nach oben

Erschienen in:

2010 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Multicriteria Decision Analysis in Group Decision Processes

verfasst von : Ahti Salo, Raimo P. Hämäläinen

Erschienen in: Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation

Verlag: Springer Netherlands

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

Important decisions are often taken by groups of decision makers who need to make choices among several alternatives, based on an appraisal of how the alternatives are likely to perform with regard to multiple objectives. Such decision processes can be supported by the methods of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) which help generate decision recommendations and offer process benefits in terms of enhanced decision quality, improved communication, and enhanced commitment to decision implementation. In this chapter, we outline widely used MCDA methods and consider their uses in group decision making. We also review selected case studies and offer guidelines for the design of MCDA-assisted group decision processes. We conclude with thoughts on promising application domains and future research topics.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Vorheriges Kapitel Group Support Systems: Overview and Guided Tour

Nächstes Kapitel The Role of Group Decision Support Systems: Negotiating Safe Energy

Arrow KJ, Raynaud H (1986) Social choice and multicriterion decision making. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA

Bana e Costa CA, Fernandes TG, Correia PVD (2006) Prioritisation of public investments in social infrastructures using multicriteria value analysis and decision conferencing: A case study. Int Trans Oper Res 13:279–297CrossRef

Barcus A, Montibeller G (2008) Supporting the allocation of software development work in distributed teams with multi-criteria decision analysis. Omega–Int J Manage S 36(3):464–475CrossRef

Basak I, Saaty TL (1993) Group decision making using the analytic hierarchy process. Math Comput Model 17(4–5):101–109CrossRef

Bell ML, Hobbs BF, Ellis H (2003) The use of multi-criteria decision-making methods in the integrated assessment of climate change: implications for IA practitioners. Soc Econ Plan Sci 37:289–316CrossRef

Belton V, Gear T (1983) On a short-coming of Saaty’s method of analytic hierarchies. Omega–Int J Manage S 11:228–230CrossRef

Belton V, Pictet J (1997) A framework for group decision using a MCDA model: sharing, aggregating or comparing. J Decis Syst 6(3):283–303CrossRef

Belton V, Ackermann F, Shepherd I (1997) Integrated support from problem structuring through to alternative evaluation using COPE and VISA. J Multi-Crit Decis Anal 6:115–130CrossRef

10.

Belton V, Stewart TJ (2002) Multiple criteria decision analysis: an integrated approach. Kluwer, DordrechtCrossRef

11.

Bertsch V, Geldermann J (2008) Preference elicitation and sensitivity analysis in multicriteria group decision support for industrial risk and emergency management. Int J Emerg Manage 5(1–2):7–24CrossRef

12.

Bose U, Davey AM, Olson DL (1997) Multi-attribute utility methods in group decision making: Past applications and potential for inclusion in GDSS. Omega–Int J Manage S 25(6):691–706CrossRef

13.

Brans JP, Macharis C, Kunsch PL, Chevalier A, Schwaninger M (1998) Combining multicriteria decision aid and system dynamics for the control of socio-economic processes. An iterative real-time procedure. Eur J Oper Res 109(2):428–441CrossRef

14.

Brummer V, Könnölä T, Salo A (2008) Foresight within ERA-NETs: experiences from the preparation of an international research program. Technol Forecast Soc 75(4):483–495CrossRef

15.

Brummer V, Salo A, Nissinen J, Liesiö J (2010) A methodology for the identification of prospective collaboration networks in international R&D Programs. Int J Tech Manage (to appear)

16.

Checkland P (1989) The stages of soft systems methodology. In: Rosenhead J, Mingers J (eds) Rational methods for a problematic world revisited, 2nd Ed. Wiley, Chichester; pp 71–100

17.

Davey A, Olson D (1998) Multiple criteria decision making models in group decision support. Group Decis Negotiation 7:55–77CrossRef

18.

Debreu G (1960) Topological methods in cardinal utility theory. In: Arrow KJ, Karlin S, Suppes P (eds), Mathematical methods in the social sciences. Stanford University Press, Stanford, CA, pp 16–26

19.

Dias LC, Clímaco JN (2005) Dealing with imprecise information in group multicriteria decisions: a methodology and a GDSS architecture. Eur J Oper Res 160(2):291–307CrossRef

20.

