Skip to main content

2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

4. Rethinking IPCC Expertise from a Multi-actor Perspective

verfasst von : Maud H. Devès, Michel Lang, Paul-Henri Bourrelier, François Valérian

Erschienen in: Communicating Climate Change Information for Decision-Making

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Since the adoption of the United Nations Paris Agreement, scientists have been confronted with a difficult question. The needs for expertise have changed. The Paris Agreement is based on a bottom-up approach that, to be successful, requires extending and reinforcing the existing process for including expertise. Better understanding how the climate system works and its impact on societies remains a priority. However, the real challenge for effective implementation of programs that integrate mitigation and adaptation actions is to operationalize existing knowledge across temporal and spatial scales that take into consideration the realities of a range of actors, at the scale at which they operate. This raises the question of whether the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change can answer these new needs without rethinking part of its organization. That is the issue this chapter explores, based on the experience of the authors, who work together at the interface between science and policy in the framework of the French Association for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR French platform), as a researcher, engineer or public officer in the French administration.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
The Paris Agreement entered into force on the 30th day after the date on which at least 55 Parties to the Convention (accounting in total for at least an estimated 55% of the total global greenhouse gas emissions) had deposited their instruments of ratification, acceptance, approval or accession with the Depositary. This was reached on 4 November 2016.
 
2
Vasileiadou et al. (2011) conducted a review of the citation rate of the four IPCC reports in the academic literature. Most citations come from the physical sciences (95%) and only 5% from the social sciences, including 2% from economics and 2% from sociopolitical science. This result directly echoes the under-representation of social sciences in the IPCC (Victor 2015); the few social scientists who at present belong to WGIII and focus on economics and CO2 emission scenarios (Hulme and Mahony 2010).
 
