Skip to main content
Top

2013 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

20. Study of Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Advanced BP Neural Network Model

Authors : Jinling Lu, Rengang Yang, Chengxiang Zhang

Published in: Informatics and Management Science IV

Publisher: Springer London

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Wind power prediction is important to wind power system operation with a large amount of wind power integration. Effective prediction for wind power can reduce the difficulty of grid dispatching. In this paper an advanced neural network model was proposed to predict the short-term output power of a single wind turbine in a wind farm. According to the relevant wind speed, wind direction, temperature, output power and other data obtained from the wind farm, the model was established to predict the output wind power ahead of 10 min and 1 h. The simulation results showed that the proposed advanced BP neural network model had a higher prediction accuracy comparing to the existing BP neural network model.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Alexiadis M, Dokopoulos P, Sahsamanoglou H et al (1998) Short term forecasting of wind speed and related electrical power. Sol Energ 63(1):61–68CrossRef Alexiadis M, Dokopoulos P, Sahsamanoglou H et al (1998) Short term forecasting of wind speed and related electrical power. Sol Energ 63(1):61–68CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Campbell PRJ (2007) Short-term wind energy forecasting. Can Electr Power Conf 15(6):28–30 Campbell PRJ (2007) Short-term wind energy forecasting. Can Electr Power Conf 15(6):28–30
3.
go back to reference Kitajima T, Yasuno T (2010) Output prediction of wind power generation system using complex-valued neural network. SICE Annu Conf 50(33):18–21 Kitajima T, Yasuno T (2010) Output prediction of wind power generation system using complex-valued neural network. SICE Annu Conf 50(33):18–21
4.
go back to reference Huang JH, Peng H (2009) Study of wind power short-term prediction of wind farm based on neural network. Electricity Electrotechnics 9(15):57–60 Huang JH, Peng H (2009) Study of wind power short-term prediction of wind farm based on neural network. Electricity Electrotechnics 9(15):57–60
5.
go back to reference Peng HW, Liu FR, Yang XF (2009) Study of short-term wind power prediction based on artificial neural networks. East Chin Electric Power 37(11):1918–1921 Peng HW, Liu FR, Yang XF (2009) Study of short-term wind power prediction based on artificial neural networks. East Chin Electric Power 37(11):1918–1921
6.
go back to reference Pinson P, Kariniotakis GN (2003) Wind power forecasting using fuzzy neural networks enhanced with on-line prediction risk assessment. IEEE Bologna PowerTech Conf 16(5):23–26 Pinson P, Kariniotakis GN (2003) Wind power forecasting using fuzzy neural networks enhanced with on-line prediction risk assessment. IEEE Bologna PowerTech Conf 16(5):23–26
7.
go back to reference Fan GF, Wang WS, Liu C, Dai HZ (2008) Wind power prediction based on artificial neural network. Proc CSEE 28(34):118–123 Fan GF, Wang WS, Liu C, Dai HZ (2008) Wind power prediction based on artificial neural network. Proc CSEE 28(34):118–123
8.
go back to reference Fu R, Wang WQ, He QX (2009) The forecasting of wind speed in wind farm based on the meter cal factors with BP neural network. Renew Energy Res 27(5):86–89 Fu R, Wang WQ, He QX (2009) The forecasting of wind speed in wind farm based on the meter cal factors with BP neural network. Renew Energy Res 27(5):86–89
Metadata
Title
Study of Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Advanced BP Neural Network Model
Authors
Jinling Lu
Rengang Yang
Chengxiang Zhang
Copyright Year
2013
Publisher
Springer London
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-4793-0_20

Premium Partners