Dyer JS (1990) Remarks on the analytic hierarchy process. Manage Sci 36:249–258CrossRef

21.

Dyer RF, Forman EH (1992) Group decision support with the AHP. Decis Support Syst 8:99–124CrossRef

22.

Eden C (2008) Analyzing cognitive maps to help structure issues or problems. Eur J Oper Res 159(3):673–686CrossRef

23.

Efremov R, Insua DR, Lotov A (2008) A framework for participatory decision support using Pareto frontier visualization, goal identification and arbitration. Eur J Oper Res 199(2):459–467CrossRef

24.

Fan ZP, Ma J, Jiang YP, Sun YH, Ma L (2006) A goal programming approach to group decision making based on multiplicative preference relations and fuzzy preference relations. Eur J Oper Res 174(1):311–321CrossRef

25.

Forman E, Kirti P (1998) Aggregating individual judgments and priorities with the analytic hierarchy process. Eur J Oper Res 108(1):165–169CrossRef

26.

Figueira J, Greco S, Ehrgott M (eds) (2005) Multiple criteria decision analysis: state of the art survey. Springer, New York, NY

27.

Friedman AL, Miles S (2006) Stakeholders: theory and practice. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK

28.

French S (1986) Decision theory: an introduction to the mathematics of rationality. Ellis Horwood, Chichester, UK

29.

French S, Insua DR, Ruggeri F (2007) e-participation and decision analysis. Decis Anal 4(4):211–226CrossRef

30.

French S, Maule J, Papamichail N (2009) Decision behaviour, analysis and support. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UKCrossRef

31.

Geldermann J, Bertsch V, Treitz M, French S, Papamichail KN, Hämäläinen RP (2009) Multi-criteria decision support and evaluation of strategies for nuclear remediation management. Omega–Int J Manage S 37(1):238–251CrossRef

32.

Gregory R, McDaniels T, Fields D (2001) Decision aiding, not dispute resolution: creating insights through structured environmental decisions. J Policy Anal Manage 20(3):415–432CrossRef

33.

Ehtamo H, Hämäläinen RP (2001) Interactive multiple-criteria methods for reaching Pareto optimal agreements in negotiations. Group Decis Negotiation 10:475–491CrossRef

34.

Hajkowicz SA (2008) Supporting multi-stakeholder environmental decisions. J Environ Manage 88:607–614CrossRef

35.

Hämäläinen RP (1988) Computer assisted energy policy analysis in the parliament of Finland. Interfaces 18(4):12–23CrossRef

36.

Hämäläinen RP (2003) Decisionarium–aiding decisions, negotiating and collecting opinions on the web. J Multi-Crit Decis Anal 12(2–3):101–110CrossRef

37.

Hämäläinen RP (2004) Reversing the perspective on the applications of decision analysis. Decis Anal 1(1):26–31CrossRef

38.

Hämäläinen RP, Alaja S (2008) The threat of weighting biases in environmental decision analysis. Ecol Econ 68(1–2): 556–569CrossRef

39.

Hämäläinen RP, Kettunen E, Marttunen M, Ehtamo H (2001) Evaluating a framework for multi-stakeholder decision support in water resources management. Group Decis Negotiation 10(4):331–353CrossRef

40.

Hämäläinen RP, Lindstedt M, Sinkko K (2000) Multi-attribute risk analysis in nuclear emergency management. Risk Anal 20(4):455–468CrossRef

41.

Hämäläinen RP, Mustajoki J, Marttunen M (2010) Web-based decision support–creating a culture of applying multicriteria decision analysis and web-supported participation in environmental decision making? In: French S, Rios-Insua D (eds) e-democracy: a group decision and negotiation perspective (to appear)

42.

Hämäläinen RP, Pöyhönen M (1996) On-line group decision support by preference programming in traffic planning. Group Decis Negotiation 5:485–500

43.

Hämäläinen RP, Salo A, Pöysti K (1992) Observations about consensus seeking in a multiple criteria environment. Proceedings of the 25th Hawaii international conference on systems sciences, Hawaii, vol. IV, January 1992, 190–198

44.

