Donald Trump and New Hampshire Politics

verfasst von: Prof. Christopher J. Galdieri

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Buchreihe : Palgrave Studies in US Elections

Enthalten in: Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" , Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

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Über dieses Buch

The state of New Hampshire has played a pivotal role in Donald Trump's rise. This volume examines how the Granite State incubated Trump's political ambitions as early as the 1988 campaign cycle, how Trump's return to the state in 2014 presaged his 2016 candidacy, and how the state rescued his ambitions after his defeat in the Iowa caucuses. The book also examines how Trump lost the state to Hillary Clinton in the general election, and how the state has in many ways been a microcosm of national politics since Trump's election, as a Republican governor and legislature attempt to pursue their long-deferred agenda in the face of Democratic opposition and as Democrats racked up victories in special and off-year elections. Finally, this book examines what Trump's impact will be on the 2020 presidential primaries.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter

Chapter 1. Visiting the Granite State Again

Abstract

Donald Trump’s 2016 candidacy was predicated on decades of image crafting and management as well as prior flirtations with running for president. To understand how Trump won the 2016 election it is first necessary to understand how he used his celebrity—as a business figure, as the subject of tabloid gossip, and as a television host—to shape his political activities and build an image and a following that went largely unnoticed by most political observers.

Christopher J. Galdieri

Chapter 2. Donald Trump and the 2016 New Hampshire Primary

Abstract

How did Donald Trump, whom most Republican leaders believed was wrong on many key issues and dangerously unelectable, win the 2016 nomination? Trump was helped by press coverage that did not treat him as a serious candidate, by a large field of opponents who spent more time attacking each other than they did him, by a lack of clear signals from party leaders, and a series of strategic blunders by his opponents. Additionally, Trump’s issue positions allowed him to appeal to both hardline conservatives and the moderate primary voters who play an outsized role in Republican presidential nomination contests.

Christopher J. Galdieri

Chapter 3. New Hampshire in the 2016 General Election

Abstract

How did Hillary Clinton win New Hampshire while losing other swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin? Exit polls suggest two factors help explain Clinton’s success in New Hampshire. First, the state’s small population of nonwhite voters broke overwhelmingly for Clinton. Second, the state’s high levels of educational attainment relative to other states meant that Clinton’s support among voters with postsecondary degrees had more of an impact in New Hampshire than it did in other swing states. This allowed Clinton to carry the state despite making fewer in-person appearances than Trump did.

Christopher J. Galdieri

Chapter 4. New Hampshire Politics in 2017 and 2018

Abstract

In 2017 and 2018, New Hampshire Republicans had unified control of the elected branches of state government for the first time in over a decade. At the same time, a wave of activism unleashed by Donald Trump’s election helped fuel Democratic victories in special and local elections, and ultimately led Democrats to win control of New Hampshire’s state legislature and executive council even in the face of strong gerrymanders. Governor Chris Sununu’s re-election was the only bright spot for Granite State Republicans in 2018.

Christopher J. Galdieri

Chapter 5. The 2020 New Hampshire Primary: A Look Ahead

Abstract

Why are two dozen Democratic candidates, ranging from a former vice president and well-known senators to obscure House members and a small-city mayor, all seeking the Democratic nomination for president in 2020? The size of the Democratic field suggests that the formal and informal mechanisms that kept earlier years’ fields to reasonable sizes have broken down, in part because party leaders want to avoid the appearance of favoring some candidates over others. Debate criteria may serve to winnow the field. Meanwhile, after years of speculation, only former Massachusetts governor William Weld has stepped forward to challenge Trump in the Republican primary.

Christopher J. Galdieri

Backmatter

Titel: Donald Trump and New Hampshire Politics
verfasst von: Prof. Christopher J. Galdieri
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Electronic ISBN: 978-3-030-24797-3
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-24796-6
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-24797-3