Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Journal of Financial Services Research 1/2024

28-11-2023

What Triggers Consumer Adoption of Central Bank Digital Currency?

Authors: Michiel Bijlsma, Carin van der Cruijsen, Nicole Jonker, Jelmer Reijerink

Published in: Journal of Financial Services Research | Issue 1/2024

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Central banks around the world are examining the possibility of introducing Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). The public’s preferences concerning the usage of CBDC for paying and saving are important determinants of the success of CBDC. However, little is known yet about consumers’ attitudes towards CBDC. Using data from a representative panel of Dutch consumers we find that roughly half of the public says it would open a CBDC current account. The same holds for a CBDC savings account. Thus, we find clear potential for CBDC in the Netherlands. This suggests that consumers perceive CBDC as distinct from current and savings accounts offered by traditional banks. Intended CBDC usage is positively related to respondents’ knowledge of CBDC and trust in the central bank. Price incentives matter as well. The amount respondents say they would want to deposit in the CBDC savings account depends on the interest rate offered. Furthermore, intended usage of the CBDC current account is highest among people who find privacy and security important and among consumers with low trust in banks in general. These results suggest that central banks can steer consumers’ adoption of CBDC via the interest rate, by a design of CBDC that takes into account the public’s need for security and privacy, and by clear communication about what CBDC entails.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
According to, among others, Marchiori (2021), the relationship between the development of prices of (virtual) goods paid with virtual currencies and the supply of virtual currencies may be opposite to what is predicted by monetary theory when agents providing payments services are rewarded with newly issued virtual currency. A decline in the issuance of a virtual currency raises the prices of goods paid with it. However, Balvers and McDonald (2021) show that it is theoretically possible to design a global digital currency that mimics the ideal design and whose value reflects the price development of a tradeable goods basket.
 
2
See the CBDC Tracker from the Atlantic Council at www.​atlanticcouncil.​org/​cbdctracker/​.
 
3
Of the 771 panel members that did not fill in the survey, 727 people did not response and 44 people partly filled in the survey.
 
4
For example, Bolt et al. (2010) have a response rate of 72.7% and Van Rooij et al. (2012) report a response rate of 74.4%.
 
5
People who are selected for participation in the panel but who do not have a computer with Internet access receive the necessary equipment.
 
6
For more information on Centerpanel and DHS, see Teppa and Vis (2012).
 
7
The survey is available upon request.
 
8
The list of reasons is based on the discussion of preconditions, objectives and design choices for CBDC by Wierts and Boven (2020).
 
9
The question reads as follows “Are you familiar with the following terms? Cash, digital money, public money, private money, central bank money, commercial money, central bank digital currency (CBDC).” For each term the answer options are: “No, I have never heard of it”, “Yes, I have heard of it, but I don't know what is meant with it”, and “Yes, I know what is meant with it”.
 
10
The response shares in Fig. 1 and the lower and upper bound of the balance categories above EUR 0 suggests that, on average, the Dutch would transfer between EUR 260 and EUR 700 to the CBDC current account. These amounts correspond with 10–25% of the average balance of EUR 2,800 that Dutch citizens had on their current account in 2019.
 
11
The impact is estimated as follows. People who find safeguarding their privacy very important have a two points higher score on the variable importance privacy CA than people with a neutral position. They have an 8 percentage points higher likelihood to intent to adopt a CBDC current account, as the marginal effect of a 1-point higher score on importance privacy CA amounts 4 percentage points.
 
12
People with very much trust in their own bank have a four points higher score on the variable narrow-scope trust in banks than people with very little trust, so we multiplied the marginal effect presented in the last column of Table 3 by four to estimate the impact (4 × 0.04 = 0.16).
 
13
The coefficient of the inverse Mills ratio (lambda) is positive and significant in the fourth model (Table 4, column 4). So, without correction, the coefficient estimates would have been upward-biased.
 
14
People who trust the central bank a lot have a three points higher score on the variable trust in the central bank than people with absolutely no trust, so we multiplied the marginal effects presented in Table 5 by three (-0.04*3 = -0.12 and 0.07*3 = 0.21).
 
