Top

Published in:

2019 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

3. Post-Cold War Order in the Asia-Pacific: Equilibrium and Its Challenges

Author : T. J. Pempel

Published in: Japan and Asia’s Contested Order

Publisher: Springer Nature Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config

AI-assisted search

Off

Abstract

This chapter analyzes three broad pillars of the Asia-Pacific regional order during the Cold War and its immediate aftermath. The first pillar involves the long-term absence of state-to-state military conflicts since 1979. The second is the increase in intra-regional economic interdependence through the combination of expanded foreign direct investment, trade, and regional production networks. The third pillar relates to the expansion of formal government arrangements that institutionalize multilateral cooperation. For nearly four decades, these three have generated a positive spiral of cooperation, however wary, among the major regional powers. The current question is whether that positive interaction can continue, particularly as China’s regional influence increases and the administration of Donald Trump systematically reduces that of the US.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

previous chapter Conceptualizing the Economic-Security-Identity Nexus in East Asia’s Regional Order

next chapter To Dream an Impossible Dream: China’s Visions of Regional Order and the Implications for Japan

Goh, Evelyn. The Struggle for Order: Hegemony, Hierarchy, and Transition in Post-Cold War East Asia. Oxford University Press, 2013.

For example, Avery Goldstein, “First Things First: The Pressing Danger of Crisis Instability in U.S.-China Relations,” International Security, Vol. 37, No. 4 (Spring 2013), pp. 49–89; John J. Mearsheimer, “The gathering storm: China’s challenge to US power in Asia.” The Chinese Journal of International Politics 3.4 (2010): 381–396; Aaron L. Friedberg, “The future of US-China relations: Is conflict inevitable?.” International security 30.2 (2005): 7–45, Adam P., Liff, and G. John Ikenberry. “Racing toward tragedy? China’s rise, military competition in the Asia Pacific, and the security dilemma.” International Security 39.2 (2014): 52–91. inter alia.

David C. Kang, American Grand Strategy and East Asian Security in the Twenty-First Century. Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2017, Chapter 1.

For example, Stein Tonnesson, “The East Asia Peace: How did it Happen? How Deep is it?” Global Asia, 10, 4 Winter 2015, available at: https://www.globalasia.org/bbs/board.php?bo_table=articles&wr_id=9073

Christensen, Thomas J. Worse than a monolith: alliance politics and problems of coercive diplomacy in Asia. Princeton University Press, 2011.

On cooperative security order, see inter alia, Cohen, Richard, and Michael Mihalka. Cooperative security: new horizons for international order. Defense Technical Information Center, Occasional Paper, no. 3 April 2001, available at: http://www.dtic.mil/get-tr-doc/pdf?AD=ADA478928. Carter, Ashton B., William J. Perry, and John D. Steinbruner. A new concept of cooperative security. Brookings Institution Press, 2010; Acharya, Amitav. Constructing a security community in Southeast Asia: ASEAN and the problem of regional order. Routledge, 2014.

Pempel, T. J. Remapping East Asia: the construction of a region. Cornell University Press. 2005; Yeung, Henry Wai-chung. Strategic coupling: East Asian industrial transformation in the new global economy. Cornell University Press, 2016.

On this see Stein Tonnesson et al., “The East Asia Peace: How it came about and What Threats Lie Ahead,” special issue, Global Asia, 10, 4 (Winter, 2015), special issue.

Etel Solingen. “Pax Asiatica versus Bella Levantina: the foundations of war and peace in East Asia and the Middle East.” American Political Science Review 101.04 (2007): 757–780. See Steve. Chan, An Odd Thing Happened on the Way to Balancing: East Asian States’ Reactions to China’s Rise. International Security Review (2010) 12: 387–412; Timo Kivimaki, “East Asian Relative Peace—Does It Exist? What Is It?” The Pacific Review 23 (4) 2010: 503–526.

Thomas J. Christensen, Worse than a monolith: alliance politics and problems of coercive diplomacy in Asia. Princeton University Press, 2011.

For example, Mastanduno, Michael. “Incomplete hegemony: the United States and security order in Asia.” Asian security order: instrumental and normative features (2003): 141–170.