3
The long-standing international cooperation of research on climate has led to a progressive standardization of the WGI procedures, which has not been the case for WGII and WGIII. WGI also has a clear leadership of the expertise on climate change science, whereas WGII and WGIII have to share their field of expertise with other institutions (e.g. the World Bank or the International Energy Agency).
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Agrawala S (1998a) Context and early origins of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Clim Change 39(4):605–620CrossRef Agrawala S (1998a) Context and early origins of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Clim Change 39(4):605–620CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Agrawala S (1998b) Structural and process history of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Clim Change 39(4):621–642CrossRef Agrawala S (1998b) Structural and process history of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Clim Change 39(4):621–642CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Aykut SC, Dahan A (2015) Gouverner le climat? 20 ans de négociations internationales Aykut SC, Dahan A (2015) Gouverner le climat? 20 ans de négociations internationales
Zurück zum Zitat Beck S (2011) Moving beyond the linear model of expertise? IPCC and the test of adaptation. Reg Environ Change 11(2):297–306CrossRef Beck S (2011) Moving beyond the linear model of expertise? IPCC and the test of adaptation. Reg Environ Change 11(2):297–306CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Beck S (2013) Is the IPCC a learning organisation? New approaches to governance and decision-making, 418 Beck S (2013) Is the IPCC a learning organisation? New approaches to governance and decision-making, 418
Zurück zum Zitat Beck S, Borie M, Chilvers J, Esguerra A, Heubach K, Hulme M, Nadim T (2014) Towards a reflexive turn in the governance of global environmental expertise. The cases of the IPCC and the IPBES. GAIA Ecol Perspect Sci Soc 23(2):80–87 Beck S, Borie M, Chilvers J, Esguerra A, Heubach K, Hulme M, Nadim T (2014) Towards a reflexive turn in the governance of global environmental expertise. The cases of the IPCC and the IPBES. GAIA Ecol Perspect Sci Soc 23(2):80–87
Zurück zum Zitat Bjurström A, Polk M (2011) Climate change and interdisciplinarity: a co-citation analysis of IPCC third assessment report. Scientometrics 87(3):525–550CrossRef Bjurström A, Polk M (2011) Climate change and interdisciplinarity: a co-citation analysis of IPCC third assessment report. Scientometrics 87(3):525–550CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bodansky D (2001) The history of the global climate change regime. Int Relat Glob Clim Change 23–40 Bodansky D (2001) The history of the global climate change regime. Int Relat Glob Clim Change 23–40
Zurück zum Zitat Bolin B (2007) A history of the science and politics of climate change. The role of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Bolin B (2007) A history of the science and politics of climate change. The role of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Zurück zum Zitat Burton I, Development Programme United Nations (2005) Adaptation policy frameworks for climate change: developing strategies, policies and measures. In: Lim B (ed) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 258 Burton I, Development Programme United Nations (2005) Adaptation policy frameworks for climate change: developing strategies, policies and measures. In: Lim B (ed) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 258
Zurück zum Zitat Church JA, Clark PU, Cazenave A, Gregory JM, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, Payne AJ (2013) Sea-level rise by 2100. Science 342(6165):1445CrossRef Church JA, Clark PU, Cazenave A, Gregory JM, Jevrejeva S, Levermann A, Payne AJ (2013) Sea-level rise by 2100. Science 342(6165):1445CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cody EM, Reagan AJ, Mitchell L, Dodds PS, Danforth CM (2015) Climate change sentiment on Twitter: an unsolicited public opinion poll. arXiv preprint arXiv:1505.03804 Cody EM, Reagan AJ, Mitchell L, Dodds PS, Danforth CM (2015) Climate change sentiment on Twitter: an unsolicited public opinion poll. arXiv preprint arXiv:​1505.​03804
Zurück zum Zitat Cook J, Nuccitelli D, Green SA, Richardson M, Winkler B, Painting R, Skuce A (2013) Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature. Environ Res Lett 8(2):024024CrossRef Cook J, Nuccitelli D, Green SA, Richardson M, Winkler B, Painting R, Skuce A (2013) Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature. Environ Res Lett 8(2):024024CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cooke RM (2015) Messaging climate change uncertainty. Nat Clim Change 5(1):8–10CrossRef Cooke RM (2015) Messaging climate change uncertainty. Nat Clim Change 5(1):8–10CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Curry J (2011) Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Clim Change 108(4):723–732CrossRef Curry J (2011) Reasoning about climate uncertainty. Clim Change 108(4):723–732CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Dahan A (2013) Historic overview of climate framing. FMSHWP-2013-39 Dahan A (2013) Historic overview of climate framing. FMSHWP-2013-39