Herrera-Viedma E, Alonso S, Chiclana F, Herrera R (2007) A consensus model for group decision making with incomplete fuzzy preference relations. IEEE T Fuzzy Syst 15(5): 863–877CrossRef

45.

Hiltunen V, Kurttila M, Leskinen P, Pasanen K, Pykäläinen J (2009) Mesta: an internet-based decision-support application for participatory strategic-level natural resources planning. Forest Policy Econ 11(1):1–9CrossRef

46.

Hobbs BF, Meier PM (1994) Multicriteria methods for resource planning. IEEE T Power Syst 9(4):1811–1817CrossRef

47.

Hodgkin J, Belton V, Koulouri A (2005) Supporting the intelligent MCDA user: a case study in multi-person multi-criteria decision support. Eur J Oper Res 160(1):172–189CrossRef

49.

Kangas A, Kangas J, Kurttila M (2008) Decision support for forest management. Managing forest ecosystems, vol 16. Springer, New York, NY

50.

Keeney RL, Kirkwood CW (1975) Group decision making using cardinal social welfare functions. Manage Sci 22(4):430–437CrossRef

51.

Keeney RL, Raiffa H (1976) Decisions with multiple objectives: preferences and value tradeoffs. Wiley, New York, NY

52.

Keeney RL (1992) Value-focused thinking: a path to creative decisionmaking. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA

55.

Kiker GA, Bridges TS, Varghese A, Seager TP, Linkov I (2005) Application of multicriteria decision analysis in environmental decision making. Integr Environ Assess Manage 1(2):95–108CrossRef

57.

Kim S-H, Ahn BS (1997) Group decision making procedure considering preference strength under incomplete information. Comput Oper Res 24(12):1101–1112CrossRef

58.

Kim JK, Choi SH (2001) A utility bange-based interactive group support system for multiattribute decision making. Comput Oper Res 28(5):485–503CrossRef

59.

Kleinmuntz D (2007) Resource allocation decisions. In: Edwards W, Miles Jr RF, von Winterfeldt D (eds) Advances in decision analysis–from foundations to applications. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY

60.

Könnölä T, Salo A, Brummer V (2010) Foresight for European coordination: developing national priorities for the forest-based sector technology platform. Int J Technol Manage (to appear)

61.

Krantz DH, Luce RD, Suppes P, Tversky A (1971) Foundations of measurement, vol. I. Academic, New York, NY

62.

Lahdelma R, Salminen P (2001) SMAA-2: stochastic multicriteria acceptability analysis for group decision making. Oper Res 49(3):444–454CrossRef

63.

Lahdelma R, Miettinen K, Salminen P (2005) Reference point approach for multiple decision makers. Eur J Oper Res 164(3):785–791CrossRef

64.

Liesiö J, Mild P, Salo A (2007) Preference programming for robust portfolio modeling and project selection. Eur J Oper Res 181(3):1488–1505CrossRef

65.

Liesiö J, Mild P, Salo A (2008) Robust portfolio modeling with incomplete cost information and project interdependencies. Eur J Oper Res 190(3):679–695CrossRef

66.

Mrmol AM, Monroy K, Rubiales V (2007) An equitable solution for multicriteria bargaining games. Eur J Oper Res 177(3):1523–1534CrossRef

67.

Marttunen M, Hämäläinen RP (2008) The decision analysis interview approach in the collaborative management of a large regulater water course. Environ Manage 42: 1026–1042CrossRef

68.

Matsatsinis NF, Samaras AP (2001) MCDA and preference disaggregation in group decision support systems. Eur J Oper Res 130(2):414–429CrossRef

69.

Matsatsinis NF, Tzoannopoulos K-D (2008) Multiple criteria group decision support through the usage of argumentation-based multi-agent systems: an overview. Oper Res 8(2): 185–199

70.

Montibeller G, Belton V (2006). Causal maps and the evaluation of decision options–A review. J Oper Res Soc 57:779–791CrossRef

71.

Montibeller G, Belton V, Ackermann F, Ensslin L (2008) Reasoning maps for decision aid: an integrated approach for problem-structuring and multi-criteria evaluation, J Oper Res Soc 59(5):575–589CrossRef

72.

Mustajoki J, Hämäläinen RP (2000) Web-HIPRE: global decision support by value tree and AHP analysis. INFOR 38(3):208–220

73.

