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Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 2/2013

01.02.2013 | Original Research

Option pricing under non-normality: a comparative analysis

verfasst von: Sharif Mozumder, Ghulam Sorwar, Kevin Dowd

Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting | Ausgabe 2/2013

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Abstract

This paper carries out a comparative analysis of the calibration and performance of a variety of options pricing models. These include Black and Scholes (J Polit Econ 81:637–659, 1973), the Gram–Charlier (GC) approach of Backus et al. (1997), the stochastic volatility (HS) model of Heston (Rev Financ Stud 6:327–343, 1993), the closed-form GARCH process of Heston and Nandi (Rev Financ Stud 13:585–625, 2000) and a variety of Lévy processes including the Variance Gamma (VG), Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG), and, CGMY and Kou (Manag Sci 48:1086–1101, 2002) jump-diffusion models. Unlike most studies of option pricing, we compare these models using a common point-in-time data which reflects the perspective of a new investor who wishes to choose between models using only the most minimal recent data set. For each of these models, we also examine the accuracy of delta and delta-gamma approximations to the valuation of both individual options and an illustrative option portfolio.

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Fußnoten
1
The reader will note that here the volatility υ t is not only time-varying, but is also roughly speaking to be interpreted as the square of the BS volatility σ.
 
2
Further details on these processes can be found in Cont and Tankov (2004) and Kyprianou (2006).
 
3
We have also re-run our results for other Wednesdays with different data sets and find our results robust.
 
4
Note that maximum likelihood is not possible for all the Lévy processes because their densities do not always exist. Hence, for consistency, we compute RMSE’s numerically using the mean square error (MSE) function appearing in the Jacobian and then apply finite difference scheme with the same perturbation to compute the partials. This enables us to obtain the MLE even if closed form densities don’t exist. We prefer to use the RMSE because it provides ‘prospective estimates’ which are more appropriate for options, which are forward looking. By contrast MLE provides us with ‘retrospective estimates’ based on, e.g., historical stock prices. An alternative approach which may have been used, but is left as the basis for future study is Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. A recent application of the MCMC approach can be found in the forthcoming paper by Hachicha et al. (2011).
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Option pricing under non-normality: a comparative analysis
verfasst von
Sharif Mozumder
Ghulam Sorwar
Kevin Dowd
Publikationsdatum
01.02.2013
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting / Ausgabe 2/2013
Print ISSN: 0924-865X
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7179
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-011-0271-y

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