Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering 3/2020

13-11-2019 | Research Article - Systems Engineering

Using Fuzzy-Improved Principal Component Analysis (PCA-IF) for Ranking of Major Accident Scenarios

Authors: Hadef Hefaidh, Djebabra Mébarek

Published in: Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering | Issue 3/2020

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The industrial risk mapping is a topical problem in the field of risk management that attracts many researchers to develop risk matrices to ensure consultation between their actors. In this context, this paper aims to propose the principal component analysis (PCA) method as support for this consultation. Indeed, the use of PCA method is justified by its robustness for aggregate initial data associated with industrial risks as principal factors and ranking of this risk in terms of their criticalities in risk matrices. However, the aggregation of initial data on industrial risks by the main factors, in some cases, leads to inaccuracies which make it difficult to classify certain risks. This paper proposes two variants of PCA method to solve this inaccuracy and succeeds in classifying risks according to their respective criticalities, namely PCA-Improved (PCA-I) and PCA-I-Fuzzy (PCA-IF). The results come from the PCA application and its proposed variants (PCA-I and PCA-IF) on an example of accident scenarios ranking. We have established a scientific basis for the capitalization of mapping tool for consultation and decision support to industrial risk managers.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Baybutt, P.: The use of risk matrices and risk graphs for SIL determination. Process Saf. Prog. 33(2), 179–182 (2014) Baybutt, P.: The use of risk matrices and risk graphs for SIL determination. Process Saf. Prog. 33(2), 179–182 (2014)
2.
go back to reference Marhavilas, P.K.; Koulouriotis, D.; Gemeni, V.: Risk analysis and assessment methodologies in the work sites: on a review, classification and comparative study of the scientific literature of the period 2000–2009. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 24(5), 477–523 (2011) Marhavilas, P.K.; Koulouriotis, D.; Gemeni, V.: Risk analysis and assessment methodologies in the work sites: on a review, classification and comparative study of the scientific literature of the period 2000–2009. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 24(5), 477–523 (2011)
3.
go back to reference Tixier, J.; Dusserre, G.; Salvi, O.; Gaston, D.: Review of 62 risk analysis methodologies of industrial plants. J Loss Prevent Process Ind. 15(4), 291–303 (2002) Tixier, J.; Dusserre, G.; Salvi, O.; Gaston, D.: Review of 62 risk analysis methodologies of industrial plants. J Loss Prevent Process Ind. 15(4), 291–303 (2002)
4.
go back to reference CCPS: Guidelines for chemical process quantitative risk analysis, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York (2000) CCPS: Guidelines for chemical process quantitative risk analysis, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York (2000)
5.
go back to reference American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AICE).: Guidelines for hazard evaluation procedures, 2nd edn. New York (1992) American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AICE).: Guidelines for hazard evaluation procedures, 2nd edn. New York (1992)
6.
go back to reference Hadef, H.; Djebabra, M.; Sedrat, L.; Taghelabet, M.: Contribution to the evaluation of safety barriers performance. World Journal of Science, Technology and Sustainable Development. 16(1), 56–68 (2019) Hadef, H.; Djebabra, M.; Sedrat, L.; Taghelabet, M.: Contribution to the evaluation of safety barriers performance. World Journal of Science, Technology and Sustainable Development. 16(1), 56–68 (2019)
7.
go back to reference Baybutt, P.: Guidelines for designing risk matrices. Process Saf. Prog. 37(1), 41–46 (2016) Baybutt, P.: Guidelines for designing risk matrices. Process Saf. Prog. 37(1), 41–46 (2016)
8.
go back to reference Reniers, G.L.L.; Dullaert, W.; Ale, B.J.M.; Soudan, K.: Developing an external domino accident prevention framework: Hazwim. J Loss Prev Process Ind 18(3), 127–138 (2005) Reniers, G.L.L.; Dullaert, W.; Ale, B.J.M.; Soudan, K.: Developing an external domino accident prevention framework: Hazwim. J Loss Prev Process Ind 18(3), 127–138 (2005)
9.
