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1989 | Buch

Topics in Advanced Econometrics

Probability Foundations

verfasst von: Phoebus J. Dhrymes

Verlag: Springer New York

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Über dieses Buch

For sometime now, I felt that the evolution of the literature of econo­ metrics had mandated a higher level of mathematical proficiency. This is particularly evident beyond the level of the general linear model (GLM) and the general linear structural econometric model (GLSEM). The problems one encounters in nonlinear econometrics are not easily amenable to treatment by the analytical methods one typically acquires, when one learns about probability and inference through the use of den­ sity functions. Even in standard traditional topics, one is often compelled to resort to heuristics; for example, it is difficult to prove central limit theorems for nonidentically distributed or martingale sequences, solely by the use of characteristic functions. Yet such proofs are essential, even in only moderately sophisticated classroom exposition. Unfortunately, relatively few students enter a graduate economics de­ partment ready to tackle probability theory in measure theoretic terms. The present volume has grown out of the need to lay the foundation for such discussions. The motivating forces were, chiefly, (a) the frustration one encounters in attempting to communicate certain concepts to stu­ dents wholly in analytic terms; and (b) the unwillingness of the typical student to sit through several courses in mathematics departments, in order to acquire the requisite background.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Mathematical Foundations
Abstract
The purpose of this chapter is to provide a background on the results from probability theory required for the study of several of the topics of contemporary econometrics.
Phoebus J. Dhrymes
Chapter 2. Foundations of Probability
Abstract
Consider the problem of constructing a model of the process (experiment) of throwing a die and observing the outcome; in doing so, we need to impose on the experiment a certain probabilistic framework, since the same die thrown under ostensibly identical circumstances generally yields different outcomes. The framework represents, primarily, the investigator’s view of the nature of the process, but it must also conform to certain logical rules. In dealing with the experiment above, we shall employ the mathematical framework we have created in Chapter 1. This is done not because the complexity of the problem requires it, but only in order to demonstrate, in a totally transparent fashion, the use to which such a framework may be put.
Phoebus J. Dhrymes
Chapter 3. Convergence of Sequences I
Abstract
In this chapter, we shall examine issues that relate to the manner in which sequences of random variables approach a limit. When we deal with sequences or series of real numbers, such issues are rather simple in their resolution, i.e., the sequence either has a unique limit or it may have several limit points; and a series may either converge to a finite number or diverge (to ±∞) or it may have no limit point, as, for example, the series
$$ \sum\limits_{{i = 1}}^{\infty } {{{{\left( { - 1} \right)}}^{i}}} $$
.
Phoebus J. Dhrymes
Chapter 4. Convergence of Sequences II
Abstract
In the previous chapter, we examined abstractly, four modes of convergence: convergence a.c., convergence in probability, L p convergence and Convergence in distribution; in addition, we had also explored the manner in which they are related to each other, and we had given conditions under which we may obtain convergence a.c., convergence in probability, or L p convergence for sequences of random variables. These last results, however, had been obtained on the assertion that the sequence(s) to which they were applied consisted of independent random variables. Moreover, the implicit framework of that discussion was one of scalar random variables. While many of the proofs easily generalize or, more appropriately, are applicable without modification, to sequences of random vectors, for some this is not the case. Specifically, in the proof of Proposition 11 and its related corollaries (in Chapter 3), we made explicit use of the natural order of the number system, and this does not lend itself, easily, to generalization in cases where we deal with entities more complicated than scalar random variables.
Phoebus J. Dhrymes
Chapter 5. Dependent Sequences
Abstract
When dealing with convergence properties of sequences in the previous two chapters, we had obtained specific results, generally, only for the case where the elements of the sequence in question were independent or minimally uncorrelated random variables or random elements. In this chapter, we shall examine some of the same problems as before, especially laws of large numbers and CLT in the case where the constituent elements are dependent random variables, or random elements. We shall examine two general classes of dependence, martingale and stationary sequences.
Phoebus J. Dhrymes
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Topics in Advanced Econometrics
verfasst von
Phoebus J. Dhrymes
Copyright-Jahr
1989
Verlag
Springer New York
Electronic ISBN
978-1-4612-4548-3
Print ISBN
978-1-4612-8873-2
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-4548-3