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Abrupt Climate Change Modeling Read chapter Read first chapter

2011 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

System Dynamics Models of Environment, Energy and Climate Change

Author : Andrew Ford

Published in: Extreme Environmental Events

Publisher: Springer New York

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Article Outline

Glossary
Definition of the Subject
Introduction
The Model of Mono Lake
The Model of the Salmon in the Tucannon River
Models of Climate Change
System Dynamics Models of the Carbon Cycle
Lessons from the Regulated Power Industry in the 1970s
Simulating the Power Industry Response to a Carbon Market
Conditions for Effective Interdisciplinary Modeling
Future Directions
Bibliography

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Footnotes
1
“Wait and see” may be supported by an analysis of the hydrology of the basin, but it does not necessarily make sense when considering the long delays in the political and managerial process to change water export.
 
2
The shocks could take the form of changes in ocean mortalities, changes in harvesting and changes in the migration mortalities. These shocks are external to the boundary of this model, so one is reminded of Coyle's definition of system dynamics. That is, the model helps us understand how the salmon population could withstand the shocks which fall upon it from the out-side world.
 
Literature
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Claussen M et al (2002) Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models. Climate Dyn 18:579–586CrossRef
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Coyle G (1977) Management system dynamics. Wiley, Chichester
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Dimitrovski A, Ford A, Tomsovic K (2007) An interdisciplinary approach to long term modeling for power system expansion. Int J Crit Infrastruct 3(1–2):235–264CrossRef
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EIA (2003) United States Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Analysis of S139, the Climate Stewardship Act of 2003
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Fiddaman T (2002) Exploring policy options with a behavioral climate‐economy model. Syst Dyn Rev 18(2):243–264CrossRef
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Ford A (1999) Modeling the environment. Island Press, Washington
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Ford A (2008) Simulation scenarios for rapid reduction in carbon dioxide emissions in the western electricity system. Energy Policy 36:443–455CrossRef
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Ford A, Cavana R (eds) (2004) Special Issue of the Syst Dyn Rev
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IPCC (1997) An introduction to simple climate models used in the IPCC second assessment report. ISBN 92-9169-101-1
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Kump L (2002) Reducing uncertainty about carbon dioxide as a climate driver. Nature 419:188–190CrossRef
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Meadows DH, Meadows DL, Randers J, Behrens W (1972) The limits to growth. Universe Books
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Morecroft J (2007) Strategic modelling and business dynamics. Wiley, Chichester
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Richardson J, Pugh A (1981) Introduction to system dynamics modeling with dynamo. Pegasus Communications
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Sterman J (2000) Business dynamics. McGraw‐Hill, Irwin
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Sterman J (ed) (2002) Special Issue of the Syst Dyn Rev
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Sterman J, Sweeney L (2007) Understanding public complacency about climate change. Clim Chang 80(3–4):213–238CrossRef
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Webster M et al (2003) Uncertainty analysis of climate change and policy response. Climat Chang 61:295–320CrossRef
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Houghton J (2004) Global warming: The complete briefing, 3rd edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Metadata
Title
System Dynamics Models of Environment, Energy and Climate Change
Author
Andrew Ford
Copyright Year
2011
Publisher
Springer New York
Book
Extreme Environmental Events

Print ISBN: 978-1-4419-7694-9

Electronic ISBN: 978-1-4419-7695-6

Copyright Year: 2011

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-7695-6_49