go back to reference Da Cunha, S.B.: A review of quantitative risk assessment of onshore pipelines. J Loss Prev Process, Ind. 44(11), 282–298 (2016) Da Cunha, S.B.: A review of quantitative risk assessment of onshore pipelines. J Loss Prev Process, Ind. 44(11), 282–298 (2016)
10.
go back to reference Gul, M.; Guneri, A.F.: A fuzzy multi criteria risk assessment based on decision matrix technique: a case study for aluminum industry. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 40(3), 89–100 (2016) Gul, M.; Guneri, A.F.: A fuzzy multi criteria risk assessment based on decision matrix technique: a case study for aluminum industry. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 40(3), 89–100 (2016)
11.
go back to reference Peeters, W.; Peng, Z.: An approach towards global standardization of the risk matrix. Journal of Space Safety Engineering. 2(1), 31–38 (2015) Peeters, W.; Peng, Z.: An approach towards global standardization of the risk matrix. Journal of Space Safety Engineering. 2(1), 31–38 (2015)
12.
go back to reference Merad, M.: Analyse de l’état de l’art sur les grilles de criticité. INERIS report, France, DRA-38 (2004) Merad, M.: Analyse de l’état de l’art sur les grilles de criticité. INERIS report, France, DRA-38 (2004)
13.
go back to reference Cox Jr., L.A.: What’s wrong with risk matrices? Risk Anal. 28(2), 497–512 (2008) Cox Jr., L.A.: What’s wrong with risk matrices? Risk Anal. 28(2), 497–512 (2008)
14.
go back to reference Hubbard, D.; Evans, D.: Problems with scoring methods and ordinal scales in risk assessment. IBM J. Res. Dev. 54(3), 2:1–2:10 (2010) Hubbard, D.; Evans, D.: Problems with scoring methods and ordinal scales in risk assessment. IBM J. Res. Dev. 54(3), 2:1–2:10 (2010)
15.
go back to reference Smith, E.D.; Siefert, W.T.; Drain, D.: Risk matrix input data biases. Syst. Eng. 12(4), 344–360 (2009) Smith, E.D.; Siefert, W.T.; Drain, D.: Risk matrix input data biases. Syst. Eng. 12(4), 344–360 (2009)
16.
go back to reference Levine, E.S.: Improving risk matrices: the advantages of logarithmically scaled axes. J. Risk Res. 15(2), 209–222 (2012) Levine, E.S.: Improving risk matrices: the advantages of logarithmically scaled axes. J. Risk Res. 15(2), 209–222 (2012)
17.
go back to reference Ni, H.; Chen, A.; Chen, N.: Some extensions on risk matrix approach. Safety Science. 48(10), 1269–1278 (2010) Ni, H.; Chen, A.; Chen, N.: Some extensions on risk matrix approach. Safety Science. 48(10), 1269–1278 (2010)
18.
go back to reference Franks, A.P.; Maddison, T.: A simplified method for the estimation of individual risk. Process Saf. Environ. Prot. 84(2), 101–108 (2006) Franks, A.P.; Maddison, T.: A simplified method for the estimation of individual risk. Process Saf. Environ. Prot. 84(2), 101–108 (2006)
19.
go back to reference Ruge, B.: Risk matrix as tool for risk assessment in the chemical process industries, In: Spitzer, C., Schmocker, U., Dang, V.N., (Eds.), Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, Springer. pp. 2693–2698 (2004) Ruge, B.: Risk matrix as tool for risk assessment in the chemical process industries, In: Spitzer, C., Schmocker, U., Dang, V.N., (Eds.), Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, Springer. pp. 2693–2698 (2004)
20.
go back to reference Flage, R.; Røed, W.: A reflection on some practices in the use of risk matrices. 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management. Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference. pp. 881–891 (2012) Flage, R.; Røed, W.: A reflection on some practices in the use of risk matrices. 11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management. Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference. pp. 881–891 (2012)
21.
go back to reference ISO.; IEC/ISO 31010: 2009 Risk management – risk assessment techniques. E ed. CENELEC, Brussels, (2010) ISO.; IEC/ISO 31010: 2009 Risk management – risk assessment techniques. E ed. CENELEC, Brussels, (2010)
22.
go back to reference Lin, H.; Yan, C.; Lan, Y.L.: A risk matrix approach based on clustering algorithm. Journal of Applied Sciences. 13(20), 4188–4194 (2013) Lin, H.; Yan, C.; Lan, Y.L.: A risk matrix approach based on clustering algorithm. Journal of Applied Sciences. 13(20), 4188–4194 (2013)
23.