Literature
go back to reference Abramova S, Böhme R, Elsinger H, Stix H, Summer M (2022) What can CBDC designers learn from asking potential users? Results from a survey of Austrian residents. OENB Working Paper 241. Vienna: Österreichische Nationalbank Abramova S, Böhme R, Elsinger H, Stix H, Summer M (2022) What can CBDC designers learn from asking potential users? Results from a survey of Austrian residents. OENB Working Paper 241. Vienna: Österreichische Nationalbank
go back to reference Adrian T, Mancini Griffoli T (2019) The rise of digital money. FinTech Notes No. 19/001. International Monetary Fund, Washington Adrian T, Mancini Griffoli T (2019) The rise of digital money. FinTech Notes No. 19/001. International Monetary Fund, Washington
go back to reference Aghion P, Algan Y, Cahuc P, Shleifer A (2010) Regulation and distrust. Quart J Econ 125(3):1015–1049CrossRef Aghion P, Algan Y, Cahuc P, Shleifer A (2010) Regulation and distrust. Quart J Econ 125(3):1015–1049CrossRef
go back to reference Allen S, Čapkun S, Eyal I, Fanti G, Ford BA, Grimmelmann J, Juels A, Kostiainen K, Meiklejohn S, Miller A, Prasad E, Wüst K, Zhang F (2020) Design choices for Central Bank Digital Currency: policy and technical considerations, NBER Working Papers, no. 27634, Washington: NBER Allen S, Čapkun S, Eyal I, Fanti G, Ford BA, Grimmelmann J, Juels A, Kostiainen K, Meiklejohn S, Miller A, Prasad E, Wüst K, Zhang F (2020) Design choices for Central Bank Digital Currency: policy and technical considerations, NBER Working Papers, no. 27634, Washington: NBER
go back to reference Ampudia M, Palligkinis S (2018) Trust and the household-bank relationship. ECB Working Paper 2184. ECB, Frankfurt am Main Ampudia M, Palligkinis S (2018) Trust and the household-bank relationship. ECB Working Paper 2184. ECB, Frankfurt am Main
go back to reference Andolfatto D (2021) Assessing the impact of central bank digital currencies on private banks. Econ J 131(634):525–540CrossRef Andolfatto D (2021) Assessing the impact of central bank digital currencies on private banks. Econ J 131(634):525–540CrossRef
go back to reference Arango-Arango C, Bouhdaoui Y, Bounie D, Eschelbach M, Hernandez L (2018) Cash remains top-of-wallet! International evidence from payment diaries. Econ Model 62:38–48CrossRef Arango-Arango C, Bouhdaoui Y, Bounie D, Eschelbach M, Hernandez L (2018) Cash remains top-of-wallet! International evidence from payment diaries. Econ Model 62:38–48CrossRef
go back to reference Arauz A, Garratt R, Ramos F. DF (2021) Dinero Electrónico: the rise and fall of Ecuador’s central bank digital currency. Latin Am J Cent Bank 2(2):100030CrossRef Arauz A, Garratt R, Ramos F. DF (2021) Dinero Electrónico: the rise and fall of Ecuador’s central bank digital currency. Latin Am J Cent Bank 2(2):100030CrossRef
go back to reference Bagnall J, Bounie D, Huynh KP, Kosse A, Schmidt T, Schuh S, Stix H (2016) Consumer cash usage: a cross-country comparison with payment diary survey data. Int J Cent Bank 12(4):1–61 Bagnall J, Bounie D, Huynh KP, Kosse A, Schmidt T, Schuh S, Stix H (2016) Consumer cash usage: a cross-country comparison with payment diary survey data. Int J Cent Bank 12(4):1–61
go back to reference Balloch A, Nicolae A, Philip D (2015) Stock market literacy, trust, and participation. Rev Finance 19:1925–1963CrossRef Balloch A, Nicolae A, Philip D (2015) Stock market literacy, trust, and participation. Rev Finance 19:1925–1963CrossRef
go back to reference Balvers RJ, McDonald B (2021) Designing a global digital currency. J Int Money Financ 111:102317CrossRef Balvers RJ, McDonald B (2021) Designing a global digital currency. J Int Money Financ 111:102317CrossRef
go back to reference Bank of Canada, ECB, Bank of Japan, Sveriges Riksbank, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and BIS (2020) Central bank digital currencies: foundational principles and core features. Report no 1 Bank of Canada, ECB, Bank of Japan, Sveriges Riksbank, Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and BIS (2020) Central bank digital currencies: foundational principles and core features. Report no 1
