Skip to main content

2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

5. A New Theory on Business Cycle and Economic Growth

verfasst von : Samuel Meng

Erschienen in: Patentism Replacing Capitalism

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Starting from an investigation into the nature of business cycles, Chapter 4 illustrates a new theory to explain business cycle and economic growth. This theory is subsequently derived rigorously by using economic models. The implications of the new theory are also discussed. The chapter ends with a demonstration of empirical evidence relevant to the new theory.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Fußnoten
1
It is arguable that consumption can include commodities purchased for future use or for others’ use (e.g. gift, donation or bequeathing). This type of consumption can be treated either as other people’s consumption if the commodity is used up, or as other people’s savings if the commodity is unused, which will be discussed next.
 
2
For simplicity, lending and borrowing are not considered in this paper. Lending and borrowing can delay the problems caused by consumption ceiling but cannot change the nature of the consumption ceiling because debts are required to be paid off eventually. Explicitly including lending and borrowing will not change the results, but will complicate the model.
 
3
For detail of Ramsey/Solow model, see Ramsey (1928), or more recent books on macroeconomics or mathematical economics such as Turkington (2007), Romer (2013).
 
4
A steady state can happen at any capital level, i.e. multiple steady states. In this case, we can obtain at each capital level a consumption level at which c′ = 0. The analysis for each steady state is similar. The assumption of an optimal steady state simplifies the analysis.
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Abel, A., Mankiw, N., Summers, L., & Zeckhauser, R. (1989). Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence. Review of Economic Studies, 56, 1–20. Abel, A., Mankiw, N., Summers, L., & Zeckhauser, R. (1989). Assessing Dynamic Efficiency: Theory and Evidence. Review of Economic Studies, 56, 1–20.
Zurück zum Zitat Acemoglu, D., Akcigit, U., Bloom, N., & Kerr, W. (2013). Innovation, Reallocation and Growth (NBER WP 18933). Acemoglu, D., Akcigit, U., Bloom, N., & Kerr, W. (2013). Innovation, Reallocation and Growth (NBER WP 18933).
Zurück zum Zitat Aftalion, A. (1913). Les crises périodiques de surproduction. Paris: Rivière. Aftalion, A. (1913). Les crises périodiques de surproduction. Paris: Rivière.
Zurück zum Zitat Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323–351. Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323–351.
Zurück zum Zitat Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1998). Endogenous Growth Theory. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1998). Endogenous Growth Theory. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Aitchison, J., & Brown, J. A. C. (1954). A Synthesis of Engel Curve Theory. Review of Economic Studies, 22(1), 35–46. Aitchison, J., & Brown, J. A. C. (1954). A Synthesis of Engel Curve Theory. Review of Economic Studies, 22(1), 35–46.
Zurück zum Zitat Akerlof, G., & Yellen, J. (1985). Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria? American Economic Review, 75(4), 708–720. Akerlof, G., & Yellen, J. (1985). Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria? American Economic Review, 75(4), 708–720.
Zurück zum Zitat Allen, R. (2012). Technology and the Great Divergence: Global Economic Development Since 1820. Explorations in Economic History, 49, 1–16. Allen, R. (2012). Technology and the Great Divergence: Global Economic Development Since 1820. Explorations in Economic History, 49, 1–16.
Zurück zum Zitat Aloy, M., & Gente, K. (2009). The Role of Demography in the Long Run Yen/USD Real Exchange Rate Appreciation. Journal of Macroeconomics, 31, 654–667. Aloy, M., & Gente, K. (2009). The Role of Demography in the Long Run Yen/USD Real Exchange Rate Appreciation. Journal of Macroeconomics, 31, 654–667.
Zurück zum Zitat Andersen, E. (2001). Satiation in an Evolutionary Model of Structural Economic Dynamics. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 11(1), 143–164. Andersen, E. (2001). Satiation in an Evolutionary Model of Structural Economic Dynamics. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 11(1), 143–164.
Zurück zum Zitat Aoki, M., & Yoshikawa, H. (2002). Demand Saturation-Creation and Economic Growth. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization, 48(2), 127–154. Aoki, M., & Yoshikawa, H. (2002). Demand Saturation-Creation and Economic Growth. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization, 48(2), 127–154.
Zurück zum Zitat Arner, D. (2009). The Global Credit Crisis of 2008: Causes and Consequences (AIIFL Working Paper No. 3). Arner, D. (2009). The Global Credit Crisis of 2008: Causes and Consequences (AIIFL Working Paper No. 3).
Zurück zum Zitat Baldwin, R. (2017). The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization. Cambridge: Belknap Press. Baldwin, R. (2017). The Great Convergence: Information Technology and the New Globalization. Cambridge: Belknap Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Banks, J., Blundell, R., & Lewbel, A. (1997). Quadratic Engel Curves and Consumer Demand. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(4), 527–539. Banks, J., Blundell, R., & Lewbel, A. (1997). Quadratic Engel Curves and Consumer Demand. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(4), 527–539.
Zurück zum Zitat Barro, R. (1987). Government Spending, Interest Rates, Prices, and Budget Deficit in the United Kingdom, 1701–1918. Journal of Monetary Economics, 20, 221–247. Barro, R. (1987). Government Spending, Interest Rates, Prices, and Budget Deficit in the United Kingdom, 1701–1918. Journal of Monetary Economics, 20, 221–247.
Zurück zum Zitat Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1992). Convergence. Journal of Political Economy, 100, 223–251. Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1992). Convergence. Journal of Political Economy, 100, 223–251.
Zurück zum Zitat Baumol, W. (1986). Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare: What the Long-Run Data Show. The American Economic Review, 76(5), 1072–1085. Baumol, W. (1986). Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare: What the Long-Run Data Show. The American Economic Review, 76(5), 1072–1085.
Zurück zum Zitat Bayoumi, T. (2001). The Morning After: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s. Journal of International Economics, 53, 241–259. Bayoumi, T. (2001). The Morning After: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s. Journal of International Economics, 53, 241–259.
Zurück zum Zitat Berrone, P. (2008). Current Global Financial Crisis: An Incentive Problem (IESE Occasional Paper, OP-158). Berrone, P. (2008). Current Global Financial Crisis: An Incentive Problem (IESE Occasional Paper, OP-158).
Zurück zum Zitat Bloom, D. E., Cannin, D., & Sevilla, J. (2002). Technological Diffusion, Conditional Convergence, and Economic Growth (NBER Working Paper No. 8713). Bloom, D. E., Cannin, D., & Sevilla, J. (2002). Technological Diffusion, Conditional Convergence, and Economic Growth (NBER Working Paper No. 8713).
Zurück zum Zitat Blundell-Wignall, A., Atkinson, P., & Lee, S. (2008). The Current Financial Crisis: Causes and Policy Issues. Financial Market Trends, Vol. 2008/2. Paris: OECD. Blundell-Wignall, A., Atkinson, P., & Lee, S. (2008). The Current Financial Crisis: Causes and Policy Issues. Financial Market Trends, Vol. 2008/2. Paris: OECD.
Zurück zum Zitat Cass, D. (1965). Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation. Review of Economic Studies, 32, 233–240. Cass, D. (1965). Optimum Growth in an Aggregative Model of Capital Accumulation. Review of Economic Studies, 32, 233–240.
Zurück zum Zitat Cassel, G. (1924 [1967]). The Theory of Social Economy. New York: Augustus M. Kelley. Cassel, G. (1924 [1967]). The Theory of Social Economy. New York: Augustus M. Kelley.
Zurück zum Zitat Chai, A., & Moneta, A. (2014). Escaping Satiation Dynamics: Some Evidence from British Household Data. Journal of Economics and Statistics, 234(2/3), 299–327. Chai, A., & Moneta, A. (2014). Escaping Satiation Dynamics: Some Evidence from British Household Data. Journal of Economics and Statistics, 234(2/3), 299–327.
Zurück zum Zitat Clark, J. M. (1917). Business Acceleration and the Law of Demand: A Technical Factor in Economic Cycles. Journal of Political Economy, 25, 217–235. Clark, J. M. (1917). Business Acceleration and the Law of Demand: A Technical Factor in Economic Cycles. Journal of Political Economy, 25, 217–235.
Zurück zum Zitat Commons, J. (1934). Institutional Economics. New York: Macmillan. Commons, J. (1934). Institutional Economics. New York: Macmillan.
Zurück zum Zitat Cox, G. W. (2017). Political Institutions, Economic Liberty, and the Great Divergence. The Journal of Economic History, 77(3), 724–755. Cox, G. W. (2017). Political Institutions, Economic Liberty, and the Great Divergence. The Journal of Economic History, 77(3), 724–755.
Zurück zum Zitat Crotty, J. (2008). Structural Causes of the Global Financial Crisis: A Critical Assessment of the ‘New Financial Architecture’ (University of Massachusetts Working Paper 2008–14). Crotty, J. (2008). Structural Causes of the Global Financial Crisis: A Critical Assessment of the ‘New Financial Architecture’ (University of Massachusetts Working Paper 2008–14).
Zurück zum Zitat Dash, M. (1999). Tulipomania: The Story of the World’s Most Coveted Flower and the Extraordinary Passions It Aroused. New York: Three Rivers Press. Dash, M. (1999). Tulipomania: The Story of the World’s Most Coveted Flower and the Extraordinary Passions It Aroused. New York: Three Rivers Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Davidson, P. (1984). Reviving Keynes’s Revolution. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 6(4), 561–575. Davidson, P. (1984). Reviving Keynes’s Revolution. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 6(4), 561–575.
Zurück zum Zitat Davidson, P. (1991). Is Probability Theory Relevant for Uncertainty? A Post Keynesian Perspective. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 5(1), 129–143. Davidson, P. (1991). Is Probability Theory Relevant for Uncertainty? A Post Keynesian Perspective. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 5(1), 129–143.
Zurück zum Zitat Dawson, J., & Larke, R. (2004). Japanese Retailing Through the 1990s: Retailer Performance in a Decade of Slow Growth. British Journal of Management, 15(1), 73–94. Dawson, J., & Larke, R. (2004). Japanese Retailing Through the 1990s: Retailer Performance in a Decade of Slow Growth. British Journal of Management, 15(1), 73–94.
Zurück zum Zitat Day, C. (2006). Paper Conspiracies and the End of All Good Order: Perceptions and Speculations in Early Capital Markets. Entrepreneurial Business Law Journal, 1(2): 286. Day, C. (2006). Paper Conspiracies and the End of All Good Order: Perceptions and Speculations in Early Capital Markets. Entrepreneurial Business Law Journal, 1(2): 286.
Zurück zum Zitat De Long, J. B. (1988). Productivity Growth, Convergence and Welfare: Comment. American Economic Review, 78(5), 1138–1154. De Long, J. B. (1988). Productivity Growth, Convergence and Welfare: Comment. American Economic Review, 78(5), 1138–1154.
Zurück zum Zitat De Pleijt, A., & Van Zanden, J. (2016). Accounting for the ‘Little Divergence’: What Drove Economic Growth in Pre-industrial Europe, 1300–1800? European Review of Economic History, 20, 387–409. De Pleijt, A., & Van Zanden, J. (2016). Accounting for the ‘Little Divergence’: What Drove Economic Growth in Pre-industrial Europe, 1300–1800? European Review of Economic History, 20, 387–409.
Zurück zum Zitat Dervis, K. (2012). World Economy Convergence, Interdependence, and Divergence. Finance and Development, 49(3), 10–14. Dervis, K. (2012). World Economy Convergence, Interdependence, and Divergence. Finance and Development, 49(3), 10–14.
Zurück zum Zitat Diamond, P. A. (1965). National Debt in a Neoclassical Growth Model. The American Economic Review, 55(5), 1126–1150. Diamond, P. A. (1965). National Debt in a Neoclassical Growth Model. The American Economic Review, 55(5), 1126–1150.
Zurück zum Zitat Dinopoulos, E., & Thompson, P. (1998). Schumpeterian Growth Without Scale Effects. Journal of Economic Growth, 3, 313–335. Dinopoulos, E., & Thompson, P. (1998). Schumpeterian Growth Without Scale Effects. Journal of Economic Growth, 3, 313–335.
Zurück zum Zitat Domar, Evsey. (1946). Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth, and Employment. Econometrica, 14(2), 137–147. Domar, Evsey. (1946). Capital Expansion, Rate of Growth, and Employment. Econometrica, 14(2), 137–147.
Zurück zum Zitat Eichengreen, B. (2007). The European Economy Since 1945: Coordinated Capitalism and Beyond. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Eichengreen, B. (2007). The European Economy Since 1945: Coordinated Capitalism and Beyond. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Engel, E. (1857). Die Produktions- und Consumtionsverhältnisse des Königreichs Sachsen, Zeitschrift des Statistischen Breaus des Kniglich Schischen Ministeriums des Innern 8 and 9. Engel, E. (1857). Die Produktions- und Consumtionsverhältnisse des Königreichs Sachsen, Zeitschrift des Statistischen Breaus des Kniglich Schischen Ministeriums des Innern 8 and 9.
Zurück zum Zitat Evans, P. (1996). Using Cross-Country Variances to Evaluate Growth Theories. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 20, 1027–1049. Evans, P. (1996). Using Cross-Country Variances to Evaluate Growth Theories. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 20, 1027–1049.
Zurück zum Zitat Fisher, I. (1930). The Theory of Interest. New York: Macmillan. Fisher, I. (1930). The Theory of Interest. New York: Macmillan.
Zurück zum Zitat Fisher, I. (1933). The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions. Econometrica, 1(4), 337–357. Fisher, I. (1933). The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions. Econometrica, 1(4), 337–357.
Zurück zum Zitat Fisk, E. (1962). Planning in a Primitive Economy: Special Problems of Papua New Guinea. Economic Record, 38, 462–478. Fisk, E. (1962). Planning in a Primitive Economy: Special Problems of Papua New Guinea. Economic Record, 38, 462–478.
Zurück zum Zitat Foellmi, R., & Zweimüller, J. (2006). Income Distribution and Demand-Induced Innovation. Review of Economic Studies, 63(2), 187–212. Foellmi, R., & Zweimüller, J. (2006). Income Distribution and Demand-Induced Innovation. Review of Economic Studies, 63(2), 187–212.
Zurück zum Zitat Frankel, M. (1962). The Production Function in Allocation and Growth: A Synthesis. American Economic Review, 52, 995–1022. Frankel, M. (1962). The Production Function in Allocation and Growth: A Synthesis. American Economic Review, 52, 995–1022.
Zurück zum Zitat Friedman, M. (1957). A Theory of the Consumption Function. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Friedman, M. (1957). A Theory of the Consumption Function. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Gallouj, F., & Weinstein, O. (1997). Innovation in Services. Research Policy, 26, 537–556. Gallouj, F., & Weinstein, O. (1997). Innovation in Services. Research Policy, 26, 537–556.
Zurück zum Zitat Garber, P. (1989). Tulipmania. Journal of Political Economy, 97(3), 535–560. Garber, P. (1989). Tulipmania. Journal of Political Economy, 97(3), 535–560.
Zurück zum Zitat Gorton, G., & Metrick, A. (2010). Regulating the Shadow Banking System. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 261–312. Gorton, G., & Metrick, A. (2010). Regulating the Shadow Banking System. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 261–312.
Zurück zum Zitat Griliches, Zvi. (1988). Productivity Puzzles and R&D: Another Nonexplanation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2(4), 9–21. Griliches, Zvi. (1988). Productivity Puzzles and R&D: Another Nonexplanation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2(4), 9–21.
Zurück zum Zitat Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Hamao, Y., Mei, J., & Xu, Y. (2007). Unique Symptoms of Japanese Stagnation: An Equity MarketPerspective. Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 39, 901–923. Hamao, Y., Mei, J., & Xu, Y. (2007). Unique Symptoms of Japanese Stagnation: An Equity MarketPerspective. Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 39, 901–923.
Zurück zum Zitat Harrod, R. F. (1936). The Trade Cycle. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Harrod, R. F. (1936). The Trade Cycle. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Harrod, Roy F. (1939). An Essay in Dynamic Theory. The Economic Journal, 49(193), 14–33. Harrod, Roy F. (1939). An Essay in Dynamic Theory. The Economic Journal, 49(193), 14–33.
Zurück zum Zitat Hayashi, F., & Prescott, E. (2002). The 1990s in Japan: A Lost Decade. Review of Economic Dynamics, 5, 206–235. Hayashi, F., & Prescott, E. (2002). The 1990s in Japan: A Lost Decade. Review of Economic Dynamics, 5, 206–235.
Zurück zum Zitat Hoppit, J. (2002). The Myths of the South Sea Bubble. Transactions of the RHS, 12, 141–165. Hoppit, J. (2002). The Myths of the South Sea Bubble. Transactions of the RHS, 12, 141–165.
Zurück zum Zitat Hoshi, T., & Kashyap, A. (2004). Japan’s Financial Crisis and Economic Stagnation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(1), 3–26. Hoshi, T., & Kashyap, A. (2004). Japan’s Financial Crisis and Economic Stagnation. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(1), 3–26.
Zurück zum Zitat Howe, H. (1975). Development of the Extended Linear Expenditure System from Simple Saving Assumptions. European Economic Review, 6, 305–310. Howe, H. (1975). Development of the Extended Linear Expenditure System from Simple Saving Assumptions. European Economic Review, 6, 305–310.
Zurück zum Zitat Howitt, P. (1999). Steady Endogenou Growth with Population and R&D Inputs Growing. Journal of Political Economy, 107, 715730. Howitt, P. (1999). Steady Endogenou Growth with Population and R&D Inputs Growing. Journal of Political Economy, 107, 715730.
Zurück zum Zitat Hutcheson, F. (1750). Reflections upon Laughter, and Remarks upon the Fable of the Bees. Glasgow: Printed by R. Urie for D. Baxter. Hutcheson, F. (1750). Reflections upon Laughter, and Remarks upon the Fable of the Bees. Glasgow: Printed by R. Urie for D. Baxter.
Zurück zum Zitat Hutchison, M., Ito, T., & Westermann, F. (2005). The Great Japanese Stagnation: Lessions for Industrial Countries (EPRU Working Paper Series 2005-13). Hutchison, M., Ito, T., & Westermann, F. (2005). The Great Japanese Stagnation: Lessions for Industrial Countries (EPRU Working Paper Series 2005-13).
Zurück zum Zitat Jickling, M. (2009). Causes of Financial Crisis (Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report for Congress No. 7-5700). Jickling, M. (2009). Causes of Financial Crisis (Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report for Congress No. 7-5700).
Zurück zum Zitat Jones, E. L. (1981). The European Miracle. Environment, Economies and Geopolitics in the History of Europe and Asia. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Jones, E. L. (1981). The European Miracle. Environment, Economies and Geopolitics in the History of Europe and Asia. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Jones, C. (1995). R&D-Based Models of Economic Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 103(4), 759–784. Jones, C. (1995). R&D-Based Models of Economic Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 103(4), 759–784.
Zurück zum Zitat Juglar, C. (1862). Des crises commerciales et de leur retour périodique en France, en Angleterre et aux Etats-Unis. Paris: Guillaumin et Cie, second edition 1889. Juglar, C. (1862). Des crises commerciales et de leur retour périodique en France, en Angleterre et aux Etats-Unis. Paris: Guillaumin et Cie, second edition 1889.
Zurück zum Zitat Kahn, R. F. (1931). The Relation of Home Investment to Unemployment. Economic Journal, 41(162), 173–198. Kahn, R. F. (1931). The Relation of Home Investment to Unemployment. Economic Journal, 41(162), 173–198.
Zurück zum Zitat Keely, L. (2002). Pursuing Problems in Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 7, 283–308. Keely, L. (2002). Pursuing Problems in Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 7, 283–308.
Zurück zum Zitat Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. London: MacMillan. Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. London: MacMillan.
Zurück zum Zitat Kimball, M. (1990). Precautionary Saving in the Small and in the Large. Econometrica, 58(1), 53–73. Kimball, M. (1990). Precautionary Saving in the Small and in the Large. Econometrica, 58(1), 53–73.
Zurück zum Zitat Kitchin, J. (1923). Cycles and Trends in Economic Factors. Review of Economics and Statistics, 5(1), 10–16. Kitchin, J. (1923). Cycles and Trends in Economic Factors. Review of Economics and Statistics, 5(1), 10–16.
Zurück zum Zitat Klette, J., & Kortum, S. (2004). Innovating Firms and Aggregate Innovation. Journal of Political Economy, 112(5), 986–1018. Klette, J., & Kortum, S. (2004). Innovating Firms and Aggregate Innovation. Journal of Political Economy, 112(5), 986–1018.
Zurück zum Zitat Kondratiev, N. D. (1922). The World Economy and Its Conjunctures During and After the War (in Russian). Moscow: International Kondratieff Foundation. Kondratiev, N. D. (1922). The World Economy and Its Conjunctures During and After the War (in Russian). Moscow: International Kondratieff Foundation.
Zurück zum Zitat Koo, R. (2009). The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics—Lessions from Japan’s Great Recession. New York: Wiley. Koo, R. (2009). The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics—Lessions from Japan’s Great Recession. New York: Wiley.
Zurück zum Zitat Koopmans, T. (1965). On the Concept of Optimal Economic Growth, in the Econometric Approach to Development Planning. Amsterdam: North Holland. Koopmans, T. (1965). On the Concept of Optimal Economic Growth, in the Econometric Approach to Development Planning. Amsterdam: North Holland.
Zurück zum Zitat Krugman, P. (1998). It’s Baaack: Japan’s Slumpand the Return of the Liquidity Trap. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 137–205. Krugman, P. (1998). It’s Baaack: Japan’s Slumpand the Return of the Liquidity Trap. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 137–205.
Zurück zum Zitat Krugman, P. (2009). The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008. New York: W. W. Norton. Krugman, P. (2009). The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008. New York: W. W. Norton.
Zurück zum Zitat Kuznets, S. (1930). Secular Movements in Production and Prices: Their Nature and Their Bearing upon Cyclical Fluctuations. Boston: Houghton Mifflin. Kuznets, S. (1930). Secular Movements in Production and Prices: Their Nature and Their Bearing upon Cyclical Fluctuations. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.
Zurück zum Zitat Kydland, F. E., & Prescott, E. C. (1982). Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations. Econometrica, 50(6), 1345–1370. Kydland, F. E., & Prescott, E. C. (1982). Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations. Econometrica, 50(6), 1345–1370.
Zurück zum Zitat Lancaster, K. (1966). Change and Innovation in the Technology of Consumption. American Economic Review, 56, 14–23. Lancaster, K. (1966). Change and Innovation in the Technology of Consumption. American Economic Review, 56, 14–23.
Zurück zum Zitat Lane, P. (2012). The European Sovereign Debt Crisis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 49–68. Lane, P. (2012). The European Sovereign Debt Crisis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3), 49–68.
Zurück zum Zitat Leland, H. (1968). Saving and Uncertainty: The Precautionary Demand for Saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 82(3), 465–473. Leland, H. (1968). Saving and Uncertainty: The Precautionary Demand for Saving. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 82(3), 465–473.
Zurück zum Zitat Lin, J., & Treichel, V. (2012). The Unexpected Global Financial Crisis—Researching Its Root Cause (Policy Research Working Paper WPS5937). The World Bank. Lin, J., & Treichel, V. (2012). The Unexpected Global Financial Crisis—Researching Its Root Cause (Policy Research Working Paper WPS5937). The World Bank.
Zurück zum Zitat Lluch, C. (1973). The Extended Linear Expenditure System. European Economic Review, 4, 21–32. Lluch, C. (1973). The Extended Linear Expenditure System. European Economic Review, 4, 21–32.
Zurück zum Zitat Long, J. B., & Plosser, C. (1983). Real Business Cycles. Journal of Political Economy, 91(1), 39–69. Long, J. B., & Plosser, C. (1983). Real Business Cycles. Journal of Political Economy, 91(1), 39–69.
Zurück zum Zitat Lucas, R. E. (1975, December). An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle. Journal of Political Economy, 83(6), 1113–1144. Lucas, R. E. (1975, December). An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle. Journal of Political Economy, 83(6), 1113–1144.
Zurück zum Zitat Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the Mechanics of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3–42. Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the Mechanics of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3–42.
Zurück zum Zitat Maddison, A. (2007). Contours of the World Economy, 1-2030 AD. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press. Maddison, A. (2007). Contours of the World Economy, 1-2030 AD. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Madsen, J., & Yan, E. (2013). The First Great Divergence and Evolution of Cross-Country Income Inequality During the Last Millennium: The Role of Institutions and Culture (Discussion Paper 14/13). Department of Economics, Monash University. Madsen, J., & Yan, E. (2013). The First Great Divergence and Evolution of Cross-Country Income Inequality During the Last Millennium: The Role of Institutions and Culture (Discussion Paper 14/13). Department of Economics, Monash University.
Zurück zum Zitat Malthus, T. (1836 [1964]). Principles of Political Economy, Considered with a View to Their Practical Application. New York: A. M. Kelley. Malthus, T. (1836 [1964]). Principles of Political Economy, Considered with a View to Their Practical Application. New York: A. M. Kelley.
Zurück zum Zitat Mandeville, B. (1723). The Fable of the Bees: Or, Private Vices, Public Benefits (2nd ed.). London: Printed for Edmund Parker. Mandeville, B. (1723). The Fable of the Bees: Or, Private Vices, Public Benefits (2nd ed.). London: Printed for Edmund Parker.
Zurück zum Zitat Mankiw, N. G. (1985, May). Small Menu Costs and Large Business Cycles: A Macroeconomic Model of Monopoly. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 100(2), 529–537. Mankiw, N. G. (1985, May). Small Menu Costs and Large Business Cycles: A Macroeconomic Model of Monopoly. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 100(2), 529–537.
Zurück zum Zitat Mankiw, N. G. (1989). Real Business Cycles: A New Keynesian Perspective. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(3), 79–90. Mankiw, N. G. (1989). Real Business Cycles: A New Keynesian Perspective. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(3), 79–90.
Zurück zum Zitat Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, 407–437. Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107, 407–437.
Zurück zum Zitat Marchand, A. (2016). The Power of an Installed Base to Combat Lifecycle Decline: The Case of Video Games. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 33(1), 140–154. Marchand, A. (2016). The Power of an Installed Base to Combat Lifecycle Decline: The Case of Video Games. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 33(1), 140–154.
Zurück zum Zitat McKinnon, R., & Ohno, K. (2001). The Foreign Exchange Origins of Japan’s Economic Slump and Low Interest Liquidity Trap. The World Economy, 24, 279–315. McKinnon, R., & Ohno, K. (2001). The Foreign Exchange Origins of Japan’s Economic Slump and Low Interest Liquidity Trap. The World Economy, 24, 279–315.
Zurück zum Zitat Menger, C. (1871). Grundsätze der Volkswirthschaftslehre. Wien: Wilhelm Braumüller. Menger, C. (1871). Grundsätze der Volkswirthschaftslehre. Wien: Wilhelm Braumüller.
Zurück zum Zitat Mensch, G. O. (1975). Stalemate in Technology. Innovations Overcome the Depression. Cambridge: Ballinger. Mensch, G. O. (1975). Stalemate in Technology. Innovations Overcome the Depression. Cambridge: Ballinger.
Zurück zum Zitat Mill, James. (1844). Elements of Political Economy (3rd ed.). London: Henry G. Bohn. Mill, James. (1844). Elements of Political Economy (3rd ed.). London: Henry G. Bohn.
Zurück zum Zitat Minsky, P. (1986). Stabilizing an Unstable Economy. New Haven: Yale University Press. Minsky, P. (1986). Stabilizing an Unstable Economy. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Minsky, P. (1992). The Financial Instability Hypothesis (Working Paper No. 74). Levy Economics Institute. Minsky, P. (1992). The Financial Instability Hypothesis (Working Paper No. 74). Levy Economics Institute.
Zurück zum Zitat Miyakoshi, T., & Tsukuda, Y. (2004). The Causes of the Long Stagnation in Japan. Applied Financial Economics, 14, 113–120. Miyakoshi, T., & Tsukuda, Y. (2004). The Causes of the Long Stagnation in Japan. Applied Financial Economics, 14, 113–120.
Zurück zum Zitat Modigliani, F. (1986). Life Cycle, Individual Thrift, and the Wealth of Nations. American Economic Review, 76, 297–313. Modigliani, F. (1986). Life Cycle, Individual Thrift, and the Wealth of Nations. American Economic Review, 76, 297–313.
Zurück zum Zitat Modigliani, F., & Brumberg, R. (1954). Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data. In K. Kurihara (Ed.), Post-Keynesian Economics. New Brunswick: Rutgers University Press. Modigliani, F., & Brumberg, R. (1954). Utility Analysis and the Consumption Function: An Interpretation of Cross-Section Data. In K. Kurihara (Ed.), Post-Keynesian Economics. New Brunswick: Rutgers University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Moneta, A., & Chai, A. (2014). The Evolution of Engel Curves and Its Implications for Structural Change Theory. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 38(4), 895–923. Moneta, A., & Chai, A. (2014). The Evolution of Engel Curves and Its Implications for Structural Change Theory. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 38(4), 895–923.
Zurück zum Zitat Murakami, H. (2017). Economic Growth with Demand Saturation and Endogenous Demand Reaction. Metroeconomics, 68, 966–985. Murakami, H. (2017). Economic Growth with Demand Saturation and Endogenous Demand Reaction. Metroeconomics, 68, 966–985.
Zurück zum Zitat Onaran, Y. (2011). Zombie Banks: How Broken Banks and Debtor Nations Are Crippling the Global Economy. Hoboken: Wiley. Onaran, Y. (2011). Zombie Banks: How Broken Banks and Debtor Nations Are Crippling the Global Economy. Hoboken: Wiley.
Zurück zum Zitat Orlowski, L. (2008). Stages of the 2007/2008 Global Financial Crisis: Is There a Wandering Asset-Price Bubble? (Economics-eJournal Discussion Paper No. 2008-43). Orlowski, L. (2008). Stages of the 2007/2008 Global Financial Crisis: Is There a Wandering Asset-Price Bubble? (Economics-eJournal Discussion Paper No. 2008-43).
Zurück zum Zitat Pasinetti, L. (1981). Structural Change and Economic Growth: A Theoretical Essay on the Dynamics of the Wealth of Nations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Pasinetti, L. (1981). Structural Change and Economic Growth: A Theoretical Essay on the Dynamics of the Wealth of Nations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Peretto, P. F. (1998). Technological Change and Population Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 3(4), 283–311. Peretto, P. F. (1998). Technological Change and Population Growth. Journal of Economic Growth, 3(4), 283–311.
Zurück zum Zitat Perez, C. (2009). The Double Bubble at the Turn of the Century: Technological Roots and Structural Implications. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33, 779–805. Perez, C. (2009). The Double Bubble at the Turn of the Century: Technological Roots and Structural Implications. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33, 779–805.
Zurück zum Zitat Plosser, C. I. (1989). Understanding Real Business Cycles. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(3), 51–77. Plosser, C. I. (1989). Understanding Real Business Cycles. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(3), 51–77.
Zurück zum Zitat Pomeranz, K. (2000). The Great Divergence: China, Europe and the. Making of the Modern World Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Pomeranz, K. (2000). The Great Divergence: China, Europe and the. Making of the Modern World Economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Prais, S. J. (1953). Non-linear Estimates of the Engel Curves. The Review of Economic Studies, 20(2), 87–104. Prais, S. J. (1953). Non-linear Estimates of the Engel Curves. The Review of Economic Studies, 20(2), 87–104.
Zurück zum Zitat Prescott, E. C. (1986). Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 25, 11–66. Prescott, E. C. (1986). Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 25, 11–66.
Zurück zum Zitat Ramsey, F. (1928). A Mathematical Theory of Saving. Economic Journal, 38, 543–559. Ramsey, F. (1928). A Mathematical Theory of Saving. Economic Journal, 38, 543–559.
Zurück zum Zitat Reichel, R. (2002). Germany’s Postwar Growth: Economic Miracle or Reconstruction Boom? Cato Journal, 21(3), 427–442. Reichel, R. (2002). Germany’s Postwar Growth: Economic Miracle or Reconstruction Boom? Cato Journal, 21(3), 427–442.
Zurück zum Zitat Ricardo, D. (1952). The Works and Correspondence of David Ricardo (Vol. 6). In P. Sraffa & M. Dobb (Eds.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Ricardo, D. (1952). The Works and Correspondence of David Ricardo (Vol. 6). In P. Sraffa & M. Dobb (Eds.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Romer, P. (1986). Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94, 1002–1037. Romer, P. (1986). Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94, 1002–1037.
Zurück zum Zitat Romer, P. (1990). Endogenous Technological Change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S71–S102. Romer, P. (1990). Endogenous Technological Change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S71–S102.
Zurück zum Zitat Romer, D. (1993). The New Keynesian Synthesis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(1), 5–22. Romer, D. (1993). The New Keynesian Synthesis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(1), 5–22.
Zurück zum Zitat Romer, D. (2013). Advance Macroeconomics (4th ed.). New York: The McGraw-Hill. Romer, D. (2013). Advance Macroeconomics (4th ed.). New York: The McGraw-Hill.
Zurück zum Zitat Ruprecht, W. (2005). The Historical Development of the Consumption of Sweeteners: A Learning Approach. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 15(3), 247–272. Ruprecht, W. (2005). The Historical Development of the Consumption of Sweeteners: A Learning Approach. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 15(3), 247–272.
Zurück zum Zitat Ruscakova, A., & Semancikova, J. (2016). The European Debt Crisis: A Brief Discussion of Its Causes and Possible Solutions. Procedia—Social and Behavioral Sciences, 220, 339–406. Ruscakova, A., & Semancikova, J. (2016). The European Debt Crisis: A Brief Discussion of Its Causes and Possible Solutions. Procedia—Social and Behavioral Sciences, 220, 339–406.
Zurück zum Zitat Saito, M. (2000). The Japanese Economy. Singapore: World Scientific. Saito, M. (2000). The Japanese Economy. Singapore: World Scientific.
Zurück zum Zitat Saviotti, P. (2001). Variety, Growth and Demand. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 11, 119–142. Saviotti, P. (2001). Variety, Growth and Demand. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 11, 119–142.
Zurück zum Zitat Saviotti, P., & Pyka, A. (2013). The Co-evolution of Innovation, Demand and Growth. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 22(5), 461–482. Saviotti, P., & Pyka, A. (2013). The Co-evolution of Innovation, Demand and Growth. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 22(5), 461–482.
Zurück zum Zitat Schmookler, J. (1966). Invention and Economic Growth. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Schmookler, J. (1966). Invention and Economic Growth. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Schumpeter, J. (1939). Business Cycles: A Theoretical, Historical, and Statistical Analysis of the Capitalist Process. New York and London: McGraw-Hill. Schumpeter, J. (1939). Business Cycles: A Theoretical, Historical, and Statistical Analysis of the Capitalist Process. New York and London: McGraw-Hill.
Zurück zum Zitat Schumpeter, J. A. (1942). Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. New York: Harper. Schumpeter, J. A. (1942). Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. New York: Harper.
Zurück zum Zitat Segerstrom, P. S., Anant, T. C. A., & Dinopoulos, E. (1990). A Schumperterian Model of the Product Life Cycle. American Economic Review, 80, 1077–1091. Segerstrom, P. S., Anant, T. C. A., & Dinopoulos, E. (1990). A Schumperterian Model of the Product Life Cycle. American Economic Review, 80, 1077–1091.
Zurück zum Zitat Smith, A. (1776 [1904]). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. In E. Cannan (Ed.). London: Methuen. Smith, A. (1776 [1904]). An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. In E. Cannan (Ed.). London: Methuen.
Zurück zum Zitat Solow, R. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. Solow, R. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94.
Zurück zum Zitat Stent, W., & Webb, L. (1975). Subsistence Affluence and Market Economy in Papua New Guinea. Economic Record, 51, 522–538. Stent, W., & Webb, L. (1975). Subsistence Affluence and Market Economy in Papua New Guinea. Economic Record, 51, 522–538.
Zurück zum Zitat Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? (Vol. 17). NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002. Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? (Vol. 17). NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2002.
Zurück zum Zitat Summers, L. H. (1986). Some Skeptical Observations on Real Business Cycle Theory. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10, 23–27. Summers, L. H. (1986). Some Skeptical Observations on Real Business Cycle Theory. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10, 23–27.
Zurück zum Zitat Tobin, J. (1969). A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory. Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 1(1), 15–29. Tobin, J. (1969). A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory. Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 1(1), 15–29.
Zurück zum Zitat Turkington, D. (2007). Mathematical Tools for Economics. Australia: Blackwell. Turkington, D. (2007). Mathematical Tools for Economics. Australia: Blackwell.
Zurück zum Zitat Tyers, R. (2012). Japanese Economic Stagnation: Causes and Global Implications. Economic Record, 88(283), 517–536. Tyers, R. (2012). Japanese Economic Stagnation: Causes and Global Implications. Economic Record, 88(283), 517–536.
Zurück zum Zitat Valdes, B. (2003). An Application of Convergence Theory to Japan’s Post-WWII Economic Miracle. Journal of Economic Education, 34(1), 61–81. Valdes, B. (2003). An Application of Convergence Theory to Japan’s Post-WWII Economic Miracle. Journal of Economic Education, 34(1), 61–81.
Zurück zum Zitat Vernon, R. (1966). International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(2), 190–207. Vernon, R. (1966). International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(2), 190–207.
Zurück zum Zitat Weil, P. (1993). Precautionary Savings and the Permanent Income Hypothesis. Review of Economic Studies, 60(2), 367–383. Weil, P. (1993). Precautionary Savings and the Permanent Income Hypothesis. Review of Economic Studies, 60(2), 367–383.
Zurück zum Zitat Witt, U. (2001a). Escaping Satiation: The Demand Side of Economic Growth. Berlin: Springer. Witt, U. (2001a). Escaping Satiation: The Demand Side of Economic Growth. Berlin: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Witt, U. (2001b). Learning to Consume—A Theory of Wants and the Growth of Demand. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 11(1), 23–36. Witt, U. (2001b). Learning to Consume—A Theory of Wants and the Growth of Demand. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 11(1), 23–36.
Zurück zum Zitat Working, H. (1943). Statistical Laws of Family Expenditure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 38, 43–56. Working, H. (1943). Statistical Laws of Family Expenditure. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 38, 43–56.
Metadaten
Titel
A New Theory on Business Cycle and Economic Growth
verfasst von
Samuel Meng
Copyright-Jahr
2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-12247-8_5

    Marktübersichten

    Die im Laufe eines Jahres in der „adhäsion“ veröffentlichten Marktübersichten helfen Anwendern verschiedenster Branchen, sich einen gezielten Überblick über Lieferantenangebote zu verschaffen.