1 Introduction
2 Coal Mine Velenje
3 Methodology
3.1 Coal Seam Lithological Heterogeneity
3.2 Energy Analysis
3.2.1 Strain Energy
3.2.2 Gas Energy
3.2.3 Crushing Energy
3.2.4 Transportation Energy
3.2.5 Conditions for Rockbursts and Gas Outbursts
3.2.5.1 Strength Conditions
3.2.5.2 Energy Conditions
3.2.5.3 Bursting Tendency
4 Modelling Approach
4.1 Coupled Geomechanical and Gas Flow Modelling
Layer/lithotype | \(K\) | \(G\) | \(c\) | \(\phi\) | \({\sigma }_{t}\) | \({c}_{r}\) | \({\sigma }_{tr}\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clay | 1.10 | 0.24 | 1.90 | 30 | 0.92 | 0.63 | 0.52 |
Xylite | 0.90 | 0.19 | 3.25 | 30 | 1.80 | 0.52 | 1.02 |
Detrite | 0.90 | 0.19 | 2.10 | 23 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.52 |
Goaf | 0.77 | 0.17 | 0.63 | 30 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.52 |
Layer/lithotype | \({\varphi }_{m}\) | \({\varphi }_{c}\) | \({k}_{h}\) | \({k}_{v}\) | \({P}_{L({\mathrm{CH}}_{4})}\) | \({P}_{L({\mathrm{CO}}_{2})}\) | \({V}_{L({\mathrm{CH}}_{4})}\) | \({V}_{L({\mathrm{CO}}_{2})}\) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clay | 0.30 | 0.05 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | – | – | – | – |
Xylite | 0.30 | 0.03 | 2 × 10–17 | 1 × 10–17 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 15 | 25 |
Detrite | 0.90 | 0.10 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 25 | 50 |
Goaf | 0.01 | 0.30 | 3 × 10–14 | 3 × 10–14 | – | – | – | – |
4.2 Probabilistic Risk Assessment Framework
5 Parametric Analysis of the Effects of Lithological Heterogeneity
5.1 The Effect of Xylite Distribution
Xylite distribution | 30% | 60% | 90% | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Excavation step | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas |
1 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 |
2 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2479.59 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2468.83 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2485.69 |
3 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1631.07 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1643.82 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1633.05 |
4 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1062.64 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1085.26 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1087.06 |
5 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 941.73 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 1053.02 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 934.05 |
6 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1017.20 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1133.09 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 961.90 |
7 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1089.26 | 2.25 | 0.60 | 1119.62 | 2.25 | 0.60 | 922.04 |
8 | 2.50 | 0.45 | 986.94 | 2.50 | 0.55 | 960.56 | 2.50 | 0.53 | 889.81 |
9 | 2.50 | 0.45 | 961.07 | 2.50 | 0.68 | 824.27 | 2.55 | 0.53 | 800.69 |
10 | 2.50 | 0.45 | 929.59 | 2.50 | 0.58 | 792.22 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 768.46 |
11 | 2.70 | 0.28 | 967.84 | 2.70 | 0.26 | 820.22 | 2.25 | 0.54 | 688.23 |
12 | 2.65 | 0.24 | 976.91 | 2.65 | 0.40 | 731.24 | 2.65 | 0.25 | 625.60 |
13 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 999.24 | 2.65 | 0.23 | 613.46 | 2.65 | 0.25 | 537.89 |
14 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 929.25 | 2.00 | 0.58 | 579.97 | 1.85 | 0.85 | 383.67 |
15 | 2.70 | 0.22 | 851.78 | 2.65 | 0.23 | 377.97 | 2.25 | 0.70 | 285.83 |
16 | 2.10 | 0.45 | 830.29 | 2.65 | 0.23 | 554.33 | 1.85 | 0.60 | 427.07 |
17 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 766.99 | 2.35 | 0.60 | 567.10 | 1.85 | 0.60 | 450.27 |
18 | 2.80 | 0.21 | 712.75 | 2.70 | 0.25 | 688.71 | 1.85 | 0.70 | 584.48 |