go back to reference Bank of England (2020) Central Bank Digital Currency: opportunities, challenges and design. Discussion paper. Bank of England, London Bank of England (2020) Central Bank Digital Currency: opportunities, challenges and design. Discussion paper. Bank of England, London
go back to reference Bijlsma M, Jonker N, van der Cruijsen C (2023) Consumer willingness to share payments data: trust for sale? Journal of Financial Services Research 64:41–80 Bijlsma M, Jonker N, van der Cruijsen C (2023) Consumer willingness to share payments data: trust for sale? Journal of Financial Services Research 64:41–80
go back to reference Bolt W, Jonker N, van Renselaar C (2010) Incentives at the counter: an empirical analysis of surcharging card payments and payment behaviour in the Netherlands. J Bank Finance 34:1738–1744 Bolt W, Jonker N, van Renselaar C (2010) Incentives at the counter: an empirical analysis of surcharging card payments and payment behaviour in the Netherlands. J Bank Finance 34:1738–1744
go back to reference Brunnermeier MK, Niepelt D (2019) On the equivalence of public and private money. J Monet Econ 106:27–41 Brunnermeier MK, Niepelt D (2019) On the equivalence of public and private money. J Monet Econ 106:27–41
go back to reference Chakravarty S, Feinberg R, Rhee EY (2004) Relationships and individuals’ bank switching behavior. J Econ Psychol 25(4):507–527CrossRef Chakravarty S, Feinberg R, Rhee EY (2004) Relationships and individuals’ bank switching behavior. J Econ Psychol 25(4):507–527CrossRef
go back to reference Chiu J, Davoodalhosseini M, Jiang J, Zhu Y (2022) Bank market power and central bank digital currency: theory and quantitative assessment. J Polit Econ 131(5):1213–1248 Chiu J, Davoodalhosseini M, Jiang J, Zhu Y (2022) Bank market power and central bank digital currency: theory and quantitative assessment. J Polit Econ 131(5):1213–1248
go back to reference ECB (2020) Report on a digital euro. ECB report. ECB, Frankfurt am Main ECB (2020) Report on a digital euro. ECB report. ECB, Frankfurt am Main
go back to reference ECB (2021) Eurosystem report on the public consultation on a digital euro. ECB report. ECB, Frankfurt am Main ECB (2021) Eurosystem report on the public consultation on a digital euro. ECB report. ECB, Frankfurt am Main
go back to reference European Commission (2006) Interim report II. Current accounts and related services. Sector inquiry under article 17 regulation 1/2003 on retail banking. European Commission, Brussels European Commission (2006) Interim report II. Current accounts and related services. Sector inquiry under article 17 regulation 1/2003 on retail banking. European Commission, Brussels
go back to reference Fernández-Villaverde J, Sanches D, Schilling L, Uhlig H (2021) Central bank digital currency: central banking for all? Rev Econ Dyn 41:225–242CrossRef Fernández-Villaverde J, Sanches D, Schilling L, Uhlig H (2021) Central bank digital currency: central banking for all? Rev Econ Dyn 41:225–242CrossRef
go back to reference Garratt R, van Oordt M (2021) Privacy as a public good: a case for electronic cash. J Polit Econ 129(7):2157–2180CrossRef Garratt R, van Oordt M (2021) Privacy as a public good: a case for electronic cash. J Polit Econ 129(7):2157–2180CrossRef
go back to reference Gerritsen D, Bikker J (2020) Bank switching and interest rates: examining annual transfers between savings accounts. J Financ Serv Res 57:29–49CrossRef Gerritsen D, Bikker J (2020) Bank switching and interest rates: examining annual transfers between savings accounts. J Financ Serv Res 57:29–49CrossRef
go back to reference Gronwald M (2019) Is Bitcoin a commodity? On price jumps, demand shocks, and certainty of supply. J Int Money Financ 97:86–92CrossRef Gronwald M (2019) Is Bitcoin a commodity? On price jumps, demand shocks, and certainty of supply. J Int Money Financ 97:86–92CrossRef
