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2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Flight Risk Quantitative Assessment Based on Extreme Values of Flight Parameters

verfasst von : Zhe Li, Haojun Xu, Yuan Xue, Yang Wei, Xiaocong Duan

Erschienen in: The Proceedings of the 2018 Asia-Pacific International Symposium on Aerospace Technology (APISAT 2018)

Verlag: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

Combining the extreme value theory and the multi-factor coupling system modelling, and considering the randomness of icing and pilot operation, the pilot-aircraft-environment simulation system was built. Monte Carlo simulation experiments were used to extract the extreme values of flight risk key parameters. The thick-tail characteristics of the parameter extreme and the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution law were verified. The flight risk criterion was defined and the flight risk probability was calculated. This method can provide theoretical support for the prediction and prevention of flight accidents.

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Metadaten
Titel
Flight Risk Quantitative Assessment Based on Extreme Values of Flight Parameters
verfasst von
Zhe Li
Haojun Xu
Yuan Xue
Yang Wei
Xiaocong Duan
Copyright-Jahr
2019
Verlag
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-3305-7_174

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