go back to reference Zhu, Q.; Kuang, X.; Shen, Y.: Risk matrix method and its application in the field of technical project risk management. Engineering Science. 5(1), 89–94 (2003) Zhu, Q.; Kuang, X.; Shen, Y.: Risk matrix method and its application in the field of technical project risk management. Engineering Science. 5(1), 89–94 (2003)
24.
go back to reference Markowski, A.S.; Sam Mannan, M.: Fuzzy risk matrix. J. Hazard. Mater. 159(1), 152–157 (2008) Markowski, A.S.; Sam Mannan, M.: Fuzzy risk matrix. J. Hazard. Mater. 159(1), 152–157 (2008)
25.
go back to reference Tran, N.M.; Petra, B.; Maria, O.; Härdle, W.K.: Principal component analysis in an asymmetric norm. Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 171, 1–21 (2019)MathSciNetMATH Tran, N.M.; Petra, B.; Maria, O.; Härdle, W.K.: Principal component analysis in an asymmetric norm. Journal of Multivariate Analysis. 171, 1–21 (2019)MathSciNetMATH
26.
go back to reference Han, L.; Wu, Z.; Zeng, K.; Yang, X.: Online multilinear principal component analysis. Neuro-Computing. 275, 888–896 (2018) Han, L.; Wu, Z.; Zeng, K.; Yang, X.: Online multilinear principal component analysis. Neuro-Computing. 275, 888–896 (2018)
27.
go back to reference Palese, L.L.: A random version of principal component analysis in data clustering. Comput. Biol. Chem. 73(4), 57–64 (2018) Palese, L.L.: A random version of principal component analysis in data clustering. Comput. Biol. Chem. 73(4), 57–64 (2018)
28.
go back to reference Libing, F.; Binqing, X.; Honghai, Y.; Qixing, Y.: A stable systemic risk ranking in China’s banking sector: based on principal component analysis. Physica A 492, 1997–2009 (2018) Libing, F.; Binqing, X.; Honghai, Y.; Qixing, Y.: A stable systemic risk ranking in China’s banking sector: based on principal component analysis. Physica A 492, 1997–2009 (2018)
29.
go back to reference Penkova, T.G.: Principal component analysis and cluster analysis for evaluating the natural and anthropogenic territory safety. Procedia Computer Science. 112, 99–108 (2017) Penkova, T.G.: Principal component analysis and cluster analysis for evaluating the natural and anthropogenic territory safety. Procedia Computer Science. 112, 99–108 (2017)
30.
go back to reference Ng, S.C.: Principal component analysis to reduce dimension on digital image. Procardia Computer Science. 111, 113–119 (2017) Ng, S.C.: Principal component analysis to reduce dimension on digital image. Procardia Computer Science. 111, 113–119 (2017)
31.
go back to reference Manwendra, K.; Tripathi, P.P.; Chatto, P.; Ganguly, S.: Multivariate analysis and classification of bulk metallic glasses using principal component analysis. Comput. Mater. Sci. 107, 79–87 (2015) Manwendra, K.; Tripathi, P.P.; Chatto, P.; Ganguly, S.: Multivariate analysis and classification of bulk metallic glasses using principal component analysis. Comput. Mater. Sci. 107, 79–87 (2015)
32.
go back to reference Reza, M.; Yazdi, Y.: Quantitative assessment of spiritual capital in changing organizations by principal component analysis and fuzzy clustering. Journal of Organizational Change Management. 28(3), 469–485 (2015)MathSciNet Reza, M.; Yazdi, Y.: Quantitative assessment of spiritual capital in changing organizations by principal component analysis and fuzzy clustering. Journal of Organizational Change Management. 28(3), 469–485 (2015)MathSciNet
33.
go back to reference Barshan, E.; Ghodsi, A.; Azimifar, Z.; Jahromi, M.Z.: Supervised principal component analysis: visualization, classification and regression on subspaces and sub-manifolds. Pattern Recogn. 44(7), 1357–1371 (2011)MATH Barshan, E.; Ghodsi, A.; Azimifar, Z.; Jahromi, M.Z.: Supervised principal component analysis: visualization, classification and regression on subspaces and sub-manifolds. Pattern Recogn. 44(7), 1357–1371 (2011)MATH
34.
go back to reference Ringnér, M.: What is principal component analysis? Nat. Biotechnol. 26(3), 303–304 (2008) Ringnér, M.: What is principal component analysis? Nat. Biotechnol. 26(3), 303–304 (2008)
35.
go back to reference Bagui, O.-K.; Zoueu, J.T.; Megnassan, E.: Segmentation by fuzzy logic to estimate the number of red blood cells in multi-spectral images of unstained blood smear. Afrique Sciences. 11(3), 27–36 (2003) Bagui, O.-K.; Zoueu, J.T.; Megnassan, E.: Segmentation by fuzzy logic to estimate the number of red blood cells in multi-spectral images of unstained blood smear. Afrique Sciences. 11(3), 27–36 (2003)
36.