go back to reference Hauff JC (2019) Reasons to switch: empowered vs less powerful bank customers. Int J Bank Market 37(6):1441–1461CrossRef Hauff JC (2019) Reasons to switch: empowered vs less powerful bank customers. Int J Bank Market 37(6):1441–1461CrossRef
go back to reference Henry CS, Huynh KP, Nichols G, Nicholson MW (2019) 2018 Bitcoin Omnibus Survey: awareness and usage. Staff Discussion Paper 2019–10. Bank of Canada, Ottawa Henry CS, Huynh KP, Nichols G, Nicholson MW (2019) 2018 Bitcoin Omnibus Survey: awareness and usage. Staff Discussion Paper 2019–10. Bank of Canada, Ottawa
go back to reference Hernandez L, Jonker N, Kosse A (2017) Cash versus debit card: the role of budget control. J Consum Aff 51(1):91–112CrossRef Hernandez L, Jonker N, Kosse A (2017) Cash versus debit card: the role of budget control. J Consum Aff 51(1):91–112CrossRef
go back to reference Jiang D, Lim SS (2018) Trust and household debt. Rev Finance 22(2):783–812 Jiang D, Lim SS (2018) Trust and household debt. Rev Finance 22(2):783–812
go back to reference Jonker N (2007) Payment instruments as perceived by consumers: results from a household survey. De Economist 155(3):271–303CrossRef Jonker N (2007) Payment instruments as perceived by consumers: results from a household survey. De Economist 155(3):271–303CrossRef
go back to reference Jonker N, van der Cruijsen C, Bijlsma M, Bolt W (2022) Pandemic payment patterns. J Bank Finance 143:106593CrossRef Jonker N, van der Cruijsen C, Bijlsma M, Bolt W (2022) Pandemic payment patterns. J Bank Finance 143:106593CrossRef
go back to reference Keister T, Sanches D (2022) Should central banks issue digital currency? Rev Econ Stud 90(1):404–431 Keister T, Sanches D (2022) Should central banks issue digital currency? Rev Econ Stud 90(1):404–431
go back to reference Kiff J, Alwazir J, Davidovic S, Farias A, Khan A, Khiaonarong T, Malaika M, Monroe HK, Sugimoto N, Tourpe H, Zhou P (2020) A survey of research on retail Central Bank Digital Currency. IMF Working Paper No. 20/104. IMF, Washington Kiff J, Alwazir J, Davidovic S, Farias A, Khan A, Khiaonarong T, Malaika M, Monroe HK, Sugimoto N, Tourpe H, Zhou P (2020) A survey of research on retail Central Bank Digital Currency. IMF Working Paper No. 20/104. IMF, Washington
go back to reference Kosse A, Mattei I (2023) Making headway – Results of the 2022 BIS survey on central bank digital currencies and crypto. BIS Papers No. 136. BIS, Basel Kosse A, Mattei I (2023) Making headway – Results of the 2022 BIS survey on central bank digital currencies and crypto. BIS Papers No. 136. BIS, Basel
go back to reference Li J (2023) Predicting the demand for central bank digital currency: a structural analysis with survey data. J Monet Econ 134:73–85 Li J (2023) Predicting the demand for central bank digital currency: a structural analysis with survey data. J Monet Econ 134:73–85
go back to reference Lusardi A, Mitchell OS (2014) The economic importance of financial literacy: theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature 52(1):5–44CrossRef Lusardi A, Mitchell OS (2014) The economic importance of financial literacy: theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Literature 52(1):5–44CrossRef
go back to reference Marchiori L (2021) Monetary theory reversed: virtual currency issuance and the inflation tax. J Int Money Financ 117:102441CrossRef Marchiori L (2021) Monetary theory reversed: virtual currency issuance and the inflation tax. J Int Money Financ 117:102441CrossRef
go back to reference Martenson R (1985) Consumer choice criteria in retail bank selection. Int J Bank Mark 3(2):64–75CrossRef Martenson R (1985) Consumer choice criteria in retail bank selection. Int J Bank Mark 3(2):64–75CrossRef
go back to reference Oliveira T, Thomas M, Baptista G, Campos F (2016) Mobile payment: understanding the determinants of customer adoption and intention to recommend the technology. Comput Hum Behav 61:404–414CrossRef Oliveira T, Thomas M, Baptista G, Campos F (2016) Mobile payment: understanding the determinants of customer adoption and intention to recommend the technology. Comput Hum Behav 61:404–414CrossRef
