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Erschienen in: Empirical Economics 4/2017

08.06.2016

Return and volatility spillovers in the Moroccan stock market during the financial crisis

verfasst von: Ahmed El Ghini, Youssef Saidi

Erschienen in: Empirical Economics | Ausgabe 4/2017

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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the return and volatility linkages among the Moroccan stock market and that of the USA and three European countries (France, Germany and UK) before and during the financial crisis. More specifically, we use stock returns in MASI, CAC, DAX, FTSE and NASDAQ as representatives of Moroccan, French, German, British and US markets, respectively. The data sample frequency is daily and spans from January 2002 to December 2012 excluding holidays. Using the estimation results of a bivariate VAR-BEKK GARCH model, we analyze the return and volatility spillover effects between the Moroccan market and the other considered markets. Moreover, the identification of break point due to the subprime crisis is made by Lee and Strazicich (Rev Econ Stat 85(4):1082–1089, 2003, Econ Bull 33(4):2483–2492, 2013), Papell and Prodan (J Money Credit Bank 38:1329–1349, 2006) and Prodan (J Bus Econ Stat 26(1):50–65, 2008) structural break tests. The empirical results indicate varying degrees of interdependence and spillover effects between the four considered major stock markets and the Moroccan emerging stock market before and after the global financial crisis.

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Fußnoten
1
 
2
Using Papell and Prodan restricted sequential test, we find July 23, 2002, January 15, 2008, September 29, 2008, July 20, 2009, October 22, 2010, as break points between 2002 and 2012.
 
3
Lehman Brothers, the fourth largest investment bank in the USA, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on September 15, 2008.
 
4
The ADF and PP unit root tests were applied on the logarithm of all index series in levels and the results cannot reject a unit root.
 
5
From Germany there is no significant return spillover in the post-crisis period. This result can be related to fact that the financial impact resulting from the US subprime crisis was less important in Germany in comparison with the case of France and the UK (see Horta et al. 2008).
 
6
The European sovereign debt crisis started in 2008, with the collapse of Iceland’s banking system, and spread primarily to Greece, Ireland and Portugal during 2009.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Return and volatility spillovers in the Moroccan stock market during the financial crisis
verfasst von
Ahmed El Ghini
Youssef Saidi
Publikationsdatum
08.06.2016
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Empirical Economics / Ausgabe 4/2017
Print ISSN: 0377-7332
Elektronische ISSN: 1435-8921
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1110-8

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