle swarm combined extremely learning machine (PSO-ELM) was proposed. The example analysis showed that the model had high prediction accuracy and could effectively track the variation of wind speed.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Ling, Jin, Meiqin Mao, Fugen Li, et al. 2017. Research on methods and application of short-term wind speed forecasting. Journal of Hefei University of Technology (Natural Science) 40 (11): 1502–1506. Ling, Jin, Meiqin Mao, Fugen Li, et al. 2017. Research on methods and application of short-term wind speed forecasting. Journal of Hefei University of Technology (Natural Science) 40 (11): 1502–1506.
2.
go back to reference Meng, Anbo, Jiafei Ge, Hao Yin, et al. 2016. Wind speed forecasting based on wavelet packet decomposition and artificial neural networks trained by crisscross optimization algorithm. Energy Conversion and Management 114: 75–88.CrossRef Meng, Anbo, Jiafei Ge, Hao Yin, et al. 2016. Wind speed forecasting based on wavelet packet decomposition and artificial neural networks trained by crisscross optimization algorithm. Energy Conversion and Management 114: 75–88.CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Lu, Jing, and Ming Zeng. 2019. Adaboost_GRNN combination forecasting model for short-term wind speed. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA 4: 70–76. Lu, Jing, and Ming Zeng. 2019. Adaboost_GRNN combination forecasting model for short-term wind speed. Proceedings of the CSU-EPSA 4: 70–76.
4.
go back to reference Yang, Mao, and Qiongqiong YANG. 2018. Review of modeling of wind speed-power characteristic curve for wind turbine. Electric Power Automation Equipment 38 (2): 34–43. Yang, Mao, and Qiongqiong YANG. 2018. Review of modeling of wind speed-power characteristic curve for wind turbine. Electric Power Automation Equipment 38 (2): 34–43.
5.
go back to reference Chen, Ning, Yusheng Xue, Jie Ding, et al. 2017. Ultra-short term wind speed prediction using spatial correlation. Automation of Electric Power Systems 41 (12): 124–130. Chen, Ning, Yusheng Xue, Jie Ding, et al. 2017. Ultra-short term wind speed prediction using spatial correlation. Automation of Electric Power Systems 41 (12): 124–130.
6.
go back to reference Fan, Lei, Zhinong Wei, Huijie Li, et al. 2017. Short-term wind speed interval prediction based on VMD and BA-RVM algorithm. Electric Power Automation Equipment 37 (1): 93–100. Fan, Lei, Zhinong Wei, Huijie Li, et al. 2017. Short-term wind speed interval prediction based on VMD and BA-RVM algorithm. Electric Power Automation Equipment 37 (1): 93–100.
7.
go back to reference Wang, Jing, and Weide Li. 2018. Ultra-short-term forecasting of wind speed based on CEEMD and GWO. Power System Protection and Control 46 (9): 69–74. Wang, Jing, and Weide Li. 2018. Ultra-short-term forecasting of wind speed based on CEEMD and GWO. Power System Protection and Control 46 (9): 69–74.
8.
go back to reference Lu, Siyuan, Zhihai Lu, Shuihua Wang, et al. 2018. Overview of extreme learning machine. Measurement & Control Technology 37 (10): 3–9. Lu, Siyuan, Zhihai Lu, Shuihua Wang, et al. 2018. Overview of extreme learning machine. Measurement & Control Technology 37 (10): 3–9.
9.
go back to reference Liu, Yun, Quanxing Liu, Ming Yin, et al. 2019. Dynamic performance optimization of dry gas seal based on particle swarm optimization and projection tracking analysis. Engineering Science and Technology 51 (1): 248–255. Liu, Yun, Quanxing Liu, Ming Yin, et al. 2019. Dynamic performance optimization of dry gas seal based on particle swarm optimization and projection tracking analysis. Engineering Science and Technology 51 (1): 248–255.
Metadata
Title
Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on PSO-ELM
Authors
Ai Li
Xiong Wei
Copyright Year
2020
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-5959-4_130

Premium Partner