Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Education and Information Technologies 5/2019

05-03-2019

Prediction of academic achievements of vocational and technical high school (VTS) students in science courses through artificial neural networks (comparison of Turkey and Malaysia)

Authors: Ali Yağci, Mustafa Çevik

Published in: Education and Information Technologies | Issue 5/2019

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This study aims to predict the academic achievements of Turkish and Malaysian vocational and technical high school (VTS) students in science courses (physics, chemistry and biology) through artificial neural networks (ANN) and to put forth the measures to be taken against their failure. The study population consisted of 10th and 11th grade 922 VTS students in Turkey and 1050 VTS students in Malaysia. The study was conducted with the screening model, and a 34-item demographic questionnaire was developed for the collection of data Using the SPSS 24.0, the KR20 reliability coefficient of the questionnaire was found to be .90. The items in the questionnaire that were believed to affect academic achievement were accepted as independent variable/input, and the academic achievement averages of students in the previous year’s physics, chemistry and biology courses were considered as dependent variables/output. Using these parameters, a model was created and the academic achievements of the students were predicted with ANN using the Matlab R2016a program. At the end of the study, a successful academic achievement prediction system was developed with an average 98.0% sensitivity over 922 samples for Turkey and with a 95.7% sensitivity over 1050 samples for Malaysia, and the measures to be taken were determined in order the prevent failure of students.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Alomar, B. O. (2006). Personal and family paths to pupil achievement. Social Behavior and Personality, 34(8), 907–922.CrossRef Alomar, B. O. (2006). Personal and family paths to pupil achievement. Social Behavior and Personality, 34(8), 907–922.CrossRef
go back to reference Altun, S. A., & Çakan, M. (2008). Factors affecting student success on exams: The case of sucessful cities on LGS/OSS exams. Elementary Education Online, 7(1), 157–173. Altun, S. A., & Çakan, M. (2008). Factors affecting student success on exams: The case of sucessful cities on LGS/OSS exams. Elementary Education Online, 7(1), 157–173.
go back to reference Anıl, D. (2009). Factors effecting science achievement of science students in programme for international students’ achievement (PISA) in Turkey. Education and Science, 34(152), 87–100. Anıl, D. (2009). Factors effecting science achievement of science students in programme for international students’ achievement (PISA) in Turkey. Education and Science, 34(152), 87–100.
go back to reference Aryadoust, V., & Baghaei, P. (2016). Does EFL readers' lexical and grammatical knowledge predict their reading ability? Insights from a perceptron artificial neural network study. Educational Assessment, 21(2), 135–156.CrossRef Aryadoust, V., & Baghaei, P. (2016). Does EFL readers' lexical and grammatical knowledge predict their reading ability? Insights from a perceptron artificial neural network study. Educational Assessment, 21(2), 135–156.CrossRef
go back to reference Aycan, Z., & Balcı, H. (2001). Individual-and organizational-level predictors of training effectiveness in business organizations. Turkish Journal of Psychology, 16(48), 13–31. Aycan, Z., & Balcı, H. (2001). Individual-and organizational-level predictors of training effectiveness in business organizations. Turkish Journal of Psychology, 16(48), 13–31.
go back to reference Aydoğdu, İ. (2017). Estimation of student successes by artificial Neural Networks and comparison of efficacy of impact models by logistic regression analysis. (Unpublished master dissertation).,YüzüncüYıl University, Van, Turkey. Aydoğdu, İ. (2017). Estimation of student successes by artificial Neural Networks and comparison of efficacy of impact models by logistic regression analysis. (Unpublished master dissertation).,YüzüncüYıl University, Van, Turkey.
go back to reference Bahadır, E. (2013). Prediction of student teachers' academic success with logistic regression analysis and artificial neural networks methods. (Unpublished doctoral dissertation) Marmara University, İstanbul, Turkey. Bahadır, E. (2013). Prediction of student teachers' academic success with logistic regression analysis and artificial neural networks methods. (Unpublished doctoral dissertation) Marmara University, İstanbul, Turkey.