go back to reference Zhu, J.: Data envelopment analysis vs principal component analysis: an illustrative study of economic performance of Chinese cities theory and methodology. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 111(1), 50–61 (1998)MATH Zhu, J.: Data envelopment analysis vs principal component analysis: an illustrative study of economic performance of Chinese cities theory and methodology. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 111(1), 50–61 (1998)MATH
37.
go back to reference Nait-Said, R.; Zidani, F.; Ouzraoui, N.: Modified risk graph method using fuzzy rule-based approach. J. Hazard. Mater. 164(2–3), 651–658 (2009) Nait-Said, R.; Zidani, F.; Ouzraoui, N.: Modified risk graph method using fuzzy rule-based approach. J. Hazard. Mater. 164(2–3), 651–658 (2009)
38.
go back to reference Ak, M.F.; Gul, M.: AHP–TOPSIS integration extended with Pythagorean fuzzy sets for information security risk analysis. Complex Intell Syst 5, 113–126 (2018) Ak, M.F.; Gul, M.: AHP–TOPSIS integration extended with Pythagorean fuzzy sets for information security risk analysis. Complex Intell Syst 5, 113–126 (2018)
39.
go back to reference El-Kholy, A.M.; El-Shikh, M.Y.; Abd-Elhay, S.K.: Which fuzzy ranking method is best for maximizing fuzzy net present value? Arab J Sci Eng. 42(9), 4079–4098 (2017)MathSciNetMATH El-Kholy, A.M.; El-Shikh, M.Y.; Abd-Elhay, S.K.: Which fuzzy ranking method is best for maximizing fuzzy net present value? Arab J Sci Eng. 42(9), 4079–4098 (2017)MathSciNetMATH
40.
go back to reference Wang, Y.; Liu, B.; Qi, Y.: A risk evaluation method with an improved scale for tunnel engineering. Arab J Sci Eng. 43(4), 2053–2067 (2018) Wang, Y.; Liu, B.; Qi, Y.: A risk evaluation method with an improved scale for tunnel engineering. Arab J Sci Eng. 43(4), 2053–2067 (2018)
41.
go back to reference Yazdi, M.; Nikfar, F.; Nasrabadi, M.: Failure probability analysis by employing fuzzy fault tree analysis. Int J Syst Assur Eng Manag. 8(2), 1177–1193 (2017) Yazdi, M.; Nikfar, F.; Nasrabadi, M.: Failure probability analysis by employing fuzzy fault tree analysis. Int J Syst Assur Eng Manag. 8(2), 1177–1193 (2017)
42.
go back to reference Ouazraoui, N.; Nait-Said, R.; Bourareche, M.; Sellami, I.: Layers of protection analysis in the framework of possibility theory. J. Hazard. Mater. 262, 168–178 (2013) Ouazraoui, N.; Nait-Said, R.; Bourareche, M.; Sellami, I.: Layers of protection analysis in the framework of possibility theory. J. Hazard. Mater. 262, 168–178 (2013)
43.
go back to reference Markowski, A.S.; Sam, Mannann M.; Agata, B.: Fuzzy logic for process safety analysis. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 22(6), 695–702 (2009) Markowski, A.S.; Sam, Mannann M.; Agata, B.: Fuzzy logic for process safety analysis. J. Loss Prev. Process Ind. 22(6), 695–702 (2009)
44.
go back to reference Jolliffe, L.T.: Principal Component Analysis. Springer-Verlag, New York (1986)MATH Jolliffe, L.T.: Principal Component Analysis. Springer-Verlag, New York (1986)MATH
45.
go back to reference Gupta, A.; Barbu, A.: Parameterized principal component analysis. Pattern Recogn. 78, 215–227 (2018) Gupta, A.; Barbu, A.: Parameterized principal component analysis. Pattern Recogn. 78, 215–227 (2018)
46.
go back to reference Bishop, C.M.: Pattern recognition and machine learning (information science and statistics). Springer, Berlin (2006)MATH Bishop, C.M.: Pattern recognition and machine learning (information science and statistics). Springer, Berlin (2006)MATH
47.
go back to reference Mamdani, E.H.; Assilian, S.: An experiment in linguistic synthesis with a fuzzy logic controller. Int. J. Man Mach. Stud. 7(1), 1–13 (1975)MATH Mamdani, E.H.; Assilian, S.: An experiment in linguistic synthesis with a fuzzy logic controller. Int. J. Man Mach. Stud. 7(1), 1–13 (1975)MATH
Metadata
Title
Using Fuzzy-Improved Principal Component Analysis (PCA-IF) for Ranking of Major Accident Scenarios
Authors
Hadef Hefaidh
Djebabra Mébarek
Publication date
13-11-2019
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering / Issue 3/2020
Print ISSN: 2193-567X
Electronic ISSN: 2191-4281
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13369-019-04233-7

Other articles of this Issue 3/2020

Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering 3/2020 Go to the issue

Research Article -Electrical Engineering

A New pW CMOS Sub-Hertz Timer

Research Article - Electrical Engineering

Series Optimized Fractional Order Low Pass Butterworth Filter

Premium Partners