go back to reference Paulhus DL (1991) Measurement and control of response bias. In: Robinson JP, Shaver P, Wrightsman LS (eds) Measures of Personality and social psychological attitudes. Academic Press, San Diego, pp 17–59CrossRef Paulhus DL (1991) Measurement and control of response bias. In: Robinson JP, Shaver P, Wrightsman LS (eds) Measures of Personality and social psychological attitudes. Academic Press, San Diego, pp 17–59CrossRef
go back to reference Schuh S, Stavins J (2010) Why are (some) consumers (finally) writing fewer checks? The role of payment characteristics. J Bank Finance 34(8):1745–1758CrossRef Schuh S, Stavins J (2010) Why are (some) consumers (finally) writing fewer checks? The role of payment characteristics. J Bank Finance 34(8):1745–1758CrossRef
go back to reference Simon J, Smith K, West T (2010) Price incentives and consumer payment behaviour. J Bank Finance 34:1759–1772CrossRef Simon J, Smith K, West T (2010) Price incentives and consumer payment behaviour. J Bank Finance 34:1759–1772CrossRef
go back to reference Stavins J (2018) Consumer preferences for payment methods: role of discounts and surcharges. J Bank Finance 94:35–53CrossRef Stavins J (2018) Consumer preferences for payment methods: role of discounts and surcharges. J Bank Finance 94:35–53CrossRef
go back to reference Sveriges Riksbank (2020) Second special issue on the e-krona. Sveriges Riksbank Economic Review. Sveriges Riksbank, Stockholm Sveriges Riksbank (2020) Second special issue on the e-krona. Sveriges Riksbank Economic Review. Sveriges Riksbank, Stockholm
go back to reference Teppa F, Vis C (2012) The CentERpanel and the DNB Household Survey: methodological aspects. DNB Occasional Study 10(4). DNB, Amsterdam Teppa F, Vis C (2012) The CentERpanel and the DNB Household Survey: methodological aspects. DNB Occasional Study 10(4). DNB, Amsterdam
go back to reference Van der Cruijsen C, Diepstraten M (2017) Banking products: you can take them with you, so why don’t you? J Financ Serv Res 52(1–2):123–154CrossRef Van der Cruijsen C, Diepstraten M (2017) Banking products: you can take them with you, so why don’t you? J Financ Serv Res 52(1–2):123–154CrossRef
go back to reference Van der Cruijsen C, Plooij M (2018) Drivers of payment patterns at the point of sale: stable or not? Contemp Econ Policy 36(2):363–380CrossRef Van der Cruijsen C, Plooij M (2018) Drivers of payment patterns at the point of sale: stable or not? Contemp Econ Policy 36(2):363–380CrossRef
go back to reference Van der Cruijsen C, de Haan J, Roerink R (2021) Financial knowledge and trust in financial institutions. J Consum Aff 55(2):680–714CrossRef Van der Cruijsen C, de Haan J, Roerink R (2021) Financial knowledge and trust in financial institutions. J Consum Aff 55(2):680–714CrossRef
go back to reference Van der Cruijsen C, de Haan J, Roerink R (2023) Trust in financial institutions: a survey. J Econ Surv 37(4):1214–1254CrossRef Van der Cruijsen C, de Haan J, Roerink R (2023) Trust in financial institutions: a survey. J Econ Surv 37(4):1214–1254CrossRef
go back to reference Van Rooij MCJ, Lusardi A, Alessie RJM (2012) Financial literacy, retirement planning and household wealth. Econ J 122(560):449–478CrossRef Van Rooij MCJ, Lusardi A, Alessie RJM (2012) Financial literacy, retirement planning and household wealth. Econ J 122(560):449–478CrossRef
go back to reference Wierts P, Boven H (2020) Central Bank Digital Currency - Objectives, preconditions and design choices. DNB Occasional Study No. 1(2020). DNB, Amsterdam Wierts P, Boven H (2020) Central Bank Digital Currency - Objectives, preconditions and design choices. DNB Occasional Study No. 1(2020). DNB, Amsterdam
Metadata
Title
What Triggers Consumer Adoption of Central Bank Digital Currency?
Authors
Michiel Bijlsma
Carin van der Cruijsen
Nicole Jonker
Jelmer Reijerink
Publication date
28-11-2023
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Journal of Financial Services Research / Issue 1/2024
Print ISSN: 0920-8550
Electronic ISSN: 1573-0735
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10693-023-00420-8