go back to reference Bahadır, E. (2016). Using neural network and logistic regression analys to predict prospective mathematics teachers’ academic success upon entering graduate education. Educatıonal Scıences: Theory & Practıce, 16(3), 643–964. Bahadır, E. (2016). Using neural network and logistic regression analys to predict prospective mathematics teachers’ academic success upon entering graduate education. Educatıonal Scıences: Theory & Practıce, 16(3), 643–964.
go back to reference Baş, N. (2006). Artificial neural networks approach and an application] (unpublished master dissertation. Mimar Sinan GüzelSanatlar University İstanbul, Turkey. Baş, N. (2006). Artificial neural networks approach and an application] (unpublished master dissertation. Mimar Sinan GüzelSanatlar University İstanbul, Turkey.
go back to reference Binici, H., & Arı, N. (2004). Seeking new perspectives in technical and vocational education. Gazi University Education Faculty Journal, 24(3), 383–396. Binici, H., & Arı, N. (2004). Seeking new perspectives in technical and vocational education. Gazi University Education Faculty Journal, 24(3), 383–396.
go back to reference Briggs, D. C., & Circi, R. (2017). Challenges to the use of artificial neural networks for diagnostic classifications with student test data. International Journal of Testing, 17(4), 302–321.CrossRef Briggs, D. C., & Circi, R. (2017). Challenges to the use of artificial neural networks for diagnostic classifications with student test data. International Journal of Testing, 17(4), 302–321.CrossRef
go back to reference Çavdur, F., Değirmen, S., & Küçük, M. K. (2018). A clustering and goal programming-based approach for homogeneous exam distribution in exam scheduling problems. Uludağ University Journal of the Faculty of Engineering, 23(1), 167–188.CrossRef Çavdur, F., Değirmen, S., & Küçük, M. K. (2018). A clustering and goal programming-based approach for homogeneous exam distribution in exam scheduling problems. Uludağ University Journal of the Faculty of Engineering, 23(1), 167–188.CrossRef
go back to reference Çevik, M. (2014). The evaluation of the Current Biology currucilum according to teachers’ and students’ opinions who are studying at vocational and technical high school and a new draft proposal: the example of photosynthesis subject. (Unpublished doctoral dissertation). Ankara, Turkey: Gazi University Institute of Educational Sciences. Çevik, M. (2014). The evaluation of the Current Biology currucilum according to teachers’ and students’ opinions who are studying at vocational and technical high school and a new draft proposal: the example of photosynthesis subject. (Unpublished doctoral dissertation). Ankara, Turkey: Gazi University Institute of Educational Sciences.
go back to reference Christman, E., & Badgett, J. (1999). A comparative analysis of the effects of computer-assisted instruction on student achievement in differing science and demographic areas. Journal of Computers in Mathematics and Science Teaching, 18, 135–143. Christman, E., & Badgett, J. (1999). A comparative analysis of the effects of computer-assisted instruction on student achievement in differing science and demographic areas. Journal of Computers in Mathematics and Science Teaching, 18, 135–143.
go back to reference Çiftçi, C., & Çağlar, A. (2014). The effect of socio-economic characteristics of parents on student achievement: Ispoverty destiny? International Journal of Human Sciences, 11(2), 155–175.CrossRef Çiftçi, C., & Çağlar, A. (2014). The effect of socio-economic characteristics of parents on student achievement: Ispoverty destiny? International Journal of Human Sciences, 11(2), 155–175.CrossRef
go back to reference Çırak, G., & Çokluk, Ö. (2013). The usage of artifical neural network and logistic regresssion methods in the classification of student achievement in higher education. Mediterranean Journal of Humanities, 3(2), 71–79.CrossRef Çırak, G., & Çokluk, Ö. (2013). The usage of artifical neural network and logistic regresssion methods in the classification of student achievement in higher education. Mediterranean Journal of Humanities, 3(2), 71–79.CrossRef
go back to reference Dee, T. S. (2007). Teachers and the gender gaps in student achievement. Journal of Human Resources, 42(3), 528–554.CrossRef Dee, T. S. (2007). Teachers and the gender gaps in student achievement. Journal of Human Resources, 42(3), 528–554.CrossRef
go back to reference Eker, G. (2007). The burnout level students of occupational high school. (Unpublished master dissertation). İstanbul, Turkey: Marmara University. Eker, G. (2007). The burnout level students of occupational high school. (Unpublished master dissertation). İstanbul, Turkey: Marmara University.