Kahler, Miles. “The Rise of Emerging Asia: Regional Peace and Global Security,” Working Paper WP 13-4 Peterson Institute, May 2013.

Much of this movement came from the demonstration effect of the phenomenal economic success of Japanese development efforts. And for countries in Southeast Asia, there was an additional impetus coming from the subsequent successes of South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore.

Solingen, “Pax Asiatica versus Bella Levantina” 760.

A considerable literature exists on this subject but one of the earliest and more influential analyses was Mitchell Bernard and John Ravenhill. “Beyond product cycles and flying geese: regionalization, hierarchy, and the industrialization of East Asia.” World Politics 47.02 (1995): 171–209. See also Yeung, Strategic Coupling.

Sven W. Arndt, and Henryk Kierzkowski, eds. Fragmentation: New production patterns in the world economy. Oxford, OUP 2001; Dennis Tachiki, “Between foreign direct investment and regionalism: the role of Japanese production networks.” Remapping East Asia: The construction of a region (2005): 149–169; Henry Wai-chung Yeung. “Regional development and the competitive dynamics of global production networks: an East Asian perspective.” Regional Studies 43.3 (2009): 325–351; Yeung, Strategic Coupling: East Asian Industrial Transformation in the New Global Economy. Ithaca, Cornell University Press, 2016.

Avery Goldstein and Edward Mansfield, eds. The nexus of economics, security, and international relations in East Asia. Stanford University Press, 2012. Also Goldstein and D. Mansfield. “When Fighting Ends.” Global Asia 6.2 (2011): 8–17; T.J. Pempel (ed.) Remapping East Asia: The Construction of a Region. (Ithaca, Cornell UP, 2005).

G. John Ikenberry, After victory: Institutions, strategic restraint, and the rebuilding of order after major wars. Princeton University Press, 2009.

Walter LaFeber. America, Russia and the Cold War 1945–2006. McGraw-Hill Humanities/Social Sciences/Languages, 2008, Chapter 3.

Charles Meier, “The Politics of Productivity,” in Peter J. Katzenstein (ed.) Between Power and Plenty: The Foreign Economic Policies of Advanced Industrial States. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1977. Pp. 23–49.

Pempel, T.J., 2010. Soft balancing, hedging, and institutional Darwinism: The economic-security nexus and East Asian regionalism. Journal of East Asian Studies, 10(02), pp. 209–238; Calder, Kent, and Min Ye. The Making of Northeast Asia. Stanford University Press, 2010; Aggarwal, Vinod K., and Min Gyo Koo. “Beyond network power? The dynamics of formal economic integration in Northeast Asia.” The Pacific Review 18.2 (2005): 189–216, inter alia. For an extensive data base of some 2800 regional bodies (not exclusively those focused on Asia) see Saadia Pekkanen, Asian Designs: Governance in the Contemporary World Order. Ithaca, Cornell University Press, 2017.

The East Asian Summit might be offered as a partial exception.

Pekkanen, “Introduction,” in Asian Designs, p. 3.

For example, see Alastair Iain Johnston. “Treating international institutions as social environments.” International Studies Quarterly 45.4 (2001): 487–515; Amitav Acharya. “Ideas, identity, and institution-building: From the ‘ASEAN way’ to the ‘Asia-Pacific way’?” The Pacific Review 10.3 (1997): 319–346.

T.J. Pempel, “The Race to Connect East Asia: An Unending Steeplechase,” Asian Economic Policy Review 1 (2006): 239–254; Pempel, “Soft Balancing, Hedging, and Institutional Darwinism: The Economic-Security Nexus and East Asian Regionalism,” Journal of East Asian Studies 10 (2010), 209–238; Andrew MacIntyre, T.J. Pempel and John Ravenhill, (eds.) Crisis as Catalyst: Asia’s Dynamic Political Economy (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2008), Aggarwal, Vinod K., and Min Gyo Koo, eds. 2008. Asia’s New Institutional Architecture: Evolving Structures for Managing Trade, Financial, and Security Relations. (Berlin: Springer-Verlag Aggarwal, 2006); Dent, C. M. 2003. “Networking the Region? The Emergence and Impact of Asia-Pacific Bilateral Trade Agreement Projects.” Pacific Review 16, 1: 1–28. Hamilton-Hart, Natasha. “Financial Cooperation and Domestic Political Economy in East Asia.” In Advancing East Asia Regionalism, ed. Melissa G. Curley and Nicholas Thomas, 116–136. New York: Routledge; 2008; Grimes, William W. 2006. “East Asian Financial Regionalism in Support of the Global Financial Architecture? The Political Economy of Regional Nesting.” Journal of East Asian Studies 6: 353–380; Grimes 2009. Currency and Contest in East Asia: The Great Power Politics of Financial Regionalism. Ithaca: Cornell University Press., inter alia.

