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Published in: Quality & Quantity 6/2014

01-11-2014

Types of motions as proposed in the Dutch House of Representatives

Authors: Mariska Goeree, Roel Popping

Published in: Quality & Quantity | Issue 6/2014

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Abstract

This exploratory study provides an answer to the question what a coalition agreement means for negotiation by political parties in the House and what consequences this has for the motions submitted. Motions on environmental and immigration policy are compared at the time of two different governments. Based on the coalition agreements we estimate how much space for negotiation with regard to both issues and both periods is available. On that basis predictions are made regarding the numbers of submitted and passed motions. Moreover, a new classification is introduced in order to be able to group motions based on the intended purpose. Also predictions are made about this. The results show that, in line with expectations, fewer motions are proposed on issues where the negotiation space is limited, but this effect is not significant. However, there are significant findings with regard to motions that have passed. Where negotiation space is smaller, fewer motions pass than with respect to topics where the negotiation space is greater. As regards the different types of motions, the research gives unexpected, but interesting, results.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
The Balkenende IV cabinet coalition agreement document contains 40 pages text, Rutte I agreement 43 pages and the supply agreement 17 pages
 
2
The z-test used for hypothesis 2.4 actually is to test \(\hbox {C}_{\mathrm{pass}}/\hbox {C}\ne \hbox {A}_{\mathrm{pass}}/\hbox {A}\). This hypothesis is rejected; this result in fact is not the proof for hypothesis 2.4. The value 0 is in the confidence interval around the difference found in the data. This also holds with regard to the descriptive confidence intervals (DCI) as proposed by Tryon and Lewis (2009). Therefore we take the position that we showed that the hypothesis is confirmed. The same reasoning is used for hypotheses 3.1 and 3.4. The intervals for the three hypotheses are respectively \(-\)0.10 to 0.10, \(-\)0.20 to 0.06 and \(-\)0.14 to 0.06. Tryson and Lewis also compute inferential confidence intervals (ICI) for each proportion. The intervals for corresponding proportions almost overlap completely, which also indicates that the difference between the two proportions can be interpreted as being zero.
 
3
If we would have included motions from the caretaker period of the Balkenende cabinet, this would not have affected the results.
 
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Metadata
Title
Types of motions as proposed in the Dutch House of Representatives
Authors
Mariska Goeree
Roel Popping
Publication date
01-11-2014
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Quality & Quantity / Issue 6/2014
Print ISSN: 0033-5177
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7845
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-013-9954-x

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