go back to reference Erbaş, K. C. (2005). Factors affecting scientific literacy of students in Turkey in programme for international student assessment (PISA). (Unpublished master dissertation). Ankara, Turkey: Middle East University. Erbaş, K. C. (2005). Factors affecting scientific literacy of students in Turkey in programme for international student assessment (PISA). (Unpublished master dissertation). Ankara, Turkey: Middle East University.
go back to reference Erdoğdu, M. Y. (2006). Relationships between creativity, teacher behaviours and academic success. Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(17), 95–106. Erdoğdu, M. Y. (2006). Relationships between creativity, teacher behaviours and academic success. Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(17), 95–106.
go back to reference Ereş, F., & BıçakKoçak, D. (2017). Increasing and hindering factors of student achievement in middle schools. ASOS Journal., 5(51), 32–45.CrossRef Ereş, F., & BıçakKoçak, D. (2017). Increasing and hindering factors of student achievement in middle schools. ASOS Journal., 5(51), 32–45.CrossRef
go back to reference Erol, N. (2010). The determining the educational needs of teachers in accordance with new curriculum in vocational high education. (Unpublished master dissertation). Ankara, Turkey: Gazi University. Erol, N. (2010). The determining the educational needs of teachers in accordance with new curriculum in vocational high education. (Unpublished master dissertation). Ankara, Turkey: Gazi University.
go back to reference Freedman, M. P. (1997). Relationship among laboratory instruction, attitude toward science, and achievement in science knowledge. Journal of Research in Science Teaching, 34(4), 343–357.CrossRef Freedman, M. P. (1997). Relationship among laboratory instruction, attitude toward science, and achievement in science knowledge. Journal of Research in Science Teaching, 34(4), 343–357.CrossRef
go back to reference Gorr, W. L., Nagin, D., & Szczypula, J. (1994). Comparative study of artificial neural network and statistical models for predicting student grade point averages. Interntional Journal of Forecasting, 10, 17–34.CrossRef Gorr, W. L., Nagin, D., & Szczypula, J. (1994). Comparative study of artificial neural network and statistical models for predicting student grade point averages. Interntional Journal of Forecasting, 10, 17–34.CrossRef
go back to reference Han, J. Pei, J., & Kamber, M. (2011). Data mining, Southeast Asia edition: concepts and techniques. Amsterdam: Elsevier. Han, J. Pei, J., & Kamber, M. (2011). Data mining, Southeast Asia edition: concepts and techniques. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
go back to reference Holmes, M., Latham, A., Crockett, K., & O'Shea, J. D. (2018). Near real-time comprehension classification with artificial neural networks: Decoding e-learner non-verbal behavior. IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 11(1), 5–12.CrossRef Holmes, M., Latham, A., Crockett, K., & O'Shea, J. D. (2018). Near real-time comprehension classification with artificial neural networks: Decoding e-learner non-verbal behavior. IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 11(1), 5–12.CrossRef
go back to reference Ibrahim, Z., & Rusli, D. (2007). Predicting students’ academic performance: comparıng artificial neural network, decision tree and linear regression. 21st Annual SAS Malaysia Forum, Shangri- La Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, September, 5. Ibrahim, Z., & Rusli, D. (2007). Predicting students’ academic performance: comparıng artificial neural network, decision tree and linear regression. 21st Annual SAS Malaysia Forum, Shangri- La Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, September, 5.
go back to reference Jackson, J. K., & Ash, G. (2012). Science achievement for all: Improving science performance and closing achievement gaps. Journal of Science Teacher Education, 23(7), 723–744.CrossRef Jackson, J. K., & Ash, G. (2012). Science achievement for all: Improving science performance and closing achievement gaps. Journal of Science Teacher Education, 23(7), 723–744.CrossRef
go back to reference Johnson, C. C., Kahle, J. B., & Fargo, J. D. (2007). A study of the effect of sustained, whole-school professional development on student achievement in science. Journal of Research in Science Teaching, 44(6), 775–786.CrossRef Johnson, C. C., Kahle, J. B., & Fargo, J. D. (2007). A study of the effect of sustained, whole-school professional development on student achievement in science. Journal of Research in Science Teaching, 44(6), 775–786.CrossRef
go back to reference Karasar, N. (2005). Scientific research method. Ankara: Nobel YayınDağıtım. Karasar, N. (2005). Scientific research method. Ankara: Nobel YayınDağıtım.