19 | 1.75 | 0.70 | 838.90 | 1.95 | 0.55 | 866.97 | 2.75 | 0.21 | 747.32 |
20 | 2.70 | 0.44 | 978.61 | 2.45 | 0.50 | 874.39 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 870.49 |
21 | 2.80 | 0.28 | 1010.08 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 858.76 | 2.25 | 0.65 | 889.94 |
22 | 2.40 | 0.45 | 940.52 | 2.75 | 0.20 | 893.90 | 2.70 | 0.40 | 824.13 |
23 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 965.70 | 1.65 | 0.60 | 926.14 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 849.14 |
24 | 2.10 | 0.65 | 997.91 | 1.85 | 0.60 | 879.03 | 2.15 | 0.60 | 788.92 |
25 | 2.40 | 0.72 | 961.95 | 2.35 | 0.75 | 871.24 | 2.25 | 0.59 | 798.64 |
26 | 2.60 | 0.45 | 949.32 | 2.45 | 0.45 | 875.60 | 2.80 | 0.21 | 815.99 |
27 | 1.60 | 0.60 | 918.08 | 2.00 | 0.55 | 922.41 | 1.45 | 0.60 | 836.61 |
28 | 2.10 | 0.65 | 923.90 | 2.05 | 0.62 | 866.44 | 1.70 | 0.60 | 768.65 |
29 | 2.30 | 0.62 | 923.11 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 921.38 | 2.45 | 0.48 | 795.16 |
30 | 2.30 | 0.48 | 877.34 | 2.75 | 0.30 | 788.02 | 2.75 | 0.23 | 733.82 |
5.2 The role of Geomechanical Properties of Xylite
Case | Geomechanical properties | Reservoir properties | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(c\) | \(\phi\) | \({\sigma }_{t}\) | \({c}_{r}\) | \({\sigma }_{tr}\) | \({\varphi }_{m}\) | \({\varphi }_{c}\) | \({k}_{h}\) | \({k}_{v}\) | \({P}_{L({\mathrm{CH}}_{4})}\) | \({P}_{L({\mathrm{CO}}_{2})}\) | \({V}_{L({\mathrm{CH}}_{4})}\) | \({V}_{L\left({\mathrm{CO}}_{2}\right)}\) | |
1 | 5.20 | 25 | 2.72 | 0.86 | 1.60 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 2 × 10–17 | 1 × 10–17 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 15 | 25 |
2 | 7.25 | 28 | 4.02 | 1.21 | 2.36 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 2 × 10–17 | 1 × 10–17 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 15 | 25 |
Base | 3.25 | 30 | 1.80 | 0.52 | 1.02 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 2 × 10–17 | 1 × 10–17 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 15 | 25 |
Fixed values | |||||||||||||
Clay | 1.90 | 30 | 0.92 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | – | – | – | – |
Detrite | 2.10 | 23 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 25 | 50 |
Goaf | 0.63 | 30 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.01 | 0.30 | 3 × 10–14 | 3 × 10–14 | – | – | – | – |
Case | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xylite distribution | 30% | 60% | 30% | 60% | ||||||||
Excavation step | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas |
1 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 206.28 |
2 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2479.59 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2468.83 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2479.59 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2468.83 |
3 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1644.21 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 1646.45 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1642.30 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 1646.45 |
4 | 2.20 | 0.51 | 1064.84 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 1081.37 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 1107.77 | 2.20 | 0.70 | 1092.97 |
5 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 923.12 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 1069.96 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 949.18 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1069.41 |
6 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 980.16 | 2.20 | 0.56 | 1137.82 | 2.20 | 0.68 | 921.27 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 1151.16 |
7 | 2.25 | 0.58 | 1039.60 | 2.25 | 0.62 | 1107.44 | 2.25 | 0.62 | 1081.86 | 2.25 | 0.58 | 1197.63 |
