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2020 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Aggregating Centrality Rankings: A Novel Approach to Detect Critical Infrastructure Vulnerabilities

verfasst von : Gabriele Oliva, Annunziata Esposito Amideo, Stefano Starita, Roberto Setola, Maria Paola Scaparra

Erschienen in: Critical Information Infrastructures Security

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Assessing critical infrastructure vulnerabilities is paramount to arrange efficient plans for their protection. Critical infrastructures are network-based systems hence, they are composed of nodes and edges. The literature shows that node criticality, which is the focus of this paper, can be addressed from different metric-based perspectives (e.g., degree, maximal flow, shortest path). However, each metric provides a specific insight while neglecting others. This paper attempts to overcome this pitfall through a methodology based on ranking aggregation. Specifically, we consider several numerical topological descriptors of the nodes’ importance (e.g., degree, betweenness, closeness, etc.) and we convert such descriptors into ratio matrices; then, we extend the Analytic Hierarchy Process problem to the case of multiple ratio matrices and we resort to a Logarithmic Least Squares formulation to identify an aggregated metric that represents a good tradeoff among the different topological descriptors. The procedure is validated considering the Central London Tube network as a case study.

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Fußnoten
1
Given two pairs of values \((a_i,b_i)\) and \((a_j,b_j)\), we say they are concordant if both \(a_i>a_j\) and \(b_i>b_j\) or if both \(a_i<a_j\) and \(b_i<b_j\); similarly the pairs are discordant if \(a_i>a_j\) and \(b_i<b_j\) or if \(a_i<a_j\) and \(b_i>b_j\). If \(a_i=a_j\) or \(b_i=b_j\) the pairs are neither concordant nor discordant. Given two vectors \(\mathbf{a}\in \mathbb {R}^n\) and \(\mathbf{b}\in \mathbb {R}^n\), the Kendall’s correlation index [23] \(\tau \) is defined as
$$ \tau =\dfrac{\mathcal {C} - \mathcal {P}}{n (n-1) /2}, $$
where \(\mathcal {C}\) and \(\mathcal {P}\) are the set of concordant and discordant pairs \((a_i,b_i)\) and \((a_j,b_j)\), respectively. When \(\mathbf{b}\) is a permutation of the components of \(\mathbf{a}\), the Kendall’s tau can be interpreted as a measure of the degree of shuffling of \(\mathbf{b}\) with respect to \(\mathbf{a}\), between minus one and one. In this sense \(\tau =1\) implies \(\mathbf{a}=\mathbf{b}\), while \(\tau =-1\) represents the fact \(\mathbf{b}\) is in reverse order with respect to \(\mathbf{a}\). The closer is \(\tau \) to (minus) one, therefore, the more the two rankings are (anti-) correlated, while the closer is \(\tau \) to zero the more the two rankings are independent.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Aggregating Centrality Rankings: A Novel Approach to Detect Critical Infrastructure Vulnerabilities
verfasst von
Gabriele Oliva
Annunziata Esposito Amideo
Stefano Starita
Roberto Setola
Maria Paola Scaparra
Copyright-Jahr
2020
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-37670-3_5