go back to reference Kaya, S., & Rice, D. C. (2010). Multilevel effects of student and classroom factors on elementary science achievement in five countries. International Journal of Science Education, 32(10), 1337–1363.CrossRef Kaya, S., & Rice, D. C. (2010). Multilevel effects of student and classroom factors on elementary science achievement in five countries. International Journal of Science Education, 32(10), 1337–1363.CrossRef
go back to reference Klem, A. M., & Connell, J. P. (2004). Relationships matter: Linking teacher support to student engagement and achievement. The Journal of School Health, 74(7), 262–273.CrossRef Klem, A. M., & Connell, J. P. (2004). Relationships matter: Linking teacher support to student engagement and achievement. The Journal of School Health, 74(7), 262–273.CrossRef
go back to reference Konstantopoulos, S. (2006). Trends of school effects on student achievement: Evidence. Teachers College Record, 108(12), 2550–2581.CrossRef Konstantopoulos, S. (2006). Trends of school effects on student achievement: Evidence. Teachers College Record, 108(12), 2550–2581.CrossRef
go back to reference Memduhoğlu, H. B., & Tanhan, F. (2013). Study of organisational factors scale’s validity and reliability affecting university students’ academic achievements. YüzüncüYıl University Journal Of Education Faculty, 10(1), 106–124. Memduhoğlu, H. B., & Tanhan, F. (2013). Study of organisational factors scale’s validity and reliability affecting university students’ academic achievements. YüzüncüYıl University Journal Of Education Faculty, 10(1), 106–124.
go back to reference MoNE, (2005). Mathematics and vocational mathematics curriculum. Ministry of National Education General Directorate of Apprenticeship and Non-formal Education, Ankara. MoNE, (2005). Mathematics and vocational mathematics curriculum. Ministry of National Education General Directorate of Apprenticeship and Non-formal Education, Ankara.
go back to reference Oladokun, V. O., Adebanjo, A. T., & Charles-Owaba, O. E. (2008). Predicting students’ academic performance using artificial neural network: A case study of an engineering course. The Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 9(1), 72–79. Oladokun, V. O., Adebanjo, A. T., & Charles-Owaba, O. E. (2008). Predicting students’ academic performance using artificial neural network: A case study of an engineering course. The Pacific Journal of Science and Technology, 9(1), 72–79.
go back to reference Ong, L. C., Chandran, V., Lim, Y. Y., Chen, A. H., & Poh, B. K. (2010). Factors associated with poor academic achievement among urban primary school children in Malaysia. Singapore Medical Journal, 51(3), 247–252. Ong, L. C., Chandran, V., Lim, Y. Y., Chen, A. H., & Poh, B. K. (2010). Factors associated with poor academic achievement among urban primary school children in Malaysia. Singapore Medical Journal, 51(3), 247–252.
go back to reference Özer, Y., & Anıl, D. (2011). Examining the factors affecting students' science and mathematics achievement with structural equation modeling. Hacettepe University Journal Of Education Faculty, 41, 313–324. Özer, Y., & Anıl, D. (2011). Examining the factors affecting students' science and mathematics achievement with structural equation modeling. Hacettepe University Journal Of Education Faculty, 41, 313–324.
go back to reference Öztemel, E. (2003). Artificial Neural Networks (First Edition). İstanbul: Papatya Publishing. Öztemel, E. (2003). Artificial Neural Networks (First Edition). İstanbul: Papatya Publishing.
go back to reference Sabancı, K. (2013). Determination of variable-level herbicide application parameters by artificial neural networks for weed control in sugar beet cultivation. Ph.D. Thesis, Selcuk University, Institute of Science and Technology, Konya. Sabancı, K. (2013). Determination of variable-level herbicide application parameters by artificial neural networks for weed control in sugar beet cultivation. Ph.D. Thesis, Selcuk University, Institute of Science and Technology, Konya.