Lindstedt M, Liesiö J, Salo A (2008). Participatory development of a strategic product portfolio in a telecommunication company. Int J Technol Manage 42(3):250–266CrossRef

74.

Merrick JRW, Parnell GS, Barnett J, Garcia M (2005) A multiple-objective decision analysis of stakeholder values to identify watershed improvement needs. Decis Anal 2(1): 44–57CrossRef

75.

Mustajoki J, Hämäläinen RP, Lindstedt MRK (2006) Using intervals for global sensitivity analysis and worst-case analyses in multiattribute value trees. Eur J Oper Res 174: 278–292CrossRef

76.

Mustajoki J, Hämäläinen RP, Sinkko K (2007) Interactive computer support in decision conferencing: two cases on off-site nuclear emergency management. Decis Support Syst 42(4):2247–2260CrossRef

78.

Phillips LD (1984) A theory of requisite decision models. Acta Psychol 56:29–48CrossRef

79.

Phillips LD, Bana e Costa CA (2007) Prioritisation, budgeting and resource allocation with multi-criteria decision analysis. Ann Oper Res Res. 154(1):51–68CrossRef

80.

Pöyhönen M, Vrolijk HCJ, Hämäläinen RP (2001) Behavioral and procedural consequences of structural variation in value trees. Eur J Oper Res 134(1):218–227CrossRef

81.

Regan HM, Colyvan M, Markovchick-Nicholls L (2006) A formal model for consensus and negotiation in environmental management. J Environ Manage 80: 167–176CrossRef

83.

Roy B (1996) Multicriteria methodology for decision aiding. Kluwer, Dordrecht, The NetherlandsCrossRef

84.

Saaty TL (1977) A scaling method for priorities in hierarchical structures. J Math Psychol 15:234–281CrossRef

85.

Saaty TL (1980) The analytic hierarchy process. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY

86.

Salo A (1995) Interactive decision aiding for group decision support. Eur J Oper Res 84(1):134–149CrossRef

87.

Salo A, Hämäläinen RP (1992) Preference assessment by imprecise ratio statements. Oper Res 40(6): 1053–1061CrossRef

88.

Salo A, Hämäläinen RP (1997) On the measurement of preferences in the analytic hierarchy process. J Multi-Crit Dec Anal 6:309–319CrossRef

89.

Salo A, Hämäläinen RP (2001) Preference ratios in multiattribute evaluation (PRIME) - elicitation and decision procedures under incomplete information. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern A 31(6):533–545CrossRef

90.

Santos SP, Belton V, Howick S (2002) Adding value to performance measurement by using system dynamics and multicriteria analysis. Int J Oper Prod Man 22(11):1246–1272CrossRef

92.

Slotte S, Hämäläinen RP (2005) Decision structuring dialogue. Helsinki University of Technology, Systems Analysis Laboratory Research Reports E13. Available via http://www.sal.hut.fi/Publications/pdf-files/E13.pdf. Accessed May 5, 2010

93.

Sternberg RJ (ed) (1999) Handbook of creativity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK

95.

Vetschera R (1990) Group decision and negotiation support a methodological survey. OR Spektrum 12(2): 67–77CrossRef

96.

Vetschera R (2000) A multi-criteria agency model with incomplete preference information. Eur J Oper Res 126(1):152–165CrossRef

97.

Wallenius J, Dyer JS, Fishburn PC, Steuer RE, Zionts S, Deb K (2008) Multiple criteria decision making, multiattribute utility theory: Recent accomplishments and what lies ahead. Manage Sci 54(7):1336–1349CrossRef

98.

von Winterfeldt D, Edwards W (1986) Decision analysis and behavioral research. Cambridge University Press, New York, NY

99.

Yang JB, Yu D-L (2002) On the evidential reasoning algorithm for multiple attribute decision analysis under uncertainty. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern A 32(3): 289–304CrossRef

Titel: Multicriteria Decision Analysis in Group Decision Processes
verfasst von: Ahti Salo
Raimo P. Hämäläinen
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
Buch: Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-9096-6

Electronic ISBN: 978-90-481-9097-3

Copyright-Jahr: 2010
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-9097-3_16

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"