Gregory T. Chin. “Remaking the architecture: the emerging powers, self-insuring and regional insulation.” International Affairs 86.3 (2010): 693–715.

Natasha Hamilton-Hart, “Banking Systems a Decade after the Crisis,” in MacIntyre et al. Crisis as Catalyst, p. 46.

T.J. Pempel and Keiichi Tsunekawa (eds.) Two Crises; Different Outcomes: East Asia and Global Finance. Ithaca, Cornell University Press, 2015.

Acharya, Amitav. Constructing a security community in Southeast Asia: ASEAN and the problem of regional order. Routledge, 2014.

Amitav Acharya. “Ideas, identity, and institution-building: From the ‘ASEAN way’ to the ‘Asia-Pacific way’?” The Pacific Review 10.3 (1997): 319–346.

Aggarwal, Vinod K., and Min Gyo Koo. “Beyond network power? The dynamics of formal economic integration in Northeast Asia”. The Pacific Review 18.2 (2005): 189–216.

Aggarwal, Vinod K., and Min Gyo Koo, (eds.) 2008. Asia’s new institutional architecture: Evolving structures for managing trade, financial, and security relations. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, 2006.

Arndt, Sven W. and Henryk Kierzkowski, eds. Fragmentation: New production patterns in the world economy. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2001.

Bernard, Mitchell and John Ravenhill. “Beyond product cycles and flying geese: Regionalization, hierarchy, and the industrialization of East Asia”. World Politics 47.02 (1995): 171–209.

Calder, Kent, and Min Ye. The Making of Northeast Asia. Stanford University Press, 2010.

Carter, Ashton B., William J. Perry, and John D. Steinbruner. A new concept of cooperative security. Brookings Institution Press, 2010.

Chan, Steve. “An odd thing happened on the way to balancing: East Asian States’ reactions to China’s rise”. International Security Review 12 (2010): 387–412.

Chin, Gregory T. “Remaking the architecture: The emerging powers, self-insuring and regional insulation”. International Affairs 86.3 (2010): 693–715.

Christensen, Thomas J. Worse than a monolith: Alliance politics and problems of coercive diplomacy in Asia. Princeton University Press, 2011.

Cohen, Richard, and Michael Mihalka. Cooperative security: New horizons for international order. Defense Technical Information Center, Occasional Paper, no. 3 April 2001, available at: http://www.dtic.mil/get-tr-doc/pdf?AD=ADA478928

Dent, C. M. “Networking the region? The emergence and impact of Asia-Pacific bilateral trade agreement projects”. Pacific Review 16.1 (2003): 1–28.

Friedberg, Aaron L. “The future of US-China relations: Is conflict inevitable?” International security 30.2 (2005): 7–45.

Goh, Evelyn. The struggle for order: Hegemony, hierarchy, and transition in Post-Cold War East Asia. Oxford University Press, 2013.

Goldstein, Avery, and Edward Mansfield. “When fighting ends”. Global Asia 6.2 (2011): 8–17.

Goldstein, Avery, and Edward Mansfield, (eds.) The nexus of economics, security, and international relations in East Asia. Stanford University Press, 2012.

Goldstein, Avery. “First things first: The pressing danger of crisis instability in U.S.-China relations”. International Security 37.4 (Spring 2013): 49–89.

Grimes, William W. “East Asian financial regionalism in support of the global financial architecture? The political economy of regional nesting”. Journal of East Asian Studies 6 (2006): 353–380.

Grimes, William W. Currency and contest in East Asia: The great power politics of financial regionalism. Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2009.

