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Group Decision and Negotiation

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19-03-2015

The Evolution of Certainty in a Small Decision-Making Group by Consensus

Author: Alexandra Gheondea-Eladi

Published in: Group Decision and Negotiation | Issue 1/2016

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Abstract

We propose a dynamical systems model for approximating the certainty as a function of communication. Uncertainty is measured during a small group decision-making process, in which participants aim to reach consensus. Assuming that the communication is a one-dimensional continuum variable, both first- and second-order differential models of certainty are analyzed, and then, the general model is obtained by superposition. An experiment was organized, and the data have been used to test the model. A detailed discussion on the assumptions of this approach from the decision theory point of view is also included.

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Title: The Evolution of Certainty in a Small Decision-Making Group by Consensus
Author: Alexandra Gheondea-Eladi
Publication date: 19-03-2015
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Published in: Group Decision and Negotiation / Issue 1/2016
Print ISSN: 0926-2644
Electronic ISSN: 1572-9907
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10726-015-9436-8

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