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2010 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

19. International Trade Patterns and Policy for Ethanol in the United States

verfasst von : Hyunok Lee, Daniel A. Sumner

Erschienen in: Handbook of Bioenergy Economics and Policy

Verlag: Springer New York

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Abstract

The US trade policy for ethanol affects imports and all aspects of ethanol production and use. The paper reviews U.S. trade policy for ethanol and then examines the pattern of imports of ethanol. Despite high tariff barriers the U.S. is a major ethanol importer and we document the pattern of ethanol imports over the past decades. We then show how ethanol imports have responded to market conditions. We find that the demand for imports is likely to have been very elastic in recent years. Our econometric estimates show how ethanol imports have responded to market conditions. We find a significant supply elasticity for imports into the U.S. of about 3.0. Finally we use the forgoing analysis to discuss potential impacts of trade policy changes under alternative market conditions that depend crucially on domestic biofuel policies.

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Fußnoten
1
Elobeid and Tokgoz used -0.43 as the total demand elasticity in their simulation. Their study was calibrated using 2005 data when U.S. produces only half of current U.S. capacity.
 
2
Elobeid and Tokgoz used the supply elasticity of 0.65 in their simulation.
 
3
Martinez- Gonzalez et al. (2007) estimated the price elasticity of U.S. import demand and the estimated elasticity was 3.84.
 
4
Their simulation analysis indicates that the elimination of the U.S. tariff on ethanol imports increases the world price by 23.89% and Brazil net exports by 63.96%, which implies the import supply elasticity of 2.2 (note that some of Brazilian exports are rerouted through the Caribbean basin countries before it reached the U.S.).
 
5
Elobeid and Tokgoz (2008) had a larger price impact. Their study indicates that the elimination of the U.S. tariff on ethanol decreases the U.S. ethanol price by 13.6% and increases imports by 200%.
 
Literatur
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Zurück zum Zitat Elobeid A and Tokgoz S (2008) Removal of Distortions in the U.S. Ethanol Market: What Does it Imply for the United States and Brazil? American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol.90, Iss. 4, 918–932CrossRef Elobeid A and Tokgoz S (2008) Removal of Distortions in the U.S. Ethanol Market: What Does it Imply for the United States and Brazil? American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol.90, Iss. 4, 918–932CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Martinez-Gonzalez A, Sheldon, I, Thompson, S (2007) Estimating the Welfare Effects of U.S. Distortions in the Ethanol Market Using a Partial Equilibrium Trade Model. Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, Vol. 5, Iss. 2, Article 6, Available at http://www.bepress.com/jafio/vol5/iss2/art5/ Martinez-Gonzalez A, Sheldon, I, Thompson, S (2007) Estimating the Welfare Effects of U.S. Distortions in the Ethanol Market Using a Partial Equilibrium Trade Model. Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, Vol. 5, Iss. 2, Article 6, Available at http://​www.​bepress.​com/​jafio/​vol5/​iss2/​art5/
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Zurück zum Zitat Slaski A (2008) The Economic and Environmental Effects of Eliminating the U.S. Tariff on Ethanol. Reg-Market Center, AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies Slaski A (2008) The Economic and Environmental Effects of Eliminating the U.S. Tariff on Ethanol. Reg-Market Center, AEI Center for Regulatory and Market Studies
Zurück zum Zitat Yacobucci BD (2007) Fuel Ethanol: Background and Public Policy Issues, Congressional Research Service Report RL33290 (July) Yacobucci BD (2007) Fuel Ethanol: Background and Public Policy Issues, Congressional Research Service Report RL33290 (July)
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Metadaten
Titel
International Trade Patterns and Policy for Ethanol in the United States
verfasst von
Hyunok Lee
Daniel A. Sumner
Copyright-Jahr
2010
Verlag
Springer New York
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-0369-3_19

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