Zurück zum Zitat Dahan A, Guillemot H (2015) Les relations entre science et politique dans le régime climatique: à la recherche d’un nouveau modèle d’expertise? Nat Sci Soc (Supp. 3):6–18 Dahan A, Guillemot H (2015) Les relations entre science et politique dans le régime climatique: à la recherche d’un nouveau modèle d’expertise? Nat Sci Soc (Supp. 3):6–18
Zurück zum Zitat Demeritt D (2001) The construction of global warming and the politics of science. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 91(2):307–337CrossRef Demeritt D (2001) The construction of global warming and the politics of science. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 91(2):307–337CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Devès MH (2015) The question of the real: from science to catastrophe. Res Psychoanal 20. 10.3917/rep.020.0107 Devès MH (2015) The question of the real: from science to catastrophe. Res Psychoanal 20. 10.3917/rep.020.0107
Zurück zum Zitat Dovers SR, Hezri AA (2010) Institutions and policy processes: the means to the ends of adaptation. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change 1(2):212–231CrossRef Dovers SR, Hezri AA (2010) Institutions and policy processes: the means to the ends of adaptation. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Change 1(2):212–231CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ebi KL (2011) Differentiating theory from evidence in determining confidence in an assessment finding. Clim Change 108(4):693–700CrossRef Ebi KL (2011) Differentiating theory from evidence in determining confidence in an assessment finding. Clim Change 108(4):693–700CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ekwurzel B, Frumhoff PC, McCarthy JJ (2011) Climate uncertainties and their discontents: increasing the impact of assessments on public understanding of climate risks and choices. Clim Change 108(4):791–802CrossRef Ekwurzel B, Frumhoff PC, McCarthy JJ (2011) Climate uncertainties and their discontents: increasing the impact of assessments on public understanding of climate risks and choices. Clim Change 108(4):791–802CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Franz WE (1997) The development of an international agenda for climate change: connecting science to policy. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs discussion paper E-97-07. Cambridge, MA: Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. Also International Institute for applied systems analysis interim report IR-97-034/August. Environment and Natural Resources Program Franz WE (1997) The development of an international agenda for climate change: connecting science to policy. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs discussion paper E-97-07. Cambridge, MA: Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. Also International Institute for applied systems analysis interim report IR-97-034/August. Environment and Natural Resources Program
Zurück zum Zitat Hecht AD, Tirpak D (1995) Framework agreement on climate change: a scientific and policy history. Clim Change 29(4):371CrossRef Hecht AD, Tirpak D (1995) Framework agreement on climate change: a scientific and policy history. Clim Change 29(4):371CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hollin GJS, Pearce W (2015) Tension between scientific certainty and meaning complicates communication of IPCC reports. Nat Clim Change 5(8):753 Hollin GJS, Pearce W (2015) Tension between scientific certainty and meaning complicates communication of IPCC reports. Nat Clim Change 5(8):753
Zurück zum Zitat Howe PD, Mildenberger M, Marlon JR, Leiserowitz A (2015) Geographic variation in opinions on climate change at state and local scales in the USA. Nat Clim Change 5(6):596–603CrossRef Howe PD, Mildenberger M, Marlon JR, Leiserowitz A (2015) Geographic variation in opinions on climate change at state and local scales in the USA. Nat Clim Change 5(6):596–603CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hulme M, Mahony M (2010) Climate change: what do we know about the IPCC? Prog Phys Geogr Hulme M, Mahony M (2010) Climate change: what do we know about the IPCC? Prog Phys Geogr
Zurück zum Zitat Hulme M, Zorita E, Stocker TF, Price J, Christy JR (2010) IPCC: cherish it, tweak it or scrap it. Nature 463(11):730–732 Hulme M, Zorita E, Stocker TF, Price J, Christy JR (2010) IPCC: cherish it, tweak it or scrap it. Nature 463(11):730–732
Zurück zum Zitat IPCC (1990) Report prepared for Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change by Working Group I. In: Houghton JT, Jenkins GJ, Ephraums JJ (eds) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge IPCC (1990) Report prepared for Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change by Working Group I. In: Houghton JT, Jenkins GJ, Ephraums JJ (eds) Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Zurück zum Zitat Jasanoff S, Lynch M, Miller C, Wynne B, Buttel F, Charvolin F, Lambright WH (1998) Science and decision making Jasanoff S, Lynch M, Miller C, Wynne B, Buttel F, Charvolin F, Lambright WH (1998) Science and decision making
