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Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change

Erschienen in:

01.03.2008 | Original Article

Impacts of climate change and CO₂ increase on agricultural production and adaptation options for Southern Québec, Canada

verfasst von: Jean-Phillipe Brassard, Bhawan Singh

Erschienen in: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change | Ausgabe 3/2008

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Abstract

This study involves the assessment of the potential impacts of greenhouse gas climate change and changing ambient carbon dioxide (CO₂) levels on crop yields in Quebec, Canada. The methodology involves coupling the transient diagnostics of two Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models, namely the Canadian CGCM1 and the British HadCM3, to the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) 3.5 crop models to simulate current (1961–1990) and future (2040–2069) crop yields and changes. This is done for four different crop species, namely spring wheat, maize, soybean, and potato, and for seven agricultural regions of Southern Quebec. The results of this study focus on the main causative factors influencing crop yields, namely the direct CO₂ fertilization effect, the influence of the increase in growing season temperature, including optimal thermal conditions and acceleration in crop maturation, soil moisture availability, as influenced by precipitation and evapotranspiration, and nitrogen uptake by crops. Our results show that crop yield changes may vary according to climate scenario, crop species, and agricultural region. Consistent with other similar research, it would seem that these multiple causative factors very often seem to cancel each other out and dilute the impacts of climate change on crop yields.

Vorheriger Artikel Land Area Eligible for Afforestation and Reforestation within the Clean Development Mechanism: A Global Analysis of the Impact of Forest Definition

Nächster Artikel The Dutch National System for forest sector greenhouse gas reporting under UNFCCC

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Titel: Impacts of climate change and CO2 increase on agricultural production and adaptation options for Southern Québec, Canada
verfasst von: Jean-Phillipe Brassard
Bhawan Singh
Publikationsdatum: 01.03.2008
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change / Ausgabe 3/2008
Print ISSN: 1381-2386
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1596
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-007-9109-2

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