Hamilton-Hart, Natasha. “Financial cooperation and domestic political economy in East Asia”. In Melissa G. Curley and Nicholas Thomas (eds.) Advancing East Asia regionalism, 116–136. New York: Routledge, 2008.

Hamilton-Hart, Natasha. “Banking systems a decade after the crisis”. In MacIntyre et al. Crisis as catalyst.

Ikenberry, G. John. After victory: Institutions, strategic restraint, and the rebuilding of order after major wars. Princeton University Press, 2009.

Johnston, Alastair Iain. “Treating international institutions as social environments”. International Studies Quarterly 45.4 (2001): 487–515.

Kahler, Miles. “The rise of emerging Asia: Regional peace and global security”. Working Paper WP 13-4 Peterson Institute, May 2013.

Kang, David C. American grand strategy and East Asian security in the twenty-first century. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2017.

Kivimaki, Timo. “East Asian relative peace—Does it exist? What is it?” The Pacific Review 23.4 (2010): 503–526.

LaFeber, Walter. America, Russia and the Cold War 1945–2006. McGraw-Hill Humanities/Social Sciences/Languages, 2008.

Liff, Adam P., and G. John Ikenberry. “Racing toward tragedy?: China’s rise, military competition in the Asia pacific and the security dilemma”. International Security 39.2 (2014): 52–91.

Mastanduno, Michael. “Incomplete hegemony: The United States and security order in Asia”. Asian security order: Instrumental and normative features, 141–170, 2003.

MacIntyre, Andrew, T.J. Pempel, and John Ravenhill (eds.). Crisis as catalyst: Asia’s dynamic political economy. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2008.

Mearsheimer, John J. “The gathering storm: China’s challenge to US power in Asia”. The Chinese Journal of International Politics 3.4 (2010): 381–396.

Meier, Charles. “The politics of productivity”. In Peter J. Katzenstein (ed.) Between power and plenty: The foreign economic policies of advanced industrial states, 23–49. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press, 1977.

Pekkanen, Saadia. Asian designs: Governance in the contemporary world order. Ithaca, Cornell University Press, 2017.

Pempel, T. J. Remapping East Asia: The construction of a region. Cornell University Press, 2005.

Pempel, T.J. “The race to connect East Asia: An unending steeplechase”. Asian Economic Policy Review 1 (2006): 239–254.

Pempel, T.J., “Soft balancing, hedging, and institutional Darwinism: The economic-security nexus and East Asian regionalism”. Journal of East Asian Studies 10.02 (2010): 209–238.

Pempel, T.J., and Keiichi Tsunekawa (eds.) Two crises; Different outcomes: East Asia and global finance. Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2015.

Solingen, Etel. “Pax Asiatica versus Bella Levantina: The foundations of war and peace in East Asia and the Middle East”. American Political Science Review 101.04 (2007): 757–780.

Tachiki, Dennis. “Between foreign direct investment and regionalism: The role of Japanese production networks,” In Pempel (ed.) Remapping East Asia: The construction of a region, 149–169, 2005.

Tonnesson, Stein. “The East Asia peace: How did it happen? How deep is it?” Global Asia 10.4 (Winter 2015), available at: https://www.globalasia.org/bbs/board.php?bo_table=articles&wr_id=9073

Tonnesson, Stein, et al., “The East Asia peace: How it came about and what threats lie ahead”. special issue, Global Asia 10.4 (Winter, 2015).

Yeung, Henry Wai-chung “Regional development and the competitive dynamics of global production networks: An East Asian perspective”. Regional Studies 43.3 (2009): 325–351.

Yeung, Henry Wai-chung. Strategic coupling: East Asian industrial transformation in the new global economy. Cornell University Press, 2016.

Title: Post-Cold War Order in the Asia-Pacific: Equilibrium and Its Challenges
Author: T. J. Pempel
Publisher: Springer Nature Singapore
Book: Japan and Asia’s Contested Order
Print ISBN: 978-981-13-0255-8

Electronic ISBN: 978-981-13-0256-5

Copyright Year: 2019
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0256-5_3

Springer Professional

Abstract

Please log in to get access to your license.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Springer Professional "Technik"

Premium Partner