Zurück zum Zitat Jones N (2013) Climate assessments: 25 years of the IPCC. Nature 501:298–299CrossRef Jones N (2013) Climate assessments: 25 years of the IPCC. Nature 501:298–299CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Maslin M (2013) Cascading uncertainty in climate change models and its implications for policy. Geographical J 179(3):264–271CrossRef Maslin M (2013) Cascading uncertainty in climate change models and its implications for policy. Geographical J 179(3):264–271CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, Van Vuuren DP, Meehl GA (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463(7282):747–756CrossRef Moss RH, Edmonds JA, Hibbard KA, Manning MR, Rose SK, Van Vuuren DP, Meehl GA (2010) The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature 463(7282):747–756CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Oppenheimer M, O’Neill BC, Webster M, Agrawala S (2008) The limits of consensus. Science 123 Oppenheimer M, O’Neill BC, Webster M, Agrawala S (2008) The limits of consensus. Science 123
Zurück zum Zitat Oreskes N (2004) The scientific consensus on climate change. Science 306(5702):1686CrossRef Oreskes N (2004) The scientific consensus on climate change. Science 306(5702):1686CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pielke R Jr (2005) Misdefining “climate change”: consequences for science and action. Environ Sci Policy 8(6):548–561CrossRef Pielke R Jr (2005) Misdefining “climate change”: consequences for science and action. Environ Sci Policy 8(6):548–561CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pielke R Jr (2010) The climate fix: what scientists and politicians won’t tell you about global warming. Basic Books, New York Pielke R Jr (2010) The climate fix: what scientists and politicians won’t tell you about global warming. Basic Books, New York
Zurück zum Zitat Sarewitz D (2011) Does climate change knowledge really matter? Clim Change 2(4):475–481 Sarewitz D (2011) Does climate change knowledge really matter? Clim Change 2(4):475–481
Zurück zum Zitat Schiermeier Q (2010a) IPCC signs up for reform. Nature 467(7318):891–892CrossRef Schiermeier Q (2010a) IPCC signs up for reform. Nature 467(7318):891–892CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Schiermeier Q (2010b) IPCC flooded by criticism. Nature 463(7281):596–597CrossRef Schiermeier Q (2010b) IPCC flooded by criticism. Nature 463(7281):596–597CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Schrope M (2001) Consensus science, or consensus politics? Nature 412(6843):112–114CrossRef Schrope M (2001) Consensus science, or consensus politics? Nature 412(6843):112–114CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Shapiro HT, Diab R, de Brito Cruz CH, Cropper ML, Fang J, Fresco LO, Manabe S, Mehta G, Molina M, Williams P, Winacker EL (eds) (2010) Climate change assessments: review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC. InterAcademy Council, Amsterdam Shapiro HT, Diab R, de Brito Cruz CH, Cropper ML, Fang J, Fresco LO, Manabe S, Mehta G, Molina M, Williams P, Winacker EL (eds) (2010) Climate change assessments: review of the processes and procedures of the IPCC. InterAcademy Council, Amsterdam
Zurück zum Zitat Skodvin T (2000) The development of an international regime on a human-induced climate change. In: Structure and agent in the scientific diplomacy of climate change. Springer Netherlands, The Netherlands, pp 93–103 Skodvin T (2000) The development of an international regime on a human-induced climate change. In: Structure and agent in the scientific diplomacy of climate change. Springer Netherlands, The Netherlands, pp 93–103
Zurück zum Zitat Stocker TF, Plattner GK (2014) Climate policy: rethink IPCC reports. Nature 513:163–165CrossRef Stocker TF, Plattner GK (2014) Climate policy: rethink IPCC reports. Nature 513:163–165CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tol RS (2011) Regulating knowledge monopolies: the case of the IPCC. Clim Change 108(4):827–839CrossRef Tol RS (2011) Regulating knowledge monopolies: the case of the IPCC. Clim Change 108(4):827–839CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tollefson J (2013) Study aims to put IPCC under a lens. Nature 502:281CrossRef Tollefson J (2013) Study aims to put IPCC under a lens. Nature 502:281CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Vasileiadoua E, Heimeriks G, Petersen AC (2011) Exploring the impact of the IPCC assessment reports on science. Environ Sci Policy 14(8):1052–1061CrossRef Vasileiadoua E, Heimeriks G, Petersen AC (2011) Exploring the impact of the IPCC assessment reports on science. Environ Sci Policy 14(8):1052–1061CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Victor DG (2015) Embed the social sciences in climate policy. Nature, 520(April):27–29 Victor DG (2015) Embed the social sciences in climate policy. Nature, 520(April):27–29
Zurück zum Zitat Zillman JW (2009) Historique des activités climatologiques. Bull de l’OMM 58(3):141 Zillman JW (2009) Historique des activités climatologiques. Bull de l’OMM 58(3):141
Metadaten
Titel
Rethinking IPCC Expertise from a Multi-actor Perspective
verfasst von
Maud H. Devès
Michel Lang
Paul-Henri Bourrelier
François Valérian
Copyright-Jahr
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74669-2_4