go back to reference Şahin, İ., & Fındık, T. (2008). Vocational and technical education in Turkey: Current situation, problems and proposition solutions. TSA, 12(3), 65–86. Şahin, İ., & Fındık, T. (2008). Vocational and technical education in Turkey: Current situation, problems and proposition solutions. TSA, 12(3), 65–86.
go back to reference Saşmazer, G. A. (2006). Factors that affecting success of scientific literacy on students in Turkey that participate programme for international student assessment (PISA). (Unpublished master dissertation). Ankara: Hacettepe University. Saşmazer, G. A. (2006). Factors that affecting success of scientific literacy on students in Turkey that participate programme for international student assessment (PISA). (Unpublished master dissertation). Ankara: Hacettepe University.
go back to reference Subbanarasimha, P. N., Arinzeb, B., & Anandarajanb, M. (2000). The predictive accuracy of artificial neural networks and multiple regression in the case of skewed data. Exploration of some issues. Expert Systems with Applications, 19, 117–123.CrossRef Subbanarasimha, P. N., Arinzeb, B., & Anandarajanb, M. (2000). The predictive accuracy of artificial neural networks and multiple regression in the case of skewed data. Exploration of some issues. Expert Systems with Applications, 19, 117–123.CrossRef
go back to reference Taningco, M. T. V., & Pachon, H. P. (2008). Computer use, parental expectations, and latino academic achievement. USA: Tomas Rivera Policy Institute. Taningco, M. T. V., & Pachon, H. P. (2008). Computer use, parental expectations, and latino academic achievement. USA: Tomas Rivera Policy Institute.
go back to reference Tosun, Ö. (2007). Artificial neural networks decision tree comparison in classification analysis: An application on students success. (unpublished master dissertation). İstanbul, Turkey: İstanbul Technical University. Tosun, Ö. (2007). Artificial neural networks decision tree comparison in classification analysis: An application on students success. (unpublished master dissertation). İstanbul, Turkey: İstanbul Technical University.
go back to reference VeeraManickam, M. R. M., Mohanapriya, M., Pandey, B. K., Akhade, S., Kale, S. A., Patil, R., & Vigneshwar, M. (2018). Map-reduce framework based cluster architecture for academic student’s performance prediction using cumulative dragonfly based neural network. Cluster Computing, 1–17. VeeraManickam, M. R. M., Mohanapriya, M., Pandey, B. K., Akhade, S., Kale, S. A., Patil, R., & Vigneshwar, M. (2018). Map-reduce framework based cluster architecture for academic student’s performance prediction using cumulative dragonfly based neural network. Cluster Computing, 1–17.
go back to reference Yenice, N., Saydam, G., & Telli, S. (2013). Determining factors effecting on primary school students’ motivation towards science learning. Ahi Evran University Kırşehir Education Faculty Journal (KEFAD), 13(2), 231–247. Yenice, N., Saydam, G., & Telli, S. (2013). Determining factors effecting on primary school students’ motivation towards science learning. Ahi Evran University Kırşehir Education Faculty Journal (KEFAD), 13(2), 231–247.
go back to reference Yörük, S., Dikici, A., & Uysal, A. (2002). The informati on of community and vocational education in Turkey. Fırat University Journal of Social Science, 24(3), 229–312. Yörük, S., Dikici, A., & Uysal, A. (2002). The informati on of community and vocational education in Turkey. Fırat University Journal of Social Science, 24(3), 229–312.
go back to reference Yurtoğlu, H. (2005). Artificial neural networks and predictive modeling methodology: in Turkey for some macroeconomic variables. (Published master dissertation). Ankara: State Planning Organization. Yurtoğlu, H. (2005). Artificial neural networks and predictive modeling methodology: in Turkey for some macroeconomic variables. (Published master dissertation). Ankara: State Planning Organization.
Metadata
Title
Prediction of academic achievements of vocational and technical high school (VTS) students in science courses through artificial neural networks (comparison of Turkey and Malaysia)
Authors
Ali Yağci
Mustafa Çevik
Publication date
05-03-2019
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Education and Information Technologies / Issue 5/2019
Print ISSN: 1360-2357
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7608
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10639-019-09885-4

Other articles of this Issue 5/2019

Education and Information Technologies 5/2019 Go to the issue

Premium Partner