8 | 2.45 | 0.50 | 975.99 | 2.50 | 0.48 | 925.71 | 2.45 | 0.52 | 1061.33 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 983.32 |
9 | 2.45 | 0.52 | 903.03 | 2.50 | 0.53 | 802.79 | 2.45 | 0.51 | 891.62 | 2.55 | 0.50 | 898.00 |
10 | 2.25 | 0.55 | 864.82 | 2.50 | 0.42 | 770.87 | 2.00 | 0.65 | 848.21 | 2.50 | 0.48 | 729.90 |
11 | 2.60 | 0.30 | 864.01 | 2.70 | 0.28 | 763.77 | 2.60 | 0.32 | 827.66 | 1.85 | 0.75 | 764.75 |
12 | 2.70 | 0.22 | 960.63 | 2.50 | 0.30 | 628.85 | 2.70 | 0.26 | 947.91 | 2.00 | 0.75 | 659.93 |
13 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 951.29 | 2.70 | 0.24 | 620.53 | 2.65 | 0.23 | 1041.41 | 2.20 | 0.40 | 568.18 |
14 | 2.00 | 0.63 | 898.68 | 2.40 | 0.55 | 452.33 | 2.25 | 0.56 | 921.48 | 2.65 | 0.28 | 567.63 |
15 | 2.70 | 0.25 | 824.53 | 1.60 | 0.55 | 253.17 | 2.75 | 0.23 | 888.32 | 2.70 | 0.28 | 211.73 |
16 | 2.35 | 0.40 | 659.88 | 2.15 | 0.65 | 290.78 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 763.06 | 1.95 | 0.65 | 144.54 |
17 | 2.75 | 0.19 | 655.20 | 1.75 | 0.64 | 397.02 | 2.70 | 0.27 | 677.82 | 2.10 | 0.62 | 133.02 |
18 | 1.50 | 0.48 | 665.10 | 1.60 | 0.65 | 582.31 | 1.55 | 0.45 | 639.52 | 2.30 | 0.43 | 464.81 |
19 | 2.45 | 0.53 | 728.31 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 810.24 | 2.25 | 0.65 | 610.08 | 2.65 | 0.23 | 705.43 |
20 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 936.01 | 2.10 | 0.55 | 829.91 | 2.20 | 0.48 | 920.11 | 1.65 | 0.52 | 1119.78 |
21 | 2.75 | 0.24 | 1072.14 | 2.75 | 0.33 | 894.39 | 2.75 | 0.20 | 1199.19 | 2.65 | 0.22 | 717.71 |
22 | 2.05 | 0.48 | 944.28 | 2.50 | 0.45 | 884.26 | 1.85 | 0.50 | 978.89 | 1.50 | 0.65 | 931.40 |
23 | 2.75 | 0.20 | 952.80 | 2.75 | 0.22 | 843.17 | 1.70 | 0.40 | 911.74 | 1.85 | 0.59 | 925.15 |
24 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 973.74 | 2.75 | 0.25 | 851.98 | 2.15 | 0.60 | 936.85 | 2.15 | 0.60 | 780.40 |
25 | 2.25 | 0.70 | 934.91 | 2.75 | 0.23 | 875.02 | 2.25 | 0.80 | 969.44 | 2.50 | 0.74 | 833.32 |
26 | 2.50 | 0.42 | 911.12 | 1.90 | 0.54 | 851.00 | 2.60 | 0.40 | 947.79 | 1.15 | 0.72 | 887.28 |
27 | 1.70 | 0.53 | 882.59 | 1.30 | 0.54 | 796.92 | 2.20 | 0.50 | 853.66 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 899.15 |
28 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 883.56 | 1.90 | 0.62 | 818.22 | 2.50 | 0.55 | 865.15 | 1.85 | 0.58 | 761.91 |
29 | 2.75 | 0.22 | 861.74 | 2.30 | 0.45 | 872.99 | 2.70 | 0.30 | 899.95 | 1.80 | 0.60 | 934.23 |
30 | 2.00 | 0.45 | 816.00 | 2.65 | 0.36 | 800.56 | 2.05 | 0.45 | 829.01 | 1.95 | 0.60 | 799.06 |
5.3 The Role of Gas Storage Capacity of Detrite
Case | Geomechanical properties | Reservoir properties | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
\(c\) | \(\phi\) | \({\sigma }_{t}\) | \({c}_{r}\) | \({\sigma }_{tr}\) | \({\varphi }_{m}\) | \({\varphi }_{c}\) | \({k}_{h}\) | \({k}_{v}\) | \({P}_{L({\mathrm{CH}}_{4})}\) | \({P}_{L({\mathrm{CO}}_{2})}\) | \({V}_{L({\mathrm{CH}}_{4})}\) | \({V}_{L\left({\mathrm{CO}}_{2}\right)}\) | |
1 | 2.10 | 23 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 15 | 50 |
2 | 2.10 | 23 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 15 | 50 |
Base | 2.10 | 23 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 25 | 50 |
Fixed values | |||||||||||||
Clay | 1.90 | 30 | 0.92 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 0.05 | 2 × 10–16 | 1 × 10–16 | – | – | – | – |
Xylite | 7.25 | 28 | 4.02 | 1.21 | 2.36 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 2 × 10–17 | 1 × 10–17 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 15 | 25 |
Goaf | 0.63 | 30 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.01 | 0.30 | 3 × 10–14 | 3 × 10–14 | – | – | – | – |
Case | 1 | 2 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Xylite distribution | 30% | 60% | 30% | 60% | ||||||||
Excavation step | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas | µ | σ | Gas |
1 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 357.09 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 357.15 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 478.40 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 478.42 |
2 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2949.28 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 2962.49 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 3138.05 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 3122.69 |
3 | 2.00 | 0.58 | 2205.16 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 2172.44 | 2.00 | 0.58 | 2545.21 | 2.20 | 0.58 | 2490.19 |
4 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 1561.38 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1552.49 | 2.10 | 0.50 | 1776.49 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 1772.63 |
5 | 2.20 | 0.54 | 1299.90 | 2.20 | 0.54 | 1449.84 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1444.53 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1610.66 |
6 | 2.20 | 0.65 | 1195.11 | 2.20 | 0.65 | 1483.99 | 2.20 | 0.61 | 1368.17 | 2.20 | 0.61 | 1682.85 |
7 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 1350.41 | 2.50 | 0.60 | 1500.75 | 2.50 | 0.55 | 1411.95 | 2.50 | 0.65 | 1691.86 |
8 | 2.50 | 0.48 | 1354.52 | 2.50 | 0.52 | 1297.18 | 2.50 | 0.50 | 1500.77 | 2.50 | 0.54 | 1455.15 |
9 | 2.45 | 0.51 | 1130.48 | 2.45 | 0.50 | 1141.85 | 2.25 | 0.55 | 1167.69 | 2.55 | 0.57 | 1297.16 |
10 | 2.35 | 0.60 | 1109.22 | 2.25 | 0.60 | 924.58 | 2.50 | 0.35 | 1211.39 | 2.25 | 0.75 | 968.99 |
11 | 2.40 | 0.40 | 1021.06 | 2.20 | 0.70 | 953.54 | 2.60 | 0.30 | 1178.39 | 2.50 | 0.46 | 1057.79 |
12 | 2.70 | 0.24 | 1155.77 | 2.60 | 0.43 | 853.00 | 2.70 | 0.24 | 1319.92 | 2.65 | 0.40 | 988.93 |
13 | 2.70 | 0.35 | 1472.66 | 2.50 | 0.28 | 718.74 | 2.70 | 0.25 | 1511.97 | 2.50 | 0.30 | 789.89 |
14 | 2.20 | 0.56 | 1179.11 | 2.50 | 0.32 | 678.96 | 2.50 | 0.45 | 1323.21 | 2.55 | 0.40 | 766.64 |
15 | 2.65 | 0.20 | 1110.09 | 2.65 | 0.24 | 265.75 | 2.65 | 0.21 | 1241.41 | 2.65 | 0.26 | 306.27 |
16 | 2.35 | 0.40 | 947.36 | 2.25 | 0.60 | 170.75 | 2.10 | 0.40 | 1052.19 | 2.25 | 0.58 | 171.38 |
17 | 2.70 | 0.21 | 918.05 | 1.85 | 0.60 | 163.31 | 2.70 | 0.32 | 950.45 | 1.90 | 0.58 | 169.21 |
18 | 1.50 | 0.85 | 816.78 | 1.95 | 0.50 | 582.60 | 1.35 | 0.55 | 908.61 | 1.70 | 0.60 | 595.98 |
19 | 2.25 | 0.66 | 762.34 | 1.85 | 0.50 | 877.15 | 2.05 | 0.68 | 920.63 | 2.35 | 0.40 | 969.29 |
20 | 2.05 | 0.65 | 1151.42 | 1.30 | 0.53 | 1422.64 | 2.25 | 0.60 | 1223.44 | 1.35 | 0.55 | 1558.61 |
21 | 2.75 | 0.19 | 1551.23 | 2.60 | 0.24 | 936.58 | 2.75 | 0.20 | 1670.80 | 2.65 | 0.36 | 1033.78 |
22 | 1.75 | 0.55 | 1220.28 | 2.15 | 0.45 | 1196.60 | 2.05 | 0.45 | 1375.46 | 2.25 | 0.42 | 1400.91 |
23 | 2.00 | 0.60 | 1173.79 | 1.70 | 0.60 | 1167.77 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1285.64 | 2.05 | 0.59 | 1263.52 |
24 | 2.25 | 0.60 | 1194.53 | 2.05 | 0.60 | 1035.53 | 1.95 | 0.62 | 1322.14 | 1.85 | 0.62 | 1135.73 |
25 | 2.00 | 0.55 | 1290.20 | 2.70 | 0.25 | 1074.48 | 2.20 | 0.65 | 1373.10 | 2.75 | 0.35 | 1187.37 |
26 | 2.65 | 0.40 | 1202.15 | 2.75 | 0.24 | 1132.53 | 2.75 | 0.25 | 1357.89 | 2.75 | 0.21 | 1240.44 |
27 | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1125.81 | 1.60 | 0.65 | 1116.20 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 1224.56 | 1.45 | 0.60 | 1247.46 |
28 | 2.35 | 0.65 | 1089.67 | 1.75 | 0.50 | 995.23 | 2.25 | 0.65 | 1194.98 | 1.95 | 0.50 | 1074.25 |
29 | 2.50 | 0.40 | 1135.65 | 1.50 | 0.60 | 1175.81 | 2.30 | 0.70 | 1256.79 | 1.55 | 0.60 | 1285.31 |
30 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1050.33 | 1.80 | 0.55 | 1057.29 | 2.30 | 0.40 | 1156.25 | 1.90 | 0.55 | 1195.50 |