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Erschienen in:
Context-Aware Decision Support in Dynamic Environments: Theoretical and Technological Foundations Kapitel lesen Erstes Kapitel lesen

2015 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

A Public Health Model for Simulating Policy Interventions to Reduce Nonmedical Opioid Use

verfasst von : Alexandra Nielsen, Wayne Wakeland, Amanuel Zimam

Erschienen in: Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Reports on the development of a system dynamics simulation model of initiation and nonmedical use of pharmaceutical opioids in the US. The study relies on historical trend data as well as expert panel recommendations that inform model parameters and structure. The model was used to assess simulated public health interventions for reducing initiation and nonmedical use of opioids. Results indicate that interventions which reduce the likelihood of informal sharing of leftover medicine could significantly reduce initiation and nonmedical use. Less effective are supply restrictions, such as drug take-back days, and interventions aimed at reducing the likelihood that nonusers would decide to initiate nonmedical use based on their interactions with nonmedical users. We conclude that system dynamics is an effective approach for evaluating potential interventions to this complex system where the use of pharmaceutical opioids to treat pain can lead to unintended distal outcomes in the public sphere.

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Vorheriges Kapitel Multi-objective Optimization by Using Modified PSO Algorithm for Axial Flow Pump Impeller
Nächstes Kapitel Supervisory Fuzzy Cognitive Map Structure for Triage Assessment and Decision Support in the Emergency Department
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Metadaten
Titel
A Public Health Model for Simulating Policy Interventions to Reduce Nonmedical Opioid Use
verfasst von
Alexandra Nielsen
Wayne Wakeland
Amanuel Zimam
Copyright-Jahr
2015
Buch
Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications

Print ISBN: 978-3-319-11456-9

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-319-11457-6

Copyright-Jahr